I don't believe in such things anymore. All I know is that Ethereum will always be dragged by how the Bitcoin market moves which is why I only monitor Bitcoin right now and just let my altcoins do their own value increase which depends on the hype and the demand of their product.
I mean, I don't want to expect anymore. With different stablecoins out there, the ruling of Bitcoin down, and altcoin up, is gone forever. Sure, there will be movement with different altcoins but it's not like every name listed in the market will be dragged by it.
Right now, I am just picking the altcoins which are also growing while Bitcoin is in demand. Ethereum is one, the others are so rare that they are like a needle in a haystack. It's best to probably just pick altcoins that you think have a good future in this wild market.
Things are different, the usual pattern of bitcoin down while altcoin up which indicates altcoin season back then is no more.
nowaday its just the market following the trend, most of altcoins are independent to each other, but usually a coin that are layer 2 depends on the price of layer 1, if it rise then the layer 2 will also rise.
here's some example why such thing is actually happening.
that is the comparation chart of stacks which actually just layer 2 of bitcoin with smart contract capability, if you observe the price of these two, you will see similarity, it means some of altcoins that are layer 2 kind of depends on the layer 1 price.
the other altcoin of different narrative such as RWA or depin is different, it is sometime climbing the ladder on its own regardless of the current trend, but silver lining is that, if bitcoin rise, the other altcoin also have higher of chance to rise as well since the capital
flowing to the market is more immense, therefore its as easy as following the trend.
for altcoin season, i guess there gonna be no such thing anymore, what still there is crypto season where all crypto including bitcoin and altcoin just goes up due to current market sentiment.