DISCLAIMER: I have no inside information, this is just speculation and my current "Tin Foil Hat Theory"
Some thoughts I've been having in recent days...
I recently read a blog from a SIA Dev on the state of cryptocurrency mining -
https://blog.sia.tech/the-state-of-cryptocurrency-mining-538004a37f9b In that blog the SIA Dev spoke about many things and one of them that stuck out to me was the "secret asics" piece. I had always considered this was likely and probably occurring but I'm starting to believe now that it's occurring more than we realize as a community.
Now within weeks we are seeing multiple 51% attacks on multiple chains / coins.
All this makes me wonder, are these 51% attacks and "secret asics" being used to justify the case for Asics? Furthermore, was that Dev right about certain companies "playing dirty" ? (note I'm not singling out any single company as he is in his blog)
Part of me wonders are these 51% attacks being done to create a community of fear that we "need asics" to defend ourselves against these attacks?
Part of me wonders if someone with a very large bankroll and the ability to create their own secret asic has realized they can take a relatively unknown coin that has a low market value and cap and exploit it by mining a ton of it and then sending that through exchanges as we have seen with recent attacks on XVG and BTG. Several large players come to mind on this conspiracy theory.
To me this all seems like a great coincidence or a serious situation where the entire industry is being manipulated and attacked (more so than usual).
I think these recent events may steer future algos/chains/coins towards Asics once they get up to speed. If these attacks on chains keep leaving exchanges at a loss from the manipulation, it may make it even more difficult for an exchange to list new coins... I could even see some exchanges refusing to list a coin without asics to "secure the chain" or requiring an insane amount of confirmations on transactions (100+) before they will process anything when an asic is not present.
One thing is clear in all this though, if these attacks keep up, we are going to see some huge changes on the way exchanges behave and that will only be the beginning.