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Topic: $1200 Bitcoin by the 2nd week of January 2014 (Read 6633 times)

sr. member
Activity: 407
Merit: 250
January 14, 2014, 05:39:38 PM
#42
No gut feeling needed.

Bitcoin has built-in price breaks, and once difficulty stops rising, you will see the effects of those price breaks:
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/miners-running-costs-must-pass-trough-exchanges-this-limits-the-bitcoin-price-414657

When difficulty stops rising, this will be a signal that mining is no longer hugely profitable, and that most of the new coins mined will cost in electricity close to their market price.  This mins most of them will be going on the selling side on the exchanges, and this huge new daily supply will push the price down.  3 to 7 months from now.





sr. member
Activity: 621
Merit: 288
WPP ENERGY - BACKED ASSET GREEN ENERGY TOKEN
Prevision fail  Grin
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1124
Invest in your knowledge
One more day.  Not looking likely.  Get the cross and the nails...  Cheesy

I got nothing to be worried about, i have already a safe investment in BTCs from long ago.

I got it wrong, hope no one lost money on this.. wishful thinking eh?

It's always fun to try and predict prices, but most people predict on "gut" feelings, not news or technical analysis.  For us to have reached $1200 something very newsworthy would have had to happen.  There would have been to may bands of resistance to break on the way up otherwise.  When we get back to the $1000 level on Stamp, there are some huge sell blocks to chew through (yes, I know the blocks are moving you techie people).

Next prediction? Wink

We are going through a minor crash, bitcoin will hover around $700-$1000 until the end of January. I expect another big climb towards the beginning of February.

We will see how the news plays out. If bitcoin hits above $1000 for a few days, i would then not expect it to fall below that.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
One more day.  Not looking likely.  Get the cross and the nails...  Cheesy

I got nothing to be worried about, i have already a safe investment in BTCs from long ago.

I got it wrong, hope no one lost money on this.. wishful thinking eh?

It's always fun to try and predict prices, but most people predict on "gut" feelings, not news or technical analysis.  For us to have reached $1200 something very newsworthy would have had to happen.  There would have been to may bands of resistance to break on the way up otherwise.  When we get back to the $1000 level on Stamp, there are some huge sell blocks to chew through (yes, I know the blocks are moving you techie people).

Next prediction? Wink
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1124
Invest in your knowledge
One more day.  Not looking likely.  Get the cross and the nails...  Cheesy

I got nothing to be worried about, i have already a safe investment in BTCs from long ago.

I got it wrong, hope no one lost money on this.. wishful thinking eh?
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 255
One more day.  Not looking likely.  Get the cross and the nails...  Cheesy
hero member
Activity: 630
Merit: 500
Some one seriously need's to generate a bitcoin bidding site.

Go in, pick a date, say 15th of each month. and people submit a payment to claim a bTC price. End day you take average overall for that day and closer person win's the pot Smiley


would be fun Wink


Idea taken, no stealsies people! Tongue

i heard that there is such a service but cant remember the name  Sad

This idea was developed and launched over two years ago as a site called Spaculator.

I see now that the site is blank though, and I'm not sure when it was decommissioned.

Here's a little more info: https://github.com/spaculator
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
insider


*Update
The reason for the estimate:

1) Everyone is cheeky and cheery at the moment because of the holidays, putting all economic problems aside. The same problems exist within the US and worldwide. Bitcoin will be actively sought out and talked about This will play into the key rise of bitcoin.

2) Bitcoin is rising in popularity through media coverage, which will only gain momentum

3) Several introductions of trading sites, and the widespread acceptance through merchants



Now, there are a few downsides to bitcoin:

1) Alt-coins, may confuse and hinder the market all together causing a meltdown (Highly unlikely in my opinion).

2) Security. The question that is on the back of everyone's mind. If i put my $2000 usd check and convert to bitcoin, will it stay secure. (Not necessarily volatility, but genuine security of the bitcoin encryption system)

- If bitcoin is conveyed as secure and stable, you will see huge huge increase in acceptance. I'd think by now, that is well-known within these forums.

January/February price will crash a little bit cos there are a lot of miners outside and buyers are lower than before
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
I have heard through the brother in law of an early adopter of bitcoin that one of the major banks is going to come out and publicly support, or back bitcoin in the near future.  While this is exactly what a lot of bitcoiners do not want, it will also give bitcoin a lot more legitimacy in the eyes of the average person that is on the fence (or scared) to enter the bitcoin market.

Are we talking a major bank in the US?  Or one in Europe or Asia?  I seriously doubt any bank in the US will come out publicly support Bitcoin anytime soon unless they can more determination from the regulators about the legality of Bitcoin as a currency or commodity.
legendary
Activity: 1456
Merit: 1001
This is the land of wolves now & you're not a wolf
I have heard through the brother in law of an early adopter of bitcoin that one of the major banks is going to come out and publicly support, or back bitcoin in the near future.  While this is exactly what a lot of bitcoiners do not want, it will also give bitcoin a lot more legitimacy in the eyes of the average person that is on the fence (or scared) to enter the bitcoin market.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
It's slowly sinking again it seems

imagine he nails it after the fear settles over the public bank account closure at huobi, it could lead to a bull run over 1200 in this atmosphere of crackery

edit: was a much better chance of that happening before the FUD train delivered. hopefully the pro - btc stance from Singapore will even it out

Hasn't Singapore always been fairly pro XBT?  Their major exchange, itBit, seems to have went through all the legal routes to get open and accept new clients.  Even got some VC funding. 

Not seeing $1200 in the next few days.  We don't hold this level this weekend we're back to the low $700's..
hero member
Activity: 574
Merit: 500
It's slowly sinking again it seems

imagine he nails it after the fear settles over the public bank account closure at huobi, it could lead to a bull run over 1200 in this atmosphere of crackery

edit: was a much better chance of that happening before the FUD train delivered. hopefully the pro - btc stance from Singapore will even it out
TPN
full member
Activity: 193
Merit: 100
How did it get so late, so soon?
It's slowly sinking again it seems
member
Activity: 70
Merit: 10
Guess we missed this marker...
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
dafar consulting
watch it climb, 900usd right now 1000usd by tomorrow morning then the big spike

It has to break through A LOT of resistance levels in the next week for that.  I'm not saying it can't.  I just think we'll see another pull back before we hit $1200.  And I'm talking Stamp/BTC-e, Gox doesn't count!

If it hits $1200 on gox by the 14th I think the OP can have some bragging rights.

Hey, I am even impressed we are back at $1000 already.


We're still at $900 ($899 as of now)... Mt. Cox doesn't count. And as soon as we hit 1000 for real, people will sell
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 500
Lets wait one week and i think price will go to $1200 but after that it goes again to 800$
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
watch it climb, 900usd right now 1000usd by tomorrow morning then the big spike

It has to break through A LOT of resistance levels in the next week for that.  I'm not saying it can't.  I just think we'll see another pull back before we hit $1200.  And I'm talking Stamp/BTC-e, Gox doesn't count!

If it hits $1200 on gox by the 14th I think the OP can have some bragging rights.

Hey, I am even impressed we are back at $1000 already.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
watch it climb, 900usd right now 1000usd by tomorrow morning then the big spike

It has to break through A LOT of resistance levels in the next week for that.  I'm not saying it can't.  I just think we'll see another pull back before we hit $1200.  And I'm talking Stamp/BTC-e, Gox doesn't count!
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1124
Invest in your knowledge
watch it climb, 900usd right now 1000usd by tomorrow morning then the big spike
newbie
Activity: 11
Merit: 0
Ur Dead Sammy, Ur Dead.
sr. member
Activity: 378
Merit: 255
Hey, he's still got a few days.  Let's see what happens.  We'll wait to crucify him until the 14th!  Smiley
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 501
Looks like you are wrong OP.... 1 more week to get past this mini-crash AND break the 1000 barrier again AND break the ATH of 1200.... It's not looking very likely all thanks to China

But good guess

you'll see, 1000usd by friday

Really really really doubt it...  we're currently breaking through the next support level around 800 on BTC-e and Stamp.  It's holding, but for how much longer?  We either break through it and drop another $60-80 or we bounce off of it...next 12-24 hours will tell us...
hero member
Activity: 577
Merit: 500
Spikes usually behave in the same manner, here is my prediction.



As with April spike, price will correct, this time I think at around 500$ (being 450$ the target) and stabilize for few months before next jump. Of course, I could be wrong but I suspect good buying opportunities
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1124
Invest in your knowledge
Looks like you are wrong OP.... 1 more week to get past this mini-crash AND break the 1000 barrier again AND break the ATH of 1200.... It's not looking very likely all thanks to China

But good guess

you'll see, 1000usd by friday
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
dafar consulting
Looks like you are wrong OP.... 1 more week to get past this mini-crash AND break the 1000 barrier again AND break the ATH of 1200.... It's not looking very likely all thanks to China

But good guess
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
-20% dump in the last hour...lol
copper member
Activity: 1380
Merit: 504
THINK IT, BUILD IT, PLAY IT! --- XAYA
$40K. Winklevoss. Grin

They're such pessimists! Tongue
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
It was about time, people don't invest in Christmas/New Year, generally volume is lower and everybody s busy enjoy the holidays
We should wait the end of January to see how this turns, Chinese Gov could restrict access to bitcoin even more
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1124
Invest in your knowledge
relevant, i knew this was going to happen
newbie
Activity: 42
Merit: 0
I think Christmas holiday bills and Chinese New Year in early Feb. have a good shot at keeping it below $1200. I also think that mining isn't profitable until $1350 for small to medium miners. Also, the technicals suggest a solid 4 month trough.

Bitcoin always surprises to the upside, so all things balanced out, mid-late March sees $1350.

Dark horse, imo, is if India starts with relatively mass arrests of anyone who ever traded bitcoin.
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 101
maybe , maybe not... but i dont think so
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
Some one seriously need's to generate a bitcoin bidding site.

Go in, pick a date, say 15th of each month. and people submit a payment to claim a bTC price. End day you take average overall for that day and closer person win's the pot Smiley


would be fun Wink


Idea taken, no stealsies people! Tongue

i heard that there is such a service but cant remember the name  Sad
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
dafar consulting
insider

Wanna bet? If you are right I will tip you, if you are wrong you can tip me. Jan 2014 is too early... $1200 was inflated due to a lot of false hype.. it will slowly get there again but I doubt there will be any incredible event in the next 2 weeks that will kick the price back up that high.



Edit-- I take that back, I didn't expect the year to start out so well lol Smiley
hero member
Activity: 504
Merit: 500
December 23, 2013, 12:18:26 PM
#9
Do you know someone within the Chinese gvmt who said they are going to now allow BTC transactions with financial institutions??
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1000
Making money since I was in the womb! @emc2whale
December 23, 2013, 12:12:38 PM
#8
My insider tells me its going to be 2k by Jan 15th.
legendary
Activity: 1050
Merit: 1000
December 23, 2013, 12:11:33 PM
#7
Some one seriously need's to generate a bitcoin bidding site.

Go in, pick a date, say 15th of each month. and people submit a payment to claim a bTC price. End day you take average overall for that day and closer person win's the pot Smiley


would be fun Wink


Idea taken, no stealsies people! Tongue
member
Activity: 93
Merit: 10
Software Engineer
December 23, 2013, 10:44:57 AM
#6
Makes a lot more sense than the $10 coin by mid 2014 prediction...
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1014
In Satoshi I Trust
December 23, 2013, 10:43:13 AM
#5
or 100 $
full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
December 22, 2013, 10:41:20 PM
#4
50k me someone just snagged 1100 btc @ ask...
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1001
December 22, 2013, 10:39:33 PM
#3
Cool!  We have bills to pay and hubby bought too many coins.  Wink  Hopefully we can just wait until then to sell a couple.
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1002
December 22, 2013, 09:24:02 PM
#2
$40K. Winklevoss. Grin
legendary
Activity: 1512
Merit: 1124
Invest in your knowledge
December 22, 2013, 09:15:57 PM
#1
insider


*Update
The reason for the estimate:

1) Everyone is cheeky and cheery at the moment because of the holidays, putting all economic problems aside. The same problems exist within the US and worldwide. Bitcoin will be actively sought out and talked about This will play into the key rise of bitcoin.

2) Bitcoin is rising in popularity through media coverage, which will only gain momentum

3) Several introductions of trading sites, and the widespread acceptance through merchants



Now, there are a few downsides to bitcoin:

1) Alt-coins, may confuse and hinder the market all together causing a meltdown (Highly unlikely in my opinion).

2) Security. The question that is on the back of everyone's mind. If i put my $2000 usd check and convert to bitcoin, will it stay secure. (Not necessarily volatility, but genuine security of the bitcoin encryption system)

- If bitcoin is conveyed as secure and stable, you will see huge huge increase in acceptance. I'd think by now, that is well-known within these forums.
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