Author

Topic: 2025 Difficulty thread. Planning to make 2025 the last one I do. (Read 235 times)

legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
Quote
https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:
878280  (4 minutes ago)

Current Pace:
100.7193%  (1321 / 1311.57 expected, 9.43 ahead)


Previous Difficulty:
108522647629298.2                            
Current Difficulty:
109782075598905.2                            
Next Difficulty:
between 110576544887000 and 110684581280050
Next Difficulty Change:
between +0.7237% and +0.8221%
Previous Retarget:
December 29, 2024 at 4:42 PM  (+1.1605%)
Next Retarget (earliest):
Sunday at 2:18 PM  (in 4d 19h 0m 21s)
Next Retarget (latest):
Sunday at 2:35 PM  (in 4d 19h 17m 28s)
Projected Epoch Length:
between 13d 21h 36m 1s and 13d 21h 53m 7s

so if we do .7193% for the year.

at years end the full jump is 20.48%

so we did about +0.61 percent


Latest Block:   879146  (27 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   96.5195%  (171 / 177.17 expected, 6.17 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   109782075598905.2                            
Current Difficulty:   110451907374649.5                            
Next Difficulty:   between 107116494953612 and 109896015926298
Next Difficulty Change:   between -3.0198% and -0.5033%
Previous Retarget:   Yesterday at 2:53 PM  (+0.6101%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 26, 2025 at 4:51 PM  (in 12d 20h 26m 25s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 27, 2025 at 3:00 AM  (in 13d 6h 35m 18s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 1h 58m 5s and 14d 12h 6m 58s


and we are moving along  after 1 day and 6 hours.

We may hit next jump on my Birth day.





Latest Block:   879808  (7 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   97.4334%  (833 / 854.94 expected, 21.94 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   109782075598905.2                            
Current Difficulty:   110451907374649.5                            
Next Difficulty:   between 107723080229663 and 108647374962114
Next Difficulty Change:   between -2.4706% and -1.6338%
Previous Retarget:   last Sunday at 2:53 PM  (+0.6101%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 26, 2025 at 8:41 PM  (in 8d 7h 18m 45s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 26, 2025 at 11:44 PM  (in 8d 10h 21m 37s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 48m 11s and 14d 8h 51m 3s



Off pace a bit


Latest Block:   880296  (3 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   98.5067%  (1321 / 1341.03 expected, 20.03 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   109782075598905.2                            
Current Difficulty:   110451907374649.5                            
Next Difficulty:   between 108870824710313 and 109056357595808
Next Difficulty Change:   between -1.4315% and -1.2635%
Previous Retarget:   January 12, 2025 at 2:53 PM  (+0.6101%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Sunday at 7:22 PM  (in 4d 20h 59m 2s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Sunday at 7:59 PM  (in 4d 21h 35m 21s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 4h 29m 17s and 14d 5h 5m 37s


we are still a tiny bit off the pace

Latest Block:   880358  (19 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   98.2867%  (1383 / 1407.11 expected, 24.11 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   109782075598905.2                            
Current Difficulty:   110451907374649.5                            
Next Difficulty:   between 108624564035484 and 108802028045035
Next Difficulty Change:   between -1.6544% and -1.4938%
Previous Retarget:   January 12, 2025 at 2:53 PM  (+0.6101%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Sunday at 8:10 PM  (in 4d 10h 45m 41s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Sunday at 8:44 PM  (in 4d 11h 20m 20s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 5h 16m 45s and 14d 5h 51m 24s


just off a bit


Latest Block:   880701  (3 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   98.1077%  (1726 / 1759.29 expected, 33.29 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   109782075598905.2                           
Current Difficulty:   110451907374649.5                           
Next Difficulty:   between 108413693916741 and 108455107365043
Next Difficulty Change:   between -1.8453% and -1.8078%
Previous Retarget:   January 12, 2025 at 2:53 PM  (+0.6101%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   Sunday at 9:14 PM  (in 2d 1h 7m 53s)
Next Retarget (latest):   Sunday at 9:22 PM  (in 2d 1h 15m 56s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 6h 20m 47s and 14d 6h 28m 50s

still off pace.
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
Quote
https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:
878280  (4 minutes ago)

Current Pace:
100.7193%  (1321 / 1311.57 expected, 9.43 ahead)


Previous Difficulty:
108522647629298.2                           
Current Difficulty:
109782075598905.2                           
Next Difficulty:
between 110576544887000 and 110684581280050
Next Difficulty Change:
between +0.7237% and +0.8221%
Previous Retarget:
December 29, 2024 at 4:42 PM  (+1.1605%)
Next Retarget (earliest):
Sunday at 2:18 PM  (in 4d 19h 0m 21s)
Next Retarget (latest):
Sunday at 2:35 PM  (in 4d 19h 17m 28s)
Projected Epoch Length:
between 13d 21h 36m 1s and 13d 21h 53m 7s

so if we do .7193% for the year.

at years end the full jump is 20.48%
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
I opened this today and locked it till New Years day.  Getting to be a bit tired doing it I plan to end the thread in Dec 2025 and not do a 2026 thread.

Do you need help with something, so you don't give up on continuing with this topic?

Either way, there's still a lot of time left. It could even be a lively year, one that keeps you motivated for the next one.

Yeah maybe I will do 2026 but for now I am a bit burnt out.
legendary
Activity: 1890
Merit: 5204
**In BTC since 2013**
I opened this today and locked it till New Years day.  Getting to be a bit tired doing it I plan to end the thread in Dec 2025 and not do a 2026 thread.

Do you need help with something, so you don't give up on continuing with this topic?

Either way, there's still a lot of time left. It could even be a lively year, one that keeps you motivated for the next one.
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
I opened this today and locked it till New Years day.  Getting to be a bit tired doing it I plan to end the thread in Dec 2025 and not do a 2026 thread.

Too early for that, but maybe right about Oct or so, we conduct some elections for the next difficulty topic manager, what say you and the others?  Cheesy

Who wants to run?

Till then, let's all hope for a better year with peace all over the globe, health and prosperity.

Yeah lets hope 2025 is a boring year.
legendary
Activity: 2478
Merit: 6693
be constructive or S.T.F.U
I opened this today and locked it till New Years day.  Getting to be a bit tired doing it I plan to end the thread in Dec 2025 and not do a 2026 thread.

Too early for that, but maybe right about Oct or so, we conduct some elections for the next difficulty topic manager, what say you and the others?  Cheesy

Who wants to run?

Till then, let's all hope for a better year with peace all over the globe, health and prosperity.
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
Hope for a good year for all of us.
legendary
Activity: 3822
Merit: 2703
Evil beware: We have waffles!
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
So On Jan 1 we are at

Quote
https://newhedge.io/terminal/bitcoin/difficulty-estimator

Latest Block:   877280  (4 minutes ago)

Current Pace:   96.3782%  (321 / 333.06 expected, 12.06 behind)

Previous Difficulty:   108522647629298.2                            
Current Difficulty:   109782075598905.2                            
Next Difficulty:   between 106232297455655 and 108717299668762
Next Difficulty Change:   between -3.2335% and -0.9699%
Previous Retarget:   last Sunday at 4:42 PM  (+1.1605%)
Next Retarget (earliest):   January 12, 2025 at 8:24 PM  (in 11d 20h 11m 25s)
Next Retarget (latest):   January 13, 2025 at 5:19 AM  (in 12d 5h 6m 58s)
Projected Epoch Length:   between 14d 3h 42m 3s and 14d 12h 37m 35s


So 109.78t

My guess for Jan 1 2026 is

139.98t

but I would like to be wrong.

one of the problems is the s21xp is so much better than a s21 or a s19xp 270th 12-14 watts a th true beast

almost 2x the hash rate of the s19xp


270 at 3700 watts vs 141 at 3100 watts a big improvement for top of the line s19 series to s21 series.

If you go back to Jan 1 last year we were at 72th

I could see 144th if all gear running on jan1 2024 turned into s21xp  by jan 1 2026

so 139-144t in a year.

for now lets see how we do.
legendary
Activity: 4382
Merit: 9330
'The right to privacy matters'
I opened this today and locked it till New Years day.  Getting to be a bit tired doing it I plan to end the thread in Dec 2025 and not do a 2026 thread.
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