I believe that most of the newcomers from recent times get in not because they are fascinated by the technology, but because it can't be overlooked this market is absolutely on fire! They want to get in with the goal to participate in the mania and speculate, but they might end up researching different projects and slowly understanding why this market is growing and what blockchain technology could be good for. That question can probably be asked both ways.
This is not adoption, what you describe already happened in 2017, it is for this reason that many began to get acquainted with cryptocurrencies in order to grab their piece of the pie. I doubt that people who come for easy money will have a desire to study something there, they are not interested in technology, they are interested in making money quickly. After all this, only a small percentage will continue to study something further, the technology itself, the very idea of cryptocurrencies. And we will not see any adoption in the minority.
2017 and its subsequent collapse showed this perfectly. The masses came to the market and they also instantly disappeared from there, among my acquaintances who came to the crypto market in this way, all as one are still convinced that cryptocurrency is all a scam and a ponzi scheme.
And they have a good reason to think so - they lost their money there. But, alas, not everyone will be able to work on their mistakes and understand what happened wrong and led to such a sad result. This is a difficult way to solve the problem. And many people like to follow the simple path. Just to say that it was all a big deception and a scam, I was deceived. Self-justification is fulfilled.
So, through the formula, more speculation = more adoption as such, there is never, in the full sense of the word, and never will be.
Speculation and excessive volatility only scares potential investors away from cryptocurrency.