Author

Topic: 2013-05-08 Engadget Primed: The rise (and rise?) of Bitcoin (Read 1114 times)

full member
Activity: 182
Merit: 100
Not a very factual article. I quite angered by the large amount of articles about bitcoins which aren't correct or do not contain much factually correct evidence about bitcoins, in fact I find it quite annoying.
legendary
Activity: 980
Merit: 1014
Whenever someon mentions the deal with deflation, people should just start linking this study from the Minneapolis Fed:
* kiba puts on his devil's advocate hat.

Confirmation bias?
hero member
Activity: 551
Merit: 501
Whenever someon mentions the deal with deflation, people should just start linking this study from the Minneapolis Fed:

http://www.minneapolisfed.org/research/sr/sr331.pdf
Quote
Here we examine the empirical relationship between deflation and depression in a broad
historical context, including but not limited to the Great Depression. We use a panel data set on
inflation and real output growth for 17 countries and more than 100 years. To focus on mediumterm
fluctuations, we break the time series on inflation and real output growth for each country
into five-year episodes, and for each episode, we compute the average annual inflation rate and the
average annual real output growth rate. For any episode, we define a deflation as a negative average
inflation rate and a depression as a negative average real output growth rate. Throughout, we
restrict attention to moderate inflations, those with average annual inflation below 20 percent.

Our main finding is that the only episode in which we find evidence of a link between de-
flation and depression is the Great Depression (1929—34). We find virtually no evidence of such
a link in any other period.

The inflation argument is dead, both logically and empirically.

Thanks. Interesting piece. No surprises there of course.
sr. member
Activity: 247
Merit: 250
Krugman's babysitting analogy is a joke.  If those babysitting bills were more divisible & their value was able to fluctuate...there wouldn't have been an issue.  The proof that deflation is bad is ridiculous.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1008
If you want to walk on water, get out of the boat
"historically discredited economic principle"  Roll Eyes

Yeah well gold is deflationary. Is gold an "historically discredited economic principle"? NO.
sr. member
Activity: 323
Merit: 251
Whenever someon mentions the deal with deflation, people should just start linking this study from the Minneapolis Fed:

http://www.minneapolisfed.org/research/sr/sr331.pdf
Quote
Here we examine the empirical relationship between deflation and depression in a broad
historical context, including but not limited to the Great Depression. We use a panel data set on
inflation and real output growth for 17 countries and more than 100 years. To focus on mediumterm
fluctuations, we break the time series on inflation and real output growth for each country
into five-year episodes, and for each episode, we compute the average annual inflation rate and the
average annual real output growth rate. For any episode, we define a deflation as a negative average
inflation rate and a depression as a negative average real output growth rate. Throughout, we
restrict attention to moderate inflations, those with average annual inflation below 20 percent.

Our main finding is that the only episode in which we find evidence of a link between de-
flation and depression is the Great Depression (1929—34). We find virtually no evidence of such
a link in any other period.

The inflation argument is dead, both logically and empirically.
legendary
Activity: 1036
Merit: 1000
Quote
Bitcoin uses a historically discredited economic principle [deflation]

Oh yawn. Keynesianism never dies.
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