18 greens x2 on win | Bitcointalksearch.org

Hhampuz

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Meh.

Quote from: emberbekas on November 10, 2017, 05:59:14 AM

Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

You already did this method for 2 months? You are a person with a high level of patience then. The chance to get 18 greens at 2x is exist. Patience, which you already have, and luck are the two main factor to be able to get it. The only bad thing from your strategy is, you did it with faucet. You can be banned before you hit your target and therefore you will waste your time.

I think it's admirable that he's trying to go for it. Would definitely be cool to see it.. I've seen some people that got 18 reds in a row, but perhaps it's easier to lose than it is to win Cheesy

.

But why would he get banned from the faucets? It's not like he is doing something that they won't like :s

emberbekas

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Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

You already did this method for 2 months? You are a person with a high level of patience then. The chance to get 18 greens at 2x is exist. Patience, which you already have, and luck are the two main factor to be able to get it. The only bad thing from your strategy is, you did it with faucet. You can be banned before you hit your target and therefore you will waste your time.

michkima

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Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

It is possible, but the chances are pretty low. I mean exaggeratedly low in fact. Like what another user has already stated and computed, that is so low that you'll likely not be able to hit it in the near future. You'll likely need to do it a million times before you be able to hit it. That's extremely hard to hit.

Well, I guess this is why gambling sites are actually offering faucets. The, chances of the players being able to multiply it to an amount that is withdraw-able, is extremely low. So they don't actually lose on people betting with just faucets.

Gennady12

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if you do that every day it come the moment where you got the 18 greens, i have play much dice and got some times 20+ green or red in a row. all is possible, 2days ago i join a blackjack table and won 14 times in a row and round 13,14 was a blackjack

MinerHQ

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Quote from: RGBKey on October 26, 2017, 08:05:04 PM

Honestly, there's just no way you're going to hit that. The chances are just too small. Humans are really really bad at understanding probabilities that aren't 50%.

That is correct. It is almost impossible to calculate or predict the result of these probably fair games. You may get three to four green few times and suddenly you may start getting more continuous reds to eat up your bankroll. But so far I didn't get so many greens in a dice game.

RGBKey

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rgbkey.github.io/pgp.txt

Honestly, there's just no way you're going to hit that. The chances are just too small. Humans are really really bad at understanding probabilities that aren't 50%.

4p0l4k4y

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Quote from: milewilda on October 26, 2017, 01:49:00 PM

Quote from: piloder on October 26, 2017, 11:29:29 AM

You can use this tool to calculate odd of your losing streak but this can also work as odd for winning streak with 2x odd https://dicesites.com/tools
Odds of getting 18 green streaks is 0.00045629% which is really small so you have to be extremely lucky to reach your milestone, keep trying Grin

It would not hurt my eyes if i do see 1% but 0.00045%? For sure it would takes forever for you to hit that one unless if you are really very lucky.Just piece of advice if op do strive on doing faucets just for the sake of this kind of goal then it would really be just a waste of time and effort.Knowing off that claiming faucets is time wasting and you are just losing it up on gambling site with a nearly impossible target.

I never thought that the probability of my goal is that low. However I am faithful and devoted in hitting my goal, I just hope that it won't take me 2years.

Quote from: Chris314 on October 26, 2017, 10:02:09 AM

Supposing the house edge is 1%, you have 49,5% chance to win a roll with a 2x multiplier. That's a probability of p=0,495
18 wins in a row has a probability of p^18=3,1e-6 or 0,0000031 or 0,00031% chance.
Draw 1 million times and you should reach 3 times 18 wins in a row.

What if I do a million times free roll but I think that's to time consuming.

sfgdsgdfgh

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Quote from: btc-facebook on October 26, 2017, 06:45:25 AM

Gambling always make you loss even if you've change your winning chance into 90% doesn't guarantee to make 18 green in a row.
Maybe you can try different method for example, I'm using high risk high reward gamble, 1000 sat / bet with 0.01% winning chance.
Once you hit it , you made a huge PROFIT !

oh, 0.01% winning chance is very low )

is bad idea start bet with 1 bitcoin on balance and first bet to be 1 saatoshi and every loss increase 100% of loss amount ?

badjacks99

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Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

The chances of actually hitting this bet are insanely small. I think you could do this for the next two years and still never hit it. If you insist on making some smaller chunks of bitcoin, I would find one of those sites that pays for tasks that you complete. I believe I found one last year that you can earn and cash out bitcoin, youll have to google it. If you spent that same two months saving up the bitcoin you earn, then gamble with it. I'm sure you can make a profit. Just a suggestion, good luck to you.

milewilda

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Quote from: piloder on October 26, 2017, 11:29:29 AM

You can use this tool to calculate odd of your losing streak but this can also work as odd for winning streak with 2x odd https://dicesites.com/tools
Odds of getting 18 green streaks is 0.00045629% which is really small so you have to be extremely lucky to reach your milestone, keep trying Grin

It would not hurt my eyes if i do see 1% but 0.00045%? For sure it would takes forever for you to hit that one unless if you are really very lucky.Just piece of advice if op do strive on doing faucets just for the sake of this kind of goal then it would really be just a waste of time and effort.Knowing off that claiming faucets is time wasting and you are just losing it up on gambling site with a nearly impossible target.

harizen

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For support ➡️ help.bc.game

Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

Based on the provided calculations here, I think you have now at least some clear insights why it's not happening. There is chances, yes, but it's kinda really really really low and you are really lucky if you hit that.

Time to changed your idea on gambling. It's not that easy as you think. Even how large your bankroll is, every bet is facing the house edge. Actually I never seen here such experienced hitting 18 greens or maybe I missed it.

piloder

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You can use this tool to calculate odd of your losing streak but this can also work as odd for winning streak with 2x odd https://dicesites.com/tools
Odds of getting 18 green streaks is 0.00045629% which is really small so you have to be extremely lucky to reach your milestone, keep trying Grin

boranes

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Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

I will give you straight answer - it is possible but rare, if you do hundred thousands rolls with the same combination of hi and lows there is high chance that you will hit it.
There is high chance that you will lose the same amount before you hit it too.

LuanX3

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Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

It is possible, but the chances of getting it would be incredible small.

Lets do some math over here.

18 straight wins will mean that you will have to bet 18 times and win at a rate of 49.5% chance (this is assuming you are playing on a 1% house edge casino). That means you have to do 0.495^18 = 0.00000318341736393008275% chance you will get 18 straight wins in a row.

That is the reason why you have been trying for 2 months and have not won it.

Chris314

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Supposing the house edge is 1%, you have 49,5% chance to win a roll with a 2x multiplier. That's a probability of p=0,495
18 wins in a row has a probability of p^18=3,1e-6 or 0,0000031 or 0,00031% chance.
Draw 1 million times and you should reach 3 times 18 wins in a row.

panjul07

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Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

It is possible to get 18x green in a row with 2x payout but you need to be so lucky, in this case are you using faucet only without making any deposits? I'm just afraid that once you hit it and win 1.35btc but you may not be able to withdraw it because it can be considered as faucet abuse. I think you should start it with little deposit like 0.001btc or more so you will have more chance to hit it because you have more bankroll instead of just relying on the faucet.

btc-facebook

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Gambling always make you loss even if you've change your winning chance into 90% doesn't guarantee to make 18 green in a row.
Maybe you can try different method for example, I'm using high risk high reward gamble, 1000 sat / bet with 0.01% winning chance.
Once you hit it , you made a huge PROFIT !

PDAngel

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Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

This case can happened. I met 26 reds on 2x so mean that if i wear a another side, i have met 26 green. But normally, i only have 6 or 7 green and send to my bank account. I hate risky.

Hhampuz

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Meh.

Quote from: 4p0l4k4y on October 26, 2017, 03:01:11 AM

Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

That's a decent goal, however, I've tried a similar one with hitting 16 greens. I only ever got up to around 10 greens in a row and could never quite hit the 11th. Now I only tried it a few times and perhaps in the longer run it would work out. But perhaps doing up to 10 times and then restarting could be a more solid idea?

Either way, best of luck to you, please keep us posted on whatever progress you make

.

Also, this should probably be moved to "Gambling Discussions".

4p0l4k4y

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Currently my faucet strategy is base bet 500 sats x2 on win. My goal is to hit 18 greens which will be worth 1.35 BTC. My problem is that its already been 2 months of doing it and im always maxing out my 30 faucets but im still not hitting it. Do guys think that it is possible for it to generate 18 straight greens? Maybe some of you already experience this hope you can shed some light.

Topic: 18 greens x2 on win (Read 447 times)