As newbie, i cannot post in KingOfSports thread in the gambling section of this forum.
Moderators please feel free to move this to that thread, as that is where i would have liked to post.
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From KingOfSports thread:
"Someone posted this article in one of the threads here. Had to highlight it as many sites are being questioned regarding this.
MUST READ ARTICLE:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1frm4x/provably_fair_by_bitzino_not_provable_with/"
Firstly and
MOST IMPORTANTLY - I have no affiliation with KingOfSports (KOS) whatsoever.
So KOS if this comes back on you in anyway, I sincerely apologize.
But I agree and share some of the same BELIEFS as you do. But what I BELIEVE is what I believe. Just because a belief or two are shared does not mean ALL beliefs are shared.
My personal BELIEF is that there are sites claiming to be provably fair, however are NOT FAIR at all. My current site of ‘dishonor’ I will not name specifically, but I will say it starts with ‘PRIME’ and ends in ‘DICE’.
I will again refer to the excellent article written by TrevorXavier:
http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/1frm4x/provably_fair_by_bitzino_not_provable_with/And provide a couple of quotes from it I also believe to be true.
Quote 1 “Bet Discrimination Under the assumption that an investigator will not place high stakes to investigate cheating, the
house can safely offer a fair game to those using play money or very low stakes. As the bet size increases, so does the probability of an exploit. A house can also analyze betting patterns (progressives) for ways to minimize its short term risk of ruin.”
Yes, a lot of players (myself included) on some sites have many hands/spins/rolls of wins, thousands of wins. So many wins (correct statistically and all or even above odds to player even), however at such micro bets. BUT, I am sure some of you (myself included) bet a reasonable amount each go at times as well, say 0.1 low end, 1.0+ btc per go.
What have you / I personally seen at 1.0 btc per bet. WOW, instant such a bad run, just an unlucky day, its gambling, you will always lose, don’t gamble. 9 and 10 losing streaks in a row at 50%, several times over, and within 200 bets. 7-8/10 loses at 70% time after time. Wow, kind of thought at 70%, I should have been winning 7/10, statistically I mean. But yeah, loses like this can happen.
Go back to micro, and it’s within statistical limits again, even win, win, win, win, Yay I just won 0.000055 btc.
Quote 2 “Third, it can employ these cheats to minimize risk during progressive betting. Any
player using Martingale or other betting system will always lose in the long-run, but short-run gains can occur. As such, producing guaranteed losses for the player over big bets will factor into the house's profit-maximizing strategy.
Fourth, a
house can offer more smaller wins to players by cheating large bets, increasing word-of-mouth advertising. For example, suppose a draw poker game accepts bets from a micro-bitcoin to 50 BTC. If the house forces a player loss at 40 BTC…”
Quote 3. From the discussion in that article “A main point of the article suggests that a house could effectively cheat a portion of its players by segregating them through bet or browser discrimination. By implication this means a
majority of the cheats are performed on a minority of players.”
So the people you see complaining about sites cheating are these ‘minority’. And the people you see defending, are those ‘majority’.
If you are in the ‘majority’, sorry you don’t have enough cash to bet more than a dime a go.
If you are in the ‘minority’, then chances are some sites are cheating you.
Got to love when sites are smart enough to give countless free micro coins out and then let players play fairly with them. ONLY TO CHEAT PLAYERS WHEN THEY DEPOSIT OWN FUNDS AND BET LARGER.
Yes, any outcome is statistically possible. No one is forcing anyone to bet. But
claiming to be a fair site, when you are not, just because there is no regulation, is straight up scamming.
If it walks like a duck, quacks like a duck, and looks like a duck, time and time again, based on observations by independent person after independent person, well….
Well, just read the linked article folks. Then re-read it. And to anyone who comes out defending certain sites, stop being ass-kissers please, man up and place several dozen above 1.0 btc per go bets, and THEN see how fair it is, statistically or otherwise.
Let the drama begin……….