OK, I am always watching for new prototypes, just a couple of hours ago, CryptX burnins partner opened on their online store to offer the Bitbar fury prototype for first week of October delivery, It is so cool right ? wait till you see the price....
Again an overpriced Product which is totally disappointing, Burnin stated that the prototype will cost around 470€ - less than 5BTC at today exchange price, but again companies want to take advantage and suck the blood out of miners, they expect us to take all the losses, and they are so comfortable to make an exaggerated profits over all of us.
that been said , I am starting to think that the medium and small miners will start getting out of the mining game very soon, which will lead big companies ( manufacturers) to opening their own mining operation, the same like ASICMINER, we will see few big companies like that controlling the network with their hash power(not good) this is exactly what we call a centralization of the network hash power, which can be a threat not only for end users but to everyone, this will even drive to a competition between them, which will lead to even more instability of Bitcoin price.
I am just thinking out loud, I do not know what will happen till the end of the year, but I am sure it will get more interesting, most of calculator I was using is showing a negative income for most existing or to exist prototypes, and Investing in a pre-order now is like investing in the Unknown.
thinking about the pricing of first Batch avalon and first BFL products, when 60 Gh/s was offered for around 1300$, makes me question all offers from these new manufacturers.....
I really want to hear what do you think ? what kind of scenarios we are expecting ?
You are absolutely right. Look what happened to bitfury. Retail miners are just a side show, sold minuscule hashing power to retail. ghash.io, mbp etc. are mining big time, and will only sell to retail at overpriced levels or late enough to provide 50% ROI if that. Same will happen with all others that will come along.
I suspect in 6 months to a year, the ASIC war will be over. One or two most energy efficient designs will be used to control 90% of the network.
And retail will be controlling 10%, the other 90% will be in the hands of few big companies. Look at the rate ghash.io is making money. They mine two, three blocks every hour or so. Say 50 blocks/day, that is
BTC1250/day or 160K/day, you think they will not have the resources to design another 14nm chip to take over the 50% of hashing power. Easy.