Topic: +491% PROFIT💰 79% WINRATE💰 Godly Tipster (Read 2427 times)

Also that is not true, because all bets I share here have positive EV, so it doesnt matter on which one of my bets you pick they all have potential for profit on the long term. (So it's logical to bet on all of them 3-4% to maximize profits)

But because of the variance is generally mid-high with 79%, we can still have consecutive losses.

But in the long term it smoothens out and the profit tends toward the EV

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Law_of_large_numbers

So the short term variance forces us to risk only 3-4% on a bet to make sure we dont end up with large drawdown.

Or just use Kelly formula to set the optimal betsize:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kelly_criterion


Good luck mate, we will make big profits today, I can feel it

After we hit 700% Profit. I want to demonstrate first that we can really make big profits, because there are still many skeptics here!


Nice to hear that, you will make much more today!


Yes I want to demonstrate first how profitable my strategy is. So use the free bets while they are free, because you can make good profits if you bet with us.


Of course not to bet all your money. We have 79% winrate not 100%, so if you bet on a loser one all your money you can lose it all.

Even if we would have 99% winrate i would also recommend not to bet all, because that 1% can wipe you out.

If you bet with 3-4% of your cash on each bet then you will end up profitable in the long term and dont have to worry about drawdown.

The maximum drawdown you will have with 3% risk is about 12-15%, while the profits will be the sky!

Only fools put 100% of their money on 1 bet.

We don't like risks, we only like profits!

some your predictions is good,,i pick 5/11 

OP keeps saying not to go all in as if they still no concrete assurance when betting, so for me it still luck if you choose the right pick that OP shared to us, thanks mate at least we can use this free tips that you are sharing to check if we are picking the right one or giving us to think twice when betting. good luck guys.

Which tips did you select for today?

If indeed this is a thread that is working to provide the best service then I would support the promised service and wait, but if this thread is used only for empty waffle and profit without the appropriate service then this is really not true/

I put bets on these 2, and made more than 50% profit , thank you sir! I`m placing bets on your todays tips too!

So when does charging for tips start...??

Yes good luck, but i havent included ferrer in today's forecasts, many variables have changed for today's match and it doesnt fit anymore into our strategy so i skipped it. We have instead Thiem and Goffin games that will be exciting.

But no single game is 100 guaranteed, we have 79% winrate, so make sure you distribute your balance across multiple bets so that you end up winner even if some of the games lose.

wow mate this is so exciting, a lots of game to bet and a lot of opportunity to win, I hope ferrer wins this game today i combined it with goffin enough for the day for me mate hope my bad earlier will be covered. thanks mate.

ROUND 8 TIPS :  SOCCER [NO DRAW BET WIN]

12:00 Kenya v Sudan International Friendly @ 1.52
14:00 Slovenia U21 v Azerbaijan U21 U21 International @ 1.3
17:00 ENPPI v Al Ittihad (EGY) Egyptian Premier @ 1.36
17:00 Luxembourg v Nigeria International Friendly @ 1.21
18:15 Serbia v Israel International Friendly @ 1.22
18:45 Ireland v Belarus International Friendly @ 1.23
22:15 Bahia v Nautico Brazilian Division 2 @ 1.27
22:15 Brasil de Pelotas v Paysandu Brazilian Division 2 @ 1.39
22:15 Ceara v Goias Brazilian Division 2 @ 1.45
22:15 Criciuma v Avai Brazilian Division 2 @ 1.35
22:15 Vila Nova v CRB Brazilian Division 2 @ 1.4

Cheers!

ROUND 7 TIPS :  TENNIS [MATCH WIN]

09:00 Dodig/Melo v Guccione/Sa 2016 French Open @ 1.27
09:00 Garcia/Mladenovic v Friedsam/Siegemund 2016 French Open @ 1.31
09:00 Herbert/Mahut v Lopez/Lopez 2016 French Open @ 1.45
09:00 M Granollers v Thiem 2016 French Open @ 1.15
10:00 Gojowczyk v Evans Manchester Challenger 2016 @ 1.48
10:00 Tatishvili v Kania Bol Open 2016 @ 1.39
11:00 Bryan/Bryan v Matkowski/Paes 2016 French Open @ 1.31
11:00 Goffin v Gulbis 2016 French Open @ 1.37
11:00 Lama v Haase Czech Open Challenger 2016 @ 1.41
11:00 M Jankovic v Vesely Czech Open Challenger 2016 @ 1.09
11:00 Serena Williams v Svitolina 2016 French Open @ 1.19
11:00 Woerner v Vanni Fraken Challenge 2016 @ 1.23
12:00 Gasquet v Murray 2016 French Open @ 1.38
12:00 L Broady v Groth Manchester Challenger 2016 @ 1.44
12:00 Ramos-Vinolas v Wawrinka 2016 French Open @ 1.16
13:00 Cornet/Eysseric v Mirza/Dodig 2016 French Open @ 1.17
13:00 Elias v Giannessi Czech Open Challenger 2016 @ 1.29
13:00 Krejcikova/Siniakova v Hlavackova/Hradecka 2016 French Open @ 1.46
13:00 Kubot/Peya v Cuevas/Granollers 2016 French Open @ 1.48
15:00 Pavlasek v Londero Czech Open Challenger 2016 @ 1.31

I`ve added more games for today so that we can recover yesterday's losses. It was annoying that many games were canceled because we missed a lot of profits yesterday, but rest assured we will get them in round 7.

I`ll post soccer tips later.

Results round 5,6

tennis   11:00 Cervantes v Brands Czech Open Challenger 2016    1.57   W
soccer   19:00 France v Cameroon International Friendly    1.09   W
soccer   20:00 Stjarnan v Breidablik Urvalsdeild    1.6   L

The others were postponed or draw, it's very annoying when matches get cancelled in tennis. So we have few matches in these rounds and we ended up in negative as a result.

Expectancy: -0.34


(dont worry we will recover it today)

it was a mistake mate my wrong my bet still ongoing with ferrer I just don't know when it will resume no option to cancel so better wait for it and hope  to win, sorry again mate.

3-4%/ bet would be a safe way to grow your money. There will be consecutive losses as well, and you dont want big drawdowns, so you must manage the risk properly.

What would a good amount of btc to start with be ? If I use 30mbtc and split it 3 ways? Or is that too much of a risk ? Do you think I could start off with 10mbtc or is that too little ?

Close to 600% in 3 days, and we are growing even more!

Here is the profit chart so far (please quote because newbie pics are not visible):




Yes thats good, although I dont recommend parlays, but good luck anyway

Also you were betting Moneyline and not No draw match outcome,so i`m not sure if your bet is correct.

thanks dude just used one of your picks in parlay

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/4a4ca54c2ljLzI2cndUL0hBT0NBd0ZOd0ZEQT09/r/2744

I am really looking forward to follow your tips, so far you have a very good tipping history, if not the best of all the tipsters in here. 500% profit in just 2 days, I think no one here can do that, I hope you continue like this for long. Am following the free bets now, hope to make some profit, as you have said I am betting with 10.000 satoshi at first now.

Yes, currently it's 582% ROI with that game, there are 3 more soccer for today and it's still time to bet on them, although you should not bet if the odds have moved a lot since I posted them. I will publish the results for today, tomorrow.

Thanks for feedback mate!

You are really going very good , i am watching your thread from quite a long time and i am amazed to see your winning streak.
Good and keep the tide.

Regards,
Mike

Attention lads, I`ve just observed that a lot of tennis games from the French Open tournament were rescheduled for tomorrow. You have probably got refunded if you have bet on them (if not then change your bookmaker because it sucks).

If you haven't bet on them today,don't bet on them again for tomorrow, because the variables will probably change (surface, enviroment, weather,etc so it will be considered a totally separate event from my POV). I will post tomorrow dawn the bets which will be advised, it will probably stay the same, but i will just post here again the bets for tomorrow.

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The event:

11:00 Cervantes v Brands Czech Open Challenger 2016 @ 1.57

Wasnt rescheduled because it's a czech tournament, and we actually won this. This was the only valid tennis game left, and we have 3 more soccer games,then I`ll publish the results.

The match hasn't even started yet:

19:27 D Ferrer v Berdych 2016 French Open @ 1.79

http://www.flashscore.com/match/UyrOumoe/#match-summary

It  was postponed for tommorrow as it looks like, you bet on the wrong one mate. But also don't risk too much on your bankroll, i recommend to not risk more than 4-5% of your bankroll on a bet.

---

Also the following matches have been cancelled after being interrupted, so the bets were refunded:

15:00 Halep v Stosur 2016 French Open    1.35
15:00 Pironkova v A Radwanska 2016 French Open    1.21

hey got a bad day hehehe I only pick the ferrer game from your tennis tips but unfortunately I got loss first try is not good to me so better try another one, would love to see that horse race in your spreadsheet hope we can win big from it.

Yes we made 1000% profit with horse bets in 1 week of betting in test mode, not with real money yet.

We have spreadsheets where we record the bets which is not a good proof, but given that we just demonstrated that we made 525% profit in 2 days in soccer and tennis, you can just take our word for now.

And if the profits are persistent we will include the tips in this thread as well, but it still needs more testing and tweaking before we go public with it.

We've worked months on the soccer and tennis strategy and we don't want to rush things, we only like solid results so thorough testing is very important for us.

1000% profit ??

 

Proof?

I use 3% of my bankroll on every bet, you can use this too maybe a bit more but don't go more than 5% because consecutive losses can give you big drawdown if they happen.


Yes Ferrer is playing now exceptionally this season and his games fits perfectly in our strategy. John Isner is now the one I don't like to bet on, he is playing very unpredictably and I`ve lost 2% on him in the past 2 weeks, so I won't place more bets on him until his games becomes more predictable.

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Guys me and my brother are now also testing horse races, we already made 1000% profit  on them in the past week with a test account, we should now start betting on it with 0.01-0.02 BTC and test it further.

There is also a lot of potential in horse races so if we can sustain these returns I`ll start including horse races in our strategy as well.

just bet with ferrer mate I think what I've got right now is enough to start trying your pick and ferrer seems to be an high odd if i win here i will use it again until I got enough to purchased what ever you offer thanks in advance mate.

Very impressive sir, i will start betting on them, how much % of my money should I bet? Thanks a lot!

Round 5: TENNIS  [ Match winner]

09:00 Goffin v Gulbis 2016 French Open @ 1.36
09:00 M Granollers v D Thiem 2016 French Open @ 1.16
10:00 Garcia/Mladenovic v Friedsam/Siegemund 2016 French Open @ 1.23
11:00 Cervantes v Brands Czech Open Challenger 2016 @ 1.57
13:00 Serena Williams v Svitolina 2016 French Open @ 1.18
15:00 V Williams v Bacsinszky 2016 French Open @ 1.47
19:27 D Ferrer v Berdych 2016 French Open @ 1.79
21:27 Suarez Navarro v Putintseva 2016 French Open @ 1.55

Round 6: SOCCER  [ No draw bets]

17:30 Sweden v Slovenia International Friendly @ 1.31
19:00 France v Cameroon International Friendly @ 1.09
20:00 Stjarnan v Breidablik Urvalsdeild @ 1.6


Cheers!

Sure, collect some bitcoins and join us. If I`m not mistaken you can even bet with 10,000 satoshi at certain bitcoin bookmakers, so you can start out small and grow big. I`m betting at fiat bookies now because they have better odds, i`m not sure what competition you are talking about, but i`ll keep it in mind.

Cheers!

wow amazing profits here, what an offer if only i can follow all this mate I'll give it a try let me collect all my earnings from faucets and campaign and be ready on your next bet, just some advice mate better to find a betting site to promote and place the bet hahaha or better yet join directbet tipster competition. ill be waiting on your next bet mate. thanks in advance.

Of course, there will be a few more rounds for free, so that people can try it out for themselves and see that the strategy works.

You could have already multiplied your money by more than 5x in the past 2 days, so you should act now and not miss any more profits.

525% profit in 2 days, not bad   

Keep up the good work my friend, I will start betting on your tips and make money together with you 

(I hope you give out a few more free tips so that I can taste the profits before you go premium, thanks!)

Results for  ROUND 2, 3 & 4

Round 3 was mistyped as round 2, but I won't edit the post to preserve authenticity, so keep that in mind.

There are some interrupted matches, of which result will come out probably later today, the bet stays in these cases so I`ll publish those results after they came out. Also there were some draws in soccer so I automatically remove them from now on as they don't matter since we bet on no draw bets and draws are refunded.

SPORT   TIME            MATCH                       EVENT NAME       ODDS  RESULT    EXPECTANCY                         
tennis   09:00 Raonic v Ramos-Vinolas 2016 French Open    1.25   L      -1
tennis   11:00 Begu v S Rogers 2016 French Open    1.52   L      -1
tennis   11:00 Troicki v S Wawrinka 2016 French Open    1.19   W      0.19
tennis   13:00 Isner v A Murray 2016 French Open    1.13   W      0.13
tennis   13:00 Nishikori v Gasquet 2016 French Open    1.45   L      -1
tennis   15:00 Halep v Stosur 2016 French Open    1.35         0      INTERRUPTED
tennis   15:00 Pironkova v A Radwanska 2016 French Open    1.21         0       INTERRUPTED
soccer   10:00 Kawasaki v Iwata J League    1.26   W      0.26
soccer   12:30 Genk v Charleroi Belgian Jupiler League    1.45   W      0.45
soccer   13:00 Chrobry Glogow v Zaglebie Sosnowiec Polish 1. Liga    1.7   L      -1
soccer   13:00 Hammarby v Gefle Allsvenskan    1.21   W      0.21
soccer   13:00 Lithuania v Estonia International Friendly    1.66   W      0.66
soccer   14:00 Botosani v CFR Cluj Liga 1    1.54   W      0.54
soccer   14:15 Lugano v FC Zurich Swisscom Cup    1.49   W      0.49
soccer   15:00 FC Copenhagen v AGF Danish Superliga    1.22   W      0.22
soccer   15:00 Viborg v Hobro Danish Superliga    1.28   W      0.28
soccer   18:45 Foggia v Lecce Lega Pro    1.61   W      0.61
soccer   18:45 Italy v Scotland International Friendly    1.29   W      0.29
soccer   19:00 Fluminense v Botafogo RJ Campeonato    1.57   W      0.57
soccer   19:00 Sao Paulo v Palmeiras Campeonato    1.64   W      0.64
soccer   19:45 Portugal v Norway International Friendly    1.22   W      0.22
soccer   21:30 Santos v Internacional Campeonato    1.55   L      -1

---

Profit (EV): +0.76
ROI: +76%    

Round 4: Soccer [No draw bet]

18:45 Foggia v Lecce Lega Pro @ 1.61
18:45 Italy v Scotland International Friendly @ 1.29
19:00 Fluminense v Botafogo RJ Campeonato @ 1.57
19:00 Sao Paulo v Palmeiras Campeonato @ 1.64
19:00 Vitoria BA v Atletico MG Campeonato @ 1.75
19:15 Sud America v Cerro Uruguayan Primera @ 1.85
19:45 Portugal v Norway International Friendly @ 1.22
21:30 Santos v Internacional Campeonato @ 1.55

Remember its no draw bet type!

Buy some glasses bro coz u cant read, the OP was right, the OP wrote there that the soccer bets are draw no bets, so the bets are cancelled if the result is draw.

What the bloody hell are you talking about mate?

Can't you read that I emphasized that the football bets are no draw bets. So in an event of a draw the bet is refunded.

http://www.betshoot.com/blog/draw-no-bet-what-it-means/

Those are not -1 EV bets, they are 0, since they get refunded.

---

Here are the bets stats so far, I keep a spreadsheet of them so don't tell me excel can't calculate, draws are not counted since they are refunded.

tennis   09:00 A Zverev v D Thiem 2016 French Open     1.26   W      0.26
tennis   09:00 Parmentier v Bacsinszky 2016 French Open    1.24   W      0.24
tennis   09:00 SuÁrez Navarro v Cibulkova 2016 French Open    1.6   W      0.6
tennis   10:00 Gasparyan/Kuznetsova v Jurak/Konjuh 2016 French Open    1.28   W      0.28
tennis   11:00 Carreno Busta/Marrero v Stepanek/Zimonjic 2016 French Open     1.41   W      0.41
tennis   11:00 D Ferrer v Fel Lopez 2016 French Open    1.17   W      0.17
tennis   11:00 Herbert/Mahut v Kudla/Peralta 2016 French Open    1.2   L      -1
tennis   13:00 Butorac/Lipsky v Kubot/Peya 2016 French Open    1.79   W      0.79
tennis   13:00 Gulbis v Tsonga 2016 French Open    1.49   L      -1
tennis   15:00 Bertens v Kasatkina 2016 French Open    1.55   W      0.55
tennis   16:00 Maria/Mahut v Kudryavtseva/Bopanna 2016 French Open    1.55   W      0.55
soccer   09:30 C-Osaka v Okayama J2 League    1.49   W      0.49
soccer   09:45 Atletico Madrid (W) v Ath Bilbao (W) Primera Division (W)    1.53   W      0.53
soccer   13:00 KTP v Jaro Ykkonen    1.6   W      0.6
soccer   13:00 Roskilde v Skive Danish Division 1    1.69   W      0.69
soccer   16:00 Rosenborg v Molde Tippeligaen    1.33   W      0.33

So the EV so far is 4.49, and I will add round 2 soon after the last game is finished.

Let me do some correction for you please:


Legend: Bolded name is my picked winner,  after the '@' symbol is the odds

09:00 A Zverev v D Thiem 2016 French Open  @  1.26   W  + 0.26
09:00 Parmentier v Bacsinszky 2016 French Open @ 1.24   W +0.24
09:00 SuÁrez Navarro v Cibulkova 2016 French Open @ 1.60   W +0.60
10:00 Gasparyan/Kuznetsova v Jurak/Konjuh 2016 French Open @ 1.28   W +0.28
11:00 Carreno Busta/Marrero v Stepanek/Zimonjic 2016 French Open  @ 1.41   W +0.41
11:00 D Ferrer v Fel Lopez 2016 French Open @ 1.17   W +0.17
11:00 Herbert/Mahut v Kudla/Peralta 2016 French Open @ 1.20  L -1
13:00 Butorac/Lipsky v Kubot/Peya 2016 French Open @ 1.79   W +0.79
13:00 Gulbis v Tsonga 2016 French Open @ 1.49   L -1
15:00 Bertens v Kasatkina 2016 French Open @ 1.55   W +0.55
16:00 Maria/Mahut v Kudryavtseva/Bopanna 2016 French Open @ 1.55   W +0.55

1st Tally:  +1.85
 

Quote from: Winner780 on May 28, 2016, 07:12:09 AM
Football for today

Legend: Bolded name is my picked winner,  after the '@' symbol is the odds. Attention, the bet type is no draw bet, so there is a binary outcome, in an event of draw the bets are refunded.

09:00 Nagasaki v Jef Utd Chiba J2 League @ 1.71   D -1
09:30 C-Osaka v Okayama J2 League @ 1.49   W +0.49
09:45 Atletico Madrid (W) v Ath Bilbao (W) Primera Division (W) @ 1.53   W +0.53
13:00 KTP v Jaro Ykkonen @ 1.6   W +0.6
13:00 Roskilde v Skive Danish Division 1 @ 1.69   W +0.69
14:00 AIK v Orebro Allsvenskan @ 1.43   W +0.43
14:00 Melfi v Martina Franca Lega Pro @ 1.42   D -1
16:00 Rosenborg v Molde Tippeligaen @ 1.33   D -1

2nd Tally:  -0.26

Total: +1.85 - 0.26 = 1.59 units profit

So my conclusion for this thread is that the OP can't calculate his profits properly and that his claims are completely false because his stated ROI is wrong on so many levels   I just can't stand false advertisement when I see one. If the OP thinks I am not accurate he can always prove me wrong here

Profit (EV): 4.49
ROI: 449%    
Winrate: 87.5%

looks easy when betting on tennis, because there was no draw, so I always try to take that have small odds, and sometimes having good results.

if this tips wins again you will build a good reputation here even odds are to small but combining it will makes a lots of money here just like what you did in the first place. good luck mate and thanks for try betting some of those good picks.

ROUND 2:   Tennis [ Match win]

09:00 Raonic v Ramos-Vinolas 2016 French Open @ 1.25
11:00 Begu v S Rogers 2016 French Open @ 1.52
11:00 Troicki v S Wawrinka 2016 French Open @ 1.19
13:00 Isner v A Murray 2016 French Open @ 1.13
13:00 Nishikori v Gasquet 2016 French Open @ 1.45
15:00 Halep v Stosur 2016 French Open @ 1.35
15:00 Pironkova v A Radwanska 2016 French Open @ 1.21

ROUND 2:   Soccer [No draw bet]

10:00 Ehime v Tokyo-V J2 League @ 1.8
10:00 Kawasaki v Iwata J League @ 1.26
12:30 Genk v Charleroi Belgian Jupiler League @ 1.45
13:00 Chrobry Glogow v Zaglebie Sosnowiec Polish 1. Liga @ 1.7
13:00 Hammarby v Gefle Allsvenskan @ 1.21
13:00 Kenya v Tanzania International Friendly @ 1.51
13:00 Lithuania v Estonia International Friendly @ 1.66
14:00 Botosani v CFR Cluj Liga 1 @ 1.54
14:15 Lugano v FC Zurich Swisscom Cup @ 1.49
15:00 FC Copenhagen v AGF Danish Superliga @ 1.22
15:00 Viborg v Hobro Danish Superliga @ 1.28

---

The bold selected are the winners, Cheers!

Sure, but for now enjoy the free tips

Yesterday you could have quadrupled your money if you'd have bet on my tips. I`m posting free bets for today soon.

ah okay so we can expect what will happen next and please keep impressing us here as soon as I seen many of your tips wins again I would try and vouch your package, good luck mate.

Thanks for your enthusiasm mate, but you haven't seen all yet, I will publish round 2 soon. I will keep your offer in my mind, cheers!


I will give out free tips for a few more days to prove my strategy.

Then I will sell daily packages of premium tips containing 10-20 bets at least 6 hours before the events start, so people can buy them in packages and bet on all of them.

I will also give out 1-2 free tips daily as well, but if you want 10-20 bets you will have to buy a premium package of bets.

impressive a big huge of winning newbie tipster whats next here mate? are you going to sell premium tips as well or purely free tips from time to time? I'll keep this and follow some of your tips, hope you have good one today. good luck mate.

Holy Fuck, 449% returns in 1 day?

You sir are amazing, I`ve never seen a tipster so talented. Keep up the good job, I will follow this thread very closely and later on I would like to hire you as my betting advisor if you keep up these returns

The strategy has around 70% winrate.


I bet always 3% of my bankroll on every bet.


I dont understand what you are asking mate, i publish all the bets beforehand and then bet on them with my own bankroll.

But here I publish the EV result of the bets, so multiply that with your own betsize and you have your own future profits calculated. The EV is the basis of the calculation always.

My betsize is mostly constant and pegged to my bankroll, I use 3% of my bankroll on every bet.


We could not find reliable data on esports, so we didnt studied that. We mostly work with tennis and football, and currently we are working on basketball as well.

Profit (EV): 4.49
ROI: 449%    
Winrate: 87.5%

it seems that this is another free tipster here and odds are safe making it carefully studied if that many free tips will won at the time winning a parlay will work, but as we all knew that even favorite got loss in tennis and football, I'll be waiting for the results and check what can be your winning stats shows.

do you giving free tips on e sport match ?
 
because esport match is worth it , than football or volley

As per my experience till now like this Thread are opened so many , who are just betting on favorites and when more favorites lose the match , they just vanish, It is not like always favorites win,

And can you please give us the link where you are also betting on your predictions or you are just giving prediction for others to bet.

Your keeping track of the expected value for your tips? How does that work? Do you expect a certain percentage to win, and then use a random generator to decide which picks will be expected to win? I'm really confused with that format. Just keep track of units. Since your betting 1 bitcoin on each pick, switch it to 1 unit. A win at @1.52 will increase your units by +0.52. A loss would change your units by -1 units. Easier for the people wanting to see how well your tips work, because EV isn't always what happens.

Hello,

You write in presentation about a strategy,can share with as your strategy?
How much you bet?What bankroll you use?

Sportsbetting need some statistic, and statistic is a part of mathematics. So, I guess, by help of a mathematician, he could seek the highest chance for win from all of probabilities they have counted. We can't say that the lowest odds category that given by house has the highest chance for win. Its just my point of view, cmiiw. good luck for op. I cant wait patiently the result of the first picks.

Your introduction seems interesting. I will follow your thread closely to see how it goes.
I don't understand the advantage thing. I mean isn't sports betting just about good analysis of games and good predictions, why did you need the help from your brother? It's not like you are trying to exploit anything are you?

I`m measuring the Expectancy or Expected value, since my bets are always measured with 1 BTC betsize so PROFIT= EXPECTED VALUE.

I am betting with euros currently, because fiat bookies have better odds, but my bets are just as good with bitcoin. So don't worry it's measured very well.


Yes, that is true, i want to be as transparent as possible. My bets are very high quality so people should use them  to make some money while they are free.

Nice to see another tipster here. The more the merrier as they say. It is good that Op realize that he first have to build his reputation and then he could offer 'premium tips'.
I usually consider tipster valid and serious after I see more than 100-150 tips from him. Let's wait and see how good Op is. Good luck.

We rarely bet on high odds, because small odd games have lower variance, so it's easier to manage risk and set more appropriate betsizes.

High odds are usually a longshot and the house edge is usually much higher.


For example let's say game A:

Player 1 @ 1.01  odds
Player 2 @ 20 odds

The 1.01 would statistically have higher expectancy even if you bet with a blindfold, and the 20 odds one will always have high house edge.

You would expect 5% winrate there, but usually it's much lower about 1-2%.

Bookies rarely give you higher than 20 odds so in these cases if you bet on Player 2 they steal 3% more winrate from you without you even noticing it.

Bookies are very shady, so watch out!

Just a quick heads up since you are new here. No one cares about profit, tips and winrate percentages just units won and lost because that's the most accurate statistic which will show if you are a good tipster or not. You should point out how much 1 unit of yours is worth as in 1 unit=1mbtc or 1 unit = 10mbtc etc. As you said you have developed a mathematical system for analyzing the matches it wouldn't be too hard to keep such a statistic right? Also it would be great if you could post your actual bet slip links to the websites where you are wagering at so people could check out your bets and follow you unless you prefer air betting only Welcome to the forum and good luck with your picks.

appreciate the thread but seems like way to much action
and your risking isnt worth the reward with all that chalk

every bet is high odds.

So sure you win/loss should be high but
when those big favorites lose you lose alot.

good luck though and will keep an eye out if you start
betting some dogs

cheers

It seems that you mostly bet on favourites. How about some tips with higher odds? Also, are you betting on these events yourself? I would like to see the profit of someone betting only on favourites (if you continue to only tip low-odd bets).

Though like said above, keep the simple format. It's really easy to see your tips that way.

Thank you, just follow the thread and see the results for yourself


Individual bets of course.

Parlays always reduce the expectancy, so bet on single matches always.

What do you recommend, betting on single matches or a combined bet for your predictions ?

Interesting thread, i will follow your results, hopefully it will be very promising, i like how simple format you give out your tips.

Bookmarked thread, let's see where it goes wish you good luck! 

(PS:  I`m looking for very good tipsters i want to startup a betting investment business)

Legend: Bolded name is my picked winner,  after the '@' symbol is the odds. Attention, the bet type is no draw bet, so there is a binary outcome, in an event of draw the bets are refunded.

09:00 Nagasaki v Jef Utd Chiba J2 League @ 1.71
09:30 C-Osaka v Okayama J2 League @ 1.49
09:45 Atletico Madrid (W) v Ath Bilbao (W) Primera Division (W) @ 1.53
13:00 KTP v Jaro Ykkonen @ 1.6
13:00 Roskilde v Skive Danish Division 1 @ 1.69
14:00 AIK v Orebro Allsvenskan @ 1.43
14:00 Melfi v Martina Franca Lega Pro @ 1.42
16:00 Rosenborg v Molde Tippeligaen @ 1.33

Legend: Bolded name is my picked winner,  after the '@' symbol is the odds

09:00 A Zverev v D Thiem 2016 French Open  @  1.26
09:00 Parmentier v Bacsinszky 2016 French Open @ 1.24
09:00 SuÁrez Navarro v Cibulkova 2016 French Open @ 1.60
10:00 Gasparyan/Kuznetsova v Jurak/Konjuh 2016 French Open @ 1.28
11:00 Carreno Busta/Marrero v Stepanek/Zimonjic 2016 French Open  @ 1.41
11:00 D Ferrer v Fel Lopez 2016 French Open @ 1.17
11:00 Herbert/Mahut v Kudla/Peralta 2016 French Open @ 1.20
13:00 Butorac/Lipsky v Kubot/Peya 2016 French Open @ 1.79
13:00 Gulbis v Tsonga 2016 French Open @ 1.49
15:00 Bertens v Kasatkina 2016 French Open @ 1.55
16:00 Maria/Mahut v Kudryavtseva/Bopanna 2016 French Open @ 1.55

Hello, I`m Jack, a full-time sportsbetter since January. I`ve been betting for a long time, and in the past months I have perfected my strategy that I can now make enough profits to do it as a full time job since January. I have worked very hard on my strategy with my mathematician brother, we have backtested tens of thousands of games over various sports, mixed in with my experience, we were able to find an edge by analyzing all those games and applying our special filter on it. There is little advantage left in betting since the bookies have their own research teams as well, but we are still able to outperform them by a good margin. Now let me show my strategy here, I will give out free and premium tips. Cheers!

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Total ROI: 491%
Expectancy: +4.91
Winrate: 79.4872%
Tips: 39

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ROUND 1: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15005312
ROUND 2,3,4: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15016217
ROUND 5,6: https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.15027809