Author

Topic: Anti-Public NBA picks Challenge - Bet against the public. 54W 47L. Day 16 (Read 938 times)

hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 540
I've been using this method but it does not give me a success, you cannot just pick blindly and just bet against the public since there are a lot of factors to consider. For example, if you are betting on a shitty team which they are not the favorites all the time you will lose your money easily and also you cannot bet against the warriors because they are good in covering the spread. I would bet against the public but I need to be choosy and not just bet on all the games on the board.
maybe better to play with this just to have some fun but not a serious gambling, playing against the public really good if you got some success with the
timing, its luck that will give you some decent earnings when pick the under dogs and happen to win in  a regular bet not in the handicapped.
hero member
Activity: 3010
Merit: 666
I've been using this method but it does not give me a success, you cannot just pick blindly and just bet against the public since there are a lot of factors to consider. For example, if you are betting on a shitty team which they are not the favorites all the time you will lose your money easily and also you cannot bet against the warriors because they are good in covering the spread. I would bet against the public but I need to be choosy and not just bet on all the games on the board.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000

Day 18 ended with 3 wins vs 8 loses.

Total after day 18
63wins VS 63loses
Profit: -0.004btc


legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Day 16 ended with 6W vs 6L

Next is day 17 with only 2 matches

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/7bfc44eekFwVUZOVjVHU2MzZkR0T2Q1cWJZZz09/r/2223343/


Total after day 16:
60wins VS 53loses
Profit: 0.002btc
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Day 15 ended with 2w vs 2l

Next is day 16.
There are 12 games in this day.

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/f152291SWhuUmRNbXczMWlJZTR5cStIb2hLdz09/r/2223343/


Total after day 15:
54 wins VS 47 loses
Profit: 0.0022btc
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
I'm on the opposite side on most of you're picks this could turn bad for me or you. My reason for picking the opposite team is that some  of them are playing back to back matches. Fatigue might kick in a little bit and affect their performance anyways good luck to all of us betting today.

Day 14 finished with 4w vs 4L and 1 push.

Total after day 14:
52 wins VS 45 loses

Profit: 0.0022 btc
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 540
Houston Rockets - Philadelphia 76ers : Houston Rockets to win .
Memphis Grizzlies - Charlotte Hornets   :Memphis Grizzlies to win .
New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic   :New Orleans Pelicans to win .
Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks :Utah Jazz to win .
Portland Trailblazers - Toronto Raptors   :Portland Trailblazers to win .
sixers won the game bro if you play against the public, as we knew that rockets would be the favorite from that match maybe you'll able to catch a better
odd, a lots of unexpected results happening inside NBA that's why i really love trying doing the same with OP.
full member
Activity: 145
Merit: 100
Houston Rockets - Philadelphia 76ers : Houston Rockets to win .
Memphis Grizzlies - Charlotte Hornets   :Memphis Grizzlies to win .
New Orleans Pelicans - Orlando Magic   :New Orleans Pelicans to win .
Utah Jazz - Dallas Mavericks :Utah Jazz to win .
Portland Trailblazers - Toronto Raptors   :Portland Trailblazers to win .
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1922
Shuffle.com
I'm on the opposite side on most of you're picks this could turn bad for me or you. My reason for picking the opposite team is that some  of them are playing back to back matches. Fatigue might kick in a little bit and affect their performance anyways good luck to all of us betting today.
hero member
Activity: 3024
Merit: 680
★Bitvest.io★ Play Plinko or Invest!
I was quite busy for this week and as I see your thread again Carles, you've made a lot of win for doing this anti-public bet on NBA games. You are doing it great Carles, keep it up will still follow your picks.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Not a good day with 2wins vs 5loses.
Hope today it will be better

Day 14
https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/4b23643Qk5HT0ZPd0FhRGtOUkhKR21kalBiQT09/r/2223343/

Total after day 13:
48 wins VS 41 loses
Profit: 0.0027 btc
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Day 12 ended with 4W vs 4L.
Solid.

Day 13 is next and here are the picks against the public:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/932901eQmtjTGRJOHlTblNxZlYreWNGS2JGUT09/r/2223343/

Total after day 12:
46 wins VS 37 loses
Profit: 0.0059 btc
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Here is day 12.
So far we didnt miss any match and the results are not bad.

Good luck
https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/24c9255VE1zMGF0cHhmMVN6NldSVjdlNUVuQT09/r/2223343/
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Good job with the pelicans.
Last night was 2wins vs 3loses.

Next is day 11.
All the picks are against the public

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/449a16dMTI3U3Z2VGhBUHV6aiszWlVmWkU2QT09/r/2223343/


Thanks you too. You forgot to include your overall profit and record after yesterday's result. Also tailed one of your bet that I liked which was the Timberwolves spread it's looking good right now as they're keeping it close against OKC hope they win this out or at least cover with the spread.

Edit : Nice win by the Timberwolves we don't need the extra points lol.

Yah wow what a win by the Wolves. OKC cant find themselves in this season, but I believe they will improve tgeir teamwork.
 NY also did the job with a huge win.

Tonight we had 4wins vs 3loses.

Total after day 11:
42 wins VS 33 loses
Profit: 0.0061 btc

still in a very good position carles, you are doing so good I'm impress with Wolves as don't see it coming after they win the first game then im thinking that okc will dominate that game and will easily win back in front of their home crowd. maybe OKC still needed some time to blend their chemistry.

Exactly.
Their roster is one of the goodest in this season. Its worth to put an eye on them.
Tonight will be played 8 matches. Let's hope the public will be wrong again.
hero member
Activity: 1302
Merit: 540
Good job with the pelicans.
Last night was 2wins vs 3loses.

Next is day 11.
All the picks are against the public

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/449a16dMTI3U3Z2VGhBUHV6aiszWlVmWkU2QT09/r/2223343/


Thanks you too. You forgot to include your overall profit and record after yesterday's result. Also tailed one of your bet that I liked which was the Timberwolves spread it's looking good right now as they're keeping it close against OKC hope they win this out or at least cover with the spread.

Edit : Nice win by the Timberwolves we don't need the extra points lol.

Yah wow what a win by the Wolves. OKC cant find themselves in this season, but I believe they will improve tgeir teamwork.
 NY also did the job with a huge win.

Tonight we had 4wins vs 3loses.

Total after day 11:
42 wins VS 33 loses
Profit: 0.0061 btc

still in a very good position carles, you are doing so good I'm impress with Wolves as don't see it coming after they win the first game then im thinking that okc will dominate that game and will easily win back in front of their home crowd. maybe OKC still needed some time to blend their chemistry.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Good job with the pelicans.
Last night was 2wins vs 3loses.

Next is day 11.
All the picks are against the public

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/449a16dMTI3U3Z2VGhBUHV6aiszWlVmWkU2QT09/r/2223343/


Thanks you too. You forgot to include your overall profit and record after yesterday's result. Also tailed one of your bet that I liked which was the Timberwolves spread it's looking good right now as they're keeping it close against OKC hope they win this out or at least cover with the spread.

Edit : Nice win by the Timberwolves we don't need the extra points lol.

Yah wow what a win by the Wolves. OKC cant find themselves in this season, but I believe they will improve tgeir teamwork.
 NY also did the job with a huge win.

Tonight we had 4wins vs 3loses.

Total after day 11:
42 wins VS 33 loses
Profit: 0.0061 btc
legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1922
Shuffle.com
Good job with the pelicans.
Last night was 2wins vs 3loses.

Next is day 11.
All the picks are against the public

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/449a16dMTI3U3Z2VGhBUHV6aiszWlVmWkU2QT09/r/2223343/


Thanks you too. You forgot to include your overall profit and record after yesterday's result. Also tailed one of your bet that I liked which was the Timberwolves spread it's looking good right now as they're keeping it close against OKC hope they win this out or at least cover with the spread.

Edit : Nice win by the Timberwolves we don't need the extra points lol.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Day 10 is a rough day.
Let's roll. Any opinions about tonight guys?

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/f0d5226RGI3Z2ZrYWNWT3g0Nm5mN2RkdnphQT09/r/2223343/
Followed the Dallas spread I got in at +8 seems like more money is pouring in on the Grizzlies side score should be close since both teams just played yesterday. Agree with the Blazers bet got the spread sitting on -2 taking the home team is the better play and Blazers beat the Clippers during the preseason.  I have the Pelicans for tonight I feel like they still have a huge chance of winning without AD.

Good job with the pelicans.
Last night was 2wins vs 3loses.

Next is day 11.
All the picks are against the public

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/449a16dMTI3U3Z2VGhBUHV6aiszWlVmWkU2QT09/r/2223343/

legendary
Activity: 3374
Merit: 1922
Shuffle.com
Day 10 is a rough day.
Let's roll. Any opinions about tonight guys?

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/f0d5226RGI3Z2ZrYWNWT3g0Nm5mN2RkdnphQT09/r/2223343/
Followed the Dallas spread I got in at +8 seems like more money is pouring in on the Grizzlies side score should be close since both teams just played yesterday. Agree with the Blazers bet got the spread sitting on -2 taking the home team is the better play and Blazers beat the Clippers during the preseason.  I have the Pelicans for tonight I feel like they still have a huge chance of winning without AD.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Day 9 was a a very succesfull day with 8 wins against only 2 loses!
Very good anti public day and we are back on track.
Day 10 is coming soon

Total after day 9
36 Wins VS  27Loses
Profit: 0.0065BTC
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
NBA day 5:
Not easy day with a lot of public concensous. we have 86% on OKC,  81% on SA Spurs and so on.
11 matches tonight.  Will we continue with the positive scores?
It will not be easy.
All bets are made against the public thoughts via https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/22c882cdW5EdHozSjRtQVZDOW5EQUFQM0g4dz09/r/2223343/

Solid day with 5 wins, 5 loses and 1 push.
So far after 5 days we in a nice profit.

Total after day 5
22 Wins VS  14Loses
Profit: 0.0065BTC


Stay tuned for day 6
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
NBA day 5:
Not easy day with a lot of public concensous. we have 86% on OKC,  81% on SA Spurs and so on.
11 matches tonight.  Will we continue with the positive scores?
It will not be easy.
All bets are made against the public thoughts via https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/22c882cdW5EdHozSjRtQVZDOW5EQUFQM0g4dz09/r/2223343/
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
After a great day, we have 11 matches in day 5. Will we have another positive day? Worth to follow.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
day 4
Until now we have a small profit. What will happen today?

10 matches for today.
All picks are anti public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/b198e60dmhaTFVwVGcyeUFyNElzNkJ0QUVLdz09/r/2223343/

Wow!!!
Such a crazy Anti Public day!! 8 wins VS 2 loses in todays matches and total profit of 0.0055 btc!
Today the bookies made a nice amount in the NBA mathces  Lips sealed

Total after day 4
17 Wins VS 9 Loses

Profit: 0.0069BTC
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
day 4
Until now we have a small profit. What will happen today?

10 matches for today.
All picks are anti public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/b198e60dmhaTFVwVGcyeUFyNElzNkJ0QUVLdz09/r/2223343/
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 500
Thanks guys.
Today we have 11 matches. I will not write here each match, just the betslip.  
All the pick are against the public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

Betslip:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/8918db7OFJqNHJTSnFpdXg2UWpzZ0Z1SEdaZz09/r/2223343/

today we have 6 wins vs 5 loses.

Total:
8 Wins VS 5 Loses
Profit: +0.0025


Another succesfull day.
this one is a good concept again carles as we knew that the bets can be controlled by some fixed aganecy so betting against the house got some advantage
if we able to select and predict the right games and basing from the last season we will encounter big odds then win with the ML. good luck.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Thanks guys.
Today we have 11 matches. I will not write here each match, just the betslip.  
All the pick are against the public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

Betslip:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/8918db7OFJqNHJTSnFpdXg2UWpzZ0Z1SEdaZz09/r/2223343/

today we have 6 wins vs 5 loses.

Total:
8 Wins VS 5 Loses
Profit: +0.0025


Another succesfull day.
hero member
Activity: 1050
Merit: 502
I wanted to do this challange for a long time, And now with the beginning of the NBA season I will finally do it.
I will bet every day against the public opinions through the data at https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart
The Idea behind this challange is that as we know, the bookies always wins becasue people bet on "easy" matches and in the end we see a LOT of surprises. I believe that play against the public in EVERY match will give me a profit.
I will summerize the result every couple days.
I place a bet of 0.001BTC on EVERY match

The NBA season begins in 2 days.
Lets see what will happen.

Ha ha, it's a pretty good idea! If you're able to keep the stuff throughout the entire season, be really interested to see the statistics at the end. You got to think, especially if you're picking your own underdogs there's some good money to be made. Good luck with it I'll be checking in on this.
hero member
Activity: 3024
Merit: 680
★Bitvest.io★ Play Plinko or Invest!
Cleveland won 102-99, so Boston hold the handicap of +3.5 and it a win.
Houston surprised GSW and won 122-121 and its another win for us.

2/2 in the first day.
Profit:  +0.00195


Wow this seems to be effective, I never knew that betting against the crowd is going to be effective for you. Congratulations to your first 2 bets, will catch more with your bets!
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Thanks guys.
Today we have 11 matches. I will not write here each match, just the betslip. 
All the pick are against the public via  https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart

Betslip:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/8918db7OFJqNHJTSnFpdXg2UWpzZ0Z1SEdaZz09/r/2223343/
sr. member
Activity: 1456
Merit: 267
Buy $BGL before it's too late!
I don't think i'd want to do that since you mostly would bet on underdogs and the percentage of upsets aren't that high every day. You may need to have a big capital if you're planning on betting against majority of bettors. Though if you win, you'll be smiling from ear to ear Cheesy
member
Activity: 64
Merit: 10
Great start for your system. I am excited how it will perform after 1000 picks. Anything less than that is not enough to say having a running betting system.
You'll be betting 80% of the dogs which isnt a bad thing. Dog betting is better than fav betting in general!

Good luck!
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
1st day.
As I said in the opening thread, I will bet against the public concensous
So here are my picks for today.

Cleveland VS Boston  52%  VS  48%   


Golden State VS  Houston   56%  VS  44%   


So my Picks are:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/2610fe3aitlSHgzdU42cHZPam5wUGZoVmJrQT09/r/2223343/

Good Luck



Cleveland won 102-99, so Boston hold the handicap of +3.5 and it a win.
Houston surprised GSW and won 122-121 and its another win for us.

2/2 in the first day.
Profit:  +0.00195
sr. member
Activity: 854
Merit: 257
I know no one can predict who will win the match even the weakest team on the NBA can be won and it depends on the situation but I don't think Boston Celtics can win on Cleveland this time in my opinion since Isiah tomas which is their like superstar back in the previous year and we all know kyrie is also at the boston team but still not enough to defeat cleveland.
hero member
Activity: 3024
Merit: 680
★Bitvest.io★ Play Plinko or Invest!
Good experiment this is the first time that I've seen someone that wants to bet against the crowd choice.

-snip-

Good luck with these bets Carles, I'm going to stay tune on your thread and will see if the will of yours that you'll get profit here is really possible.
legendary
Activity: 1946
Merit: 1007
Nice approach that you are taking.

One flaw in this though might be that if the sample size is big enough, the collective will usually make the correct pick.
member
Activity: 64
Merit: 10
Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!

Thanks for the advice.  I will start for a few weeks without any filters. If it will not work I will add some like you said.
Sounds like a plan. Will follow your thread and I am very excited on how it works. Perhaps I should try my Anti public systems again, too Smiley)
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!

Thanks for the advice.  I will start for a few weeks without any filters. If it will not work I will add some like you said.
member
Activity: 64
Merit: 10
Nice experiment. made this a couple of years ago already. It CAN work if you put in some more filters like minimum percentage where the public is on one side is for example 70%. So you bet on the team with 30% or less. Another filter could be where the smart money is. So try and find a game where min. 70% of the public is on one side and the odds move in favour of the 30% team. That means smart money is on the smaller side where your bet should be on.
Just my 2 cents. Anyway good luck on that one!
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
1st day.
As I said in the opening thread, I will bet against the public concensous
So here are my picks for today.

Cleveland VS Boston  52%  VS  48%   


Golden State VS  Houston   56%  VS  44%   


So my Picks are:

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/2610fe3aitlSHgzdU42cHZPam5wUGZoVmJrQT09/r/2223343/

Good Luck

copper member
Activity: 2940
Merit: 1280
https://linktr.ee/crwthopia
I'm quite intrigued with the experiment that you are about to do and I think if you somehow win a bet that is against the odds, you would already recover from the losses that you've gotten from previous bets. I would like to see a progression from this thread. Good luck to you.
legendary
Activity: 1148
Merit: 1000
I wanted to do this challange for a long time, And now with the beginning of the NBA season I will finally do it.
I will bet every day against the public opinions through the data at https://www.thespread.com/nba-basketball-public-betting-chart
The Idea behind this challange is that as we know, the bookies always wins becasue people bet on "easy" matches and in the end we see a LOT of surprises. I believe that play against the public in EVERY match will give me a profit.
I will summerize the result every couple days.
I place a bet of 0.001BTC on EVERY match
Every bet will be placed at NitrogenSports

The NBA season begins in 2 days.
Lets see what will happen.

Edit

Total after day 9
36 Wins VS  27Loses
Profit: 0.0065BTC
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