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Topic: Audit of the Federal Reserve Reveals $16 Trillion in Secret Bailouts (Read 4746 times)

legendary
Activity: 1386
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rugrats, and now you're telling me about honesty Cheesy constantly twisting my words and putting claims that I didn't make in my mouth. And now you appear to be a telepath stating that I didn't know about Fedwire. Lol, you must be kidding me.
So yep, I'll move on.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 250
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
Maybe this example will help you get my idea.

Lets imagine a Chinese company selling goods to the USA. Here are the ways they can get their revenue:
1. Company has a bank account at an american bank, which has an account with the Fed;
2. Company has an account at a chinese bank, which has a subsidiary in the US, which has an account with the Fed;
3. Company has an account at a chinese bank, which has an account at the import-export bank, which has an account with the Fed;
4. Company has an account at a chinese bank, which has an account at the import-export bank, which has an account with PBOC, which has an account with the Fed;
5. etc...

These examples might not be precise, but they show that when you're transacting dollars, the long chain of intermediaries link your dollars to the U.S.

I've already countered this with my Japanese/Egyptian example earlier on
Remember Fedwire=domestic.
Consider, the seller and buyer's banks can choose not to use Fedwire and use other clearing houses to conduct their trade.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 250
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
rugrats, you don't argue kindly, so don't ask me to do the same.
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You say foreign companies trading with U.S companies must have local bank accounts.
I never said so, stop claiming that. That was a figure.
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Imagine an Asian export company that sells goods to the U.S. The dollar revenue they receive is credited to their account in some U.S. bank. It's still in the U.S.
Don't you understand the word "imagine"? Where is the word "must" what you repeatedly put in my mouth?

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2. Please read the links I've provided. Please don't ignore them and then ask for an explanation.
I've read your links. Honestly, they didn't give me anything new. That's why I asked for your explanation as if it could shed some light on the issue.

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3. The Federal Reserve and the Fedwire are not the same. One is a central bank, and the other is a payment system facilitating fund transfers between reciprocal domestic agents. Useful reading to differentiate between central banks and clearing houses: http://www.chicagofed.org/digital_assets/others/events/2014/annual_over_the_counter_derivatives_symposium/tucker_clearinghouses_new_central_banks_tucker_2014.pdf
Again, I never said they are the same. I said that Fedwire is operated by the Fed. C'mon, I know they're not equivalent.

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4. Fedwire works alongside other clearing houses, especially for international transfers. However, the Federal Reserve has it's own liquidity swaps program with several central banks. Guess what they're swapping? http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_liquidityswaps.htm
Be more concrete, what's your point here?

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5. Fedwire's RTGS system is not unique - nearly all first world central banks performs RTGS - as well as those in the majority of developing coutries.
I know that, and?

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6. Central banks, banks, financial institutions, and private corporations are different entities. Central banks, like the Federal Reserve, DO NOT have access to private wealth - even in Communist nations.
Tell me the point of your statements concerning our discussion.

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7. Your own link above does not contradict what I said.
Neither do yours contradict mine.

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8. Let's do a quick recap:
I originally said the U.S. Federal government might implement currency controls as one of the options to circumvent a dollar debt crisis with China.
You say dollars do not leave the Feds and the U.S.. You say foreign companies trading with U.S companies must have local bank accounts.
We've already established that both of these assertions are incorrect.
Have you established that in your head only?

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9. A concise summary on the subject: What happens to the US dollars used to buy imports?
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Thus, we see that those US dollars that leaked out of the US economy from purchases of imports by labor or capital are counterbalanced in various ways, including foreign investment in the United States, loans from foreigners and the actions of foreign central banks.
This article states that the dollars somehow "leak" but given the BOP requirements, they must come back in form of loans, investments, etc.. That's exactly what I mean, dollars do no "leave" or "leak" the U.S.

Sorry, I won't comment the rest, we seem to be discussing different ideas...

I have been very patient with you Roadtrain. If you don't see that, it's not my problem.
You're not an honest debater, because you keep sniping off my comments to avoid responding to them.
You are presenting a frankly ridiculous claim.

1. You keep trying to hide behind the word 'figure'. Did you not write that foreign companies trading with U.S. companies need to have bank account in the U.S.? That statement in itself ends the argument. If all the dollars are locked away in the U.S., how the heck are companies outside the U.S. getting paid?

2. You didn't read the links. You didn't even know about Fedwire before I brought it up.

3. No, you were operating under the impression that the Federal Reserve operated some kind of a "payment system" before you learned about Fedwire. Read your own words. It was necessary to explain to you that they are not the same.

4. Liquidity swaps mean currencies are traded outside of their home countries. It's all there. There is nothing vague about it.

5. No, you didn't know that. You said the Fedwire is "fundamentally different" because it uses RTGS.

6. Simple. You claim the Feds have access to all the dollars in the country. It doesn't. Private wealth, i.e., dollars held in banks are not under it's control.

7. My links contradict your weird assertion repeatedly, over and over again.

8. I've established it repeatedly, even in this post. But you lack the grace to admit that you were wrong and you continue to spout inanities in an attempt to prove some ridiculous notion.

9. So you concede that the dollars do leave the country then? The fact that they came back is a given. Trade doesn't flow in one direction.

You won't comment on the rest because you can't answer it without conceding that dollars do leave the country.

You were wrong. Move on. Everyone makes mistake sometimes.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009
Maybe this example will help you get my idea.

Lets imagine a Chinese company selling goods to the USA. Here are the ways they can get their revenue:
1. Company has a bank account at an american bank, which has an account with the Fed;
2. Company has an account at a chinese bank, which has a subsidiary in the US, which has an account with the Fed;
3. Company has an account at a chinese bank, which has an account at the import-export bank, which has an account with the Fed;
4. Company has an account at a chinese bank, which has an account at the import-export bank, which has an account with PBOC, which has an account with the Fed;
5. etc...

These examples might not be precise, but they show that when you're transacting dollars, the long chain of intermediaries link your dollars to the U.S.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009
rugrats, you don't argue kindly, so don't ask me to do the same.
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You say foreign companies trading with U.S companies must have local bank accounts.
I never said so, stop claiming that. That was a figure.
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Imagine an Asian export company that sells goods to the U.S. The dollar revenue they receive is credited to their account in some U.S. bank. It's still in the U.S.
Don't you understand the word "imagine"? Where is the word "must" what you repeatedly put in my mouth?

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2. Please read the links I've provided. Please don't ignore them and then ask for an explanation.
I've read your links. Honestly, they didn't give me anything new. That's why I asked for your explanation as if it could shed some light on the issue.

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3. The Federal Reserve and the Fedwire are not the same. One is a central bank, and the other is a payment system facilitating fund transfers between reciprocal domestic agents. Useful reading to differentiate between central banks and clearing houses: http://www.chicagofed.org/digital_assets/others/events/2014/annual_over_the_counter_derivatives_symposium/tucker_clearinghouses_new_central_banks_tucker_2014.pdf
Again, I never said they are the same. I said that Fedwire is operated by the Fed. C'mon, I know they're not equivalent.

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4. Fedwire works alongside other clearing houses, especially for international transfers. However, the Federal Reserve has it's own liquidity swaps program with several central banks. Guess what they're swapping? http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_liquidityswaps.htm
Be more concrete, what's your point here?

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5. Fedwire's RTGS system is not unique - nearly all first world central banks performs RTGS - as well as those in the majority of developing coutries.
I know that, and?

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6. Central banks, banks, financial institutions, and private corporations are different entities. Central banks, like the Federal Reserve, DO NOT have access to private wealth - even in Communist nations.
Tell me the point of your statements concerning our discussion.

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7. Your own link above does not contradict what I said.
Neither do yours contradict mine.

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8. Let's do a quick recap:
I originally said the U.S. Federal government might implement currency controls as one of the options to circumvent a dollar debt crisis with China.
You say dollars do not leave the Feds and the U.S.. You say foreign companies trading with U.S companies must have local bank accounts.
We've already established that both of these assertions are incorrect.
Have you established that in your head only?

Quote
9. A concise summary on the subject: What happens to the US dollars used to buy imports?
Quote
Thus, we see that those US dollars that leaked out of the US economy from purchases of imports by labor or capital are counterbalanced in various ways, including foreign investment in the United States, loans from foreigners and the actions of foreign central banks.
This article states that the dollars somehow "leak" but given the BOP requirements, they must come back in form of loans, investments, etc.. That's exactly what I mean, dollars do no "leave" or "leak" the U.S.

Sorry, I won't comment the rest, we seem to be discussing different ideas...
sr. member
Activity: 700
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Roadtrain, the Fed "payment system" you spoke of is actually Fedwire, which is similar in nature to CHIPS, SWIFT and ACH.
These are clearing houses that facilitate transfer of funds between endpoints with reciprocal arrangements.
I can't agree here. Fedwire is fundamentally different from the rest because it's a real-time gross settlement system and is directly operated by Federal Reserve banks. It doesn't employ any netting or bundling. It's actually the backbone for the whole US dollar payment system. As the base money is transacted via Fedwire, any other payment systems ultimately rely upon it.
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Certain payment and securities settlement systems, such as CHIPS and CLS, also rely upon Fedwire Funds Service to allow participants or their correspondents to provide necessary funding. CHIPS and CLS also use Fedwire Funds Service for settlement services by establishing zero-balance settlement accounts to settle clearinghouse participant obligations.

As the Fed is a source of dollars and it controls the dollar payment system, how can dollars leave the U.S.? Maybe if you explain that, we can reach to an agreement.



1. Please stop cherry picking my quotes. Kindly respond to my posts in its entirety.
2. Please read the links I've provided. Please don't ignore them and then ask for an explanation. I honestly can't believe we're still on this subject. I hope you're not just arguing for pride.
3. The Federal Reserve and the Fedwire are not the same. One is a central bank, and the other is a payment system facilitating fund transfers between reciprocal domestic agents. Useful reading to differentiate between central banks and clearing houses: http://www.chicagofed.org/digital_assets/others/events/2014/annual_over_the_counter_derivatives_symposium/tucker_clearinghouses_new_central_banks_tucker_2014.pdf
4. Fedwire works alongside other clearing houses, especially for international transfers. However, the Federal Reserve has it's own liquidity swaps program with several central banks. Guess what they're swapping? http://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_liquidityswaps.htm
5. Fedwire's RTGS system is not unique - nearly all first world central banks performs RTGS - as well as those in the majority of developing coutries.
6. Central banks, banks, financial institutions, and private corporations are different entities. Central banks, like the Federal Reserve, DO NOT have access to private wealth - even in Communist nations.
7. Your own link above does not contradict what I said.

8. Let's do a quick recap:
I originally said the U.S. Federal government might implement currency controls as one of the options to circumvent a dollar debt crisis with China.
You say dollars do not leave the Feds and the U.S.. You say foreign companies trading with U.S companies must have local bank accounts.
We've already established that both of these assertions are incorrect.

9. A concise summary on the subject: What happens to the US dollars used to buy imports?

Let me end this by presenting a few more questions for you to ponder on.
• Why do you think the Chilean and Malaysian governments implemented currency controls if it has no effect on their currency outflow?
• Why do commercial banks in U.S. are required by federal law to seek coverage of the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation?
• Why do you think some people hide their dollars - electronically - in bank accounts in Switzerland, the Cayman Islands or the Bahamas, if it's still in the U.S?
• Why is money laundering an issue if the Feds has control of all of the dollars?
• Why do the Federal government blacklist banks or bank accounts of terrorist organizations if the Feds have control of these funds?
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
Economists and Libertarians both must be scratching their heads at this type of information.

Bottom line is that it is a complete mystery that these loans haven't created more than just a yawn in the global economy.

Either:

1. It is only a matter of time before these new dollars have the classic negative impacts that we expect when a government basically prints money by the truck load.

OR

2. Every economist and Libertarian needs to adjust their views on fiat money, printing and the like.

I think #2 is more likely as I don't see a global collapse of value. It just hasn't happened. Doubling my gas and milk prices in 7 years is not enough for me to buy into an economic collapse around the world.

Can't we agree, there are certainly some new economics in play here that we don't have our heads wrapped around yet?....
AFAIK, there's never been a proven correlation between more USD being created and CPI increasing. Ever. CPI seems to be almost entirely dependent on economic dynamism and a RNG.
CPI changes based on the demand and supply of goods and services. It will increase when the economy grows so quickly that growth in economic demand will outpace growth in economic supply AND there is not enough incentives to keep money in savings type products.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009
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Roadtrain, the Fed "payment system" you spoke of is actually Fedwire, which is similar in nature to CHIPS, SWIFT and ACH.
These are clearing houses that facilitate transfer of funds between endpoints with reciprocal arrangements.
I can't agree here. Fedwire is fundamentally different from the rest because it's a real-time gross settlement system and is directly operated by Federal Reserve banks. It doesn't employ any netting or bundling. It's actually the backbone for the whole US dollar payment system. As the base money is transacted via Fedwire, any other payment systems ultimately rely upon it.
Quote
Certain payment and securities settlement systems, such as CHIPS and CLS, also rely upon Fedwire Funds Service to allow participants or their correspondents to provide necessary funding. CHIPS and CLS also use Fedwire Funds Service for settlement services by establishing zero-balance settlement accounts to settle clearinghouse participant obligations.

As the Fed is a source of dollars and it controls the dollar payment system, how can dollars leave the U.S.? Maybe if you explain that, we can reach to an agreement.
hero member
Activity: 675
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The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
China is a net exporter of goods to the US. This essentially forces them to be a net buyer of US dollars. If they did not do this then their currency would get too strong which they do not want (and would hurt their own economy)
Exactly. The simple accounting principles tell us that Chinese are accumulating dollars because they have to, not because they want to.
They really don't have many other options for investments to use their massive trade surplus. The Euro is really only the viable option, however it's face is not certain and it has come close to breaking up in recent years. The next widely traded currencies are the british pound and the yen which are really too small for the Chinese to buy in any significant quantities. 
One day if the US cannot afford the goods from China, USD is useless.

As long as China holds large amounts of USD, they will not allow this to happen.
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1015
Economists and Libertarians both must be scratching their heads at this type of information.

Bottom line is that it is a complete mystery that these loans haven't created more than just a yawn in the global economy.

Either:

1. It is only a matter of time before these new dollars have the classic negative impacts that we expect when a government basically prints money by the truck load.

OR

2. Every economist and Libertarian needs to adjust their views on fiat money, printing and the like.

I think #2 is more likely as I don't see a global collapse of value. It just hasn't happened. Doubling my gas and milk prices in 7 years is not enough for me to buy into an economic collapse around the world.

Can't we agree, there are certainly some new economics in play here that we don't have our heads wrapped around yet?....
AFAIK, there's never been a proven correlation between more USD being created and CPI increasing. Ever. CPI seems to be almost entirely dependent on economic dynamism and a RNG.
newbie
Activity: 24
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Well, that is the work of the government and its aids. We should not be surprised by it.
sr. member
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(i) Are you saying that when, say, a Bank of America branch in New York is instructed to transfer US$1 million to the Industrial & Commercial Bank of China in Guangdong, the Federal Reserve merely change the ownership of said funds in its "payment system"? Do they automatically create third-party accounts for ICBC as well in their payment system?
Considering that Industrial & Commercial Bank of China has a subsidiary in the US, that well may be that simple. Anyway, the bank must somehow have access to the US payment system, either directly or through intermediaries.

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(ii) What do you think it means when countries say they have $xxx million US dollar reserves?
Does that mean the Feds has internally allocated US$xxx million in its "payment system"?
It means that they have amassed some dollars that they can use. It's like a bank account.
Some portion of these reserves is placed at the Fed directly, yes. Reserves can also be managed by intermediary financial institutions (custody services).

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(iii) When a Japanese company pays for a product supplied by an Egyptian company in US$, do the affected parties (or their banks) contact the Feds to facilitate said payment?
I think they don't. It's usually done via SWIFT, i.e. by using payment orders between banks. Anyway, the banks need to somehow have access to the dollar payment system, either directly or via intermediaries Smiley

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(iv) Does the Feds directly participate as middlemen in foreign exchange trades between brokerages?
I doubt it, but everything is linked to the Fed payment system anyway.

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Also, are you still maintaining that foreign companies have to open U.S bank accounts to trade with American companies?
I don't, and I never did. It was just a figure.

Roadtrain, the Fed "payment system" you spoke of is actually Fedwire, which is similar in nature to CHIPS, SWIFT and ACH.
These are clearing houses that facilitate transfer of funds between endpoints with reciprocal arrangements.

To make it easier for you, think of fund transfers before the internet, when telex, telegraphic, fax or even phone instructions between reciprocal parties are conducted, including those by Fedwire - hence the use of routing codes in the form CHIPS UID, Fedwire ABA, IBANs and SWIFT BIC to transfer funds to specific designees.
Settlements, netting and novation via direct transfers, basket of currencies or instruments are thereafter conducted to balance book shortfalls of endpoint agents.
Actual settlements DO take place on regular basis, and funds are not held in trust.

For your reading pleasure:
Page 100-106, THE DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY BLUEPRINT FOR A MODERNIZED FINANCIAL REGULATORY STRUCTURE 
Transparency and Compliance for U.S. Banking Organizations Conducting Cross-Border Funds Transfers 

Now, going back to my original statement of currency controls to restrict the outflow of dollars, there are precedents - similar frameworks were enacted in Chile (1991-98) and Malaysia (1998 - now).

INTERNATIONAL BORROWING, CAPITAL CONTROLS AND THE EXCHANGE RATE: LESSONS FROM CHILE
Did the Malaysian Capital Controls Work?

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Also, are you still maintaining that foreign companies have to open U.S bank accounts to trade with American companies?
I don't, and I never did. It was just a figure.
Your words.
Imagine an Asian export company that sells goods to the U.S. The dollar revenue they receive is credited to their account in some U.S. bank. It's still in the U.S.
hero member
Activity: 896
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The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
China is a net exporter of goods to the US. This essentially forces them to be a net buyer of US dollars. If they did not do this then their currency would get too strong which they do not want (and would hurt their own economy)
Exactly. The simple accounting principles tell us that Chinese are accumulating dollars because they have to, not because they want to.
They really don't have many other options for investments to use their massive trade surplus. The Euro is really only the viable option, however it's face is not certain and it has come close to breaking up in recent years. The next widely traded currencies are the british pound and the yen which are really too small for the Chinese to buy in any significant quantities. 
One day if the US cannot afford the goods from China, USD is useless.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009
Quote
(i) Are you saying that when, say, a Bank of America branch in New York is instructed to transfer US$1 million to the Industrial & Commercial Bank of China in Guangdong, the Federal Reserve merely change the ownership of said funds in its "payment system"? Do they automatically create third-party accounts for ICBC as well in their payment system?
Considering that Industrial & Commercial Bank of China has a subsidiary in the US, that well may be that simple. Anyway, the bank must somehow have access to the US payment system, either directly or through intermediaries.

Quote
(ii) What do you think it means when countries say they have $xxx million US dollar reserves?
Does that mean the Feds has internally allocated US$xxx million in its "payment system"?
It means that they have amassed some dollars that they can use. It's like a bank account.
Some portion of these reserves is placed at the Fed directly, yes. Reserves can also be managed by intermediary financial institutions (custody services).

Quote
(iii) When a Japanese company pays for a product supplied by an Egyptian company in US$, do the affected parties (or their banks) contact the Feds to facilitate said payment?
I think they don't. It's usually done via SWIFT, i.e. by using payment orders between banks. Anyway, the banks need to somehow have access to the dollar payment system, either directly or via intermediaries Smiley

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(iv) Does the Feds directly participate as middlemen in foreign exchange trades between brokerages?
I doubt it, but everything is linked to the Fed payment system anyway.

Quote
Also, are you still maintaining that foreign companies have to open U.S bank accounts to trade with American companies?
I don't, and I never did. It was just a figure.
sr. member
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The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
Or, the Federal government can impose some form of currency controls, preventing instrument holders from removing their dollars out of the country.
Well, there's no reasonable way to remove these dollars out of the country.

I'm sorry, but I'm not quite sure I get what you're saying.
Billions of USD exit the United States daily.
Enforcing capital control is the only method to stem the outflow.

I mean, the only way to 'remove' dollars out of the U.S. is to convert them to cash, load a tanker with it, and sail away.
But today, when dollars are mostly electronic, they are not 'leaving' U.S., they remain in the financial system.

Imagine an Asian export company that sells goods to the U.S. The dollar revenue they receive is credited to their account in some U.S. bank. It's still in the U.S.

You're laboring under a flawed assumption, RoadTrain.
Actually, dollars do leave the country, either electronically or physically - every minute of every single day.
Foreign exporters are not required to hold bank accounts in U.S to conduct trade.
Flip to page 14 (Table 2), and you can see the entire foreign direct investment (not trade) outflow of dollars from the U.S. for the period between 2007-2012.
Money flows are virtual. When money "flows" from an American company to a Chinese one, it only changes the ownership, but it all happens over the U.S. payment system, namely the Fed payment system. If not directly, then via intermediaries.

As I said, only physical dollars can actually leave the country. You'd better tell me what implications it has on the U.S.

Just to be clear,

(i) Are you saying that when, say, a Bank of America branch in New York is instructed to transfer US$1 million to the Industrial & Commercial Bank of China in Guangdong, the Federal Reserve merely change the ownership of said funds in its "payment system"? Do they automatically create third-party accounts for ICBC as well in their payment system?

(ii) What do you think it means when countries say they have $xxx million US dollar reserves?
Does that mean the Feds has internally allocated US$xxx million in its "payment system"?

(iii) When a Japanese company pays for a product supplied by an Egyptian company in US$, do the affected parties (or their banks) contact the Feds to facilitate said payment?

(iv) Does the Feds directly participate as middlemen in foreign exchange trades between brokerages?

I am really, really trying to understand what you are trying to argue with me here.

Edit: Also, are you still maintaining that foreign companies have to open U.S bank accounts to trade with American companies?
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
Or, the Federal government can impose some form of currency controls, preventing instrument holders from removing their dollars out of the country.
Well, there's no reasonable way to remove these dollars out of the country.

I'm sorry, but I'm not quite sure I get what you're saying.
Billions of USD exit the United States daily.
Enforcing capital control is the only method to stem the outflow.

I mean, the only way to 'remove' dollars out of the U.S. is to convert them to cash, load a tanker with it, and sail away.
But today, when dollars are mostly electronic, they are not 'leaving' U.S., they remain in the financial system.

Imagine an Asian export company that sells goods to the U.S. The dollar revenue they receive is credited to their account in some U.S. bank. It's still in the U.S.

You're laboring under a flawed assumption, RoadTrain.
Actually, dollars do leave the country, either electronically or physically - every minute of every single day.
Foreign exporters are not required to hold bank accounts in U.S to conduct trade.
Flip to page 14 (Table 2), and you can see the entire foreign direct investment (not trade) outflow of dollars from the U.S. for the period between 2007-2012.
Money flows are virtual. When money "flows" from an American company to a Chinese one, it only changes the ownership, but it all happens over the U.S. payment system, namely the Fed payment system. If not directly, then via intermediaries.

As I said, only physical dollars can actually leave the country. You'd better tell me what implications it has on the U.S.
sr. member
Activity: 700
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Vave.com - Crypto Casino

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
Or, the Federal government can impose some form of currency controls, preventing instrument holders from removing their dollars out of the country.
Well, there's no reasonable way to remove these dollars out of the country.

I'm sorry, but I'm not quite sure I get what you're saying.
Billions of USD exit the United States daily.
Enforcing capital control is the only method to stem the outflow.

I mean, the only way to 'remove' dollars out of the U.S. is to convert them to cash, load a tanker with it, and sail away.
But today, when dollars are mostly electronic, they are not 'leaving' U.S., they remain in the financial system.

Imagine an Asian export company that sells goods to the U.S. The dollar revenue they receive is credited to their account in some U.S. bank. It's still in the U.S.

You're laboring under a flawed assumption, RoadTrain.
Actually, dollars do leave the country, either electronically or physically - every minute of every single day.
Foreign exporters are not required to hold bank accounts in U.S to conduct trade.
Flip to page 14 (Table 2), and you can see the entire foreign direct investment (not trade) outflow of dollars from the U.S. for the period between 2007-2012.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
Or, the Federal government can impose some form of currency controls, preventing instrument holders from removing their dollars out of the country.
Well, there's no reasonable way to remove these dollars out of the country.

I'm sorry, but I'm not quite sure I get what you're saying.
Billions of USD exit the United States daily.
Enforcing capital control is the only method to stem the outflow.

I mean, the only way to 'remove' dollars out of the U.S. is to convert them to cash, load a tanker with it, and sail away.
But today, when dollars are mostly electronic, they are not 'leaving' U.S., they remain in the financial system.

Imagine an Asian export company that sells goods to the U.S. The dollar revenue they receive is credited to their account in some U.S. bank. It's still in the U.S.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 250
Vave.com - Crypto Casino

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
Or, the Federal government can impose some form of currency controls, preventing instrument holders from removing their dollars out of the country.
Well, there's no reasonable way to remove these dollars out of the country.

I'm sorry, but I'm not quite sure I get what you're saying.
Billions of USD exit the United States daily.
Enforcing capital control is the only method to stem the outflow.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
Or, the Federal government can impose some form of currency controls, preventing instrument holders from removing their dollars out of the country.
Well, there's no reasonable way to remove these dollars out of the country.
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 250
Vave.com - Crypto Casino

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
Or, the Federal government can impose some form of currency controls, preventing instrument holders from removing their dollars out of the country.
Or, the Federal government can just impose a payment moratorium on Chinese-held instruments under some made-up pretext.

Either way, it remains in China's best interest to remain on friendly economic terms with the United States.
full member
Activity: 173
Merit: 100

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
China is a net exporter of goods to the US. This essentially forces them to be a net buyer of US dollars. If they did not do this then their currency would get too strong which they do not want (and would hurt their own economy)
Exactly. The simple accounting principles tell us that Chinese are accumulating dollars because they have to, not because they want to.
They really don't have many other options for investments to use their massive trade surplus. The Euro is really only the viable option, however it's face is not certain and it has come close to breaking up in recent years. The next widely traded currencies are the british pound and the yen which are really too small for the Chinese to buy in any significant quantities. 
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
China is a net exporter of goods to the US. This essentially forces them to be a net buyer of US dollars. If they did not do this then their currency would get too strong which they do not want (and would hurt their own economy)
Exactly. The simple accounting principles tell us that Chinese are accumulating dollars because they have to, not because they want to.
hero member
Activity: 568
Merit: 500
Smoke weed everyday!

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
China is a net exporter of goods to the US. This essentially forces them to be a net buyer of US dollars. If they did not do this then their currency would get too strong which they do not want (and would hurt their own economy)
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
The day they decide so, the current account will finally be in balance, and there will be no need for additional foreign funds.

Either way, the system will rebalance, but it doesn't imply there will be default.
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1064

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

The day foreign countries like China decide they have enough USD, the government may find it difficult to manage its high debt levels.
legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009
Economists and Libertarians both must be scratching their heads at this type of information.

Bottom line is that it is a complete mystery that these loans haven't created more than just a yawn in the global economy.

Either:

1. It is only a matter of time before these new dollars have the classic negative impacts that we expect when a government basically prints money by the truck load.

OR

2. Every economist and Libertarian needs to adjust their views on fiat money, printing and the like.

I think #2 is more likely as I don't see a global collapse of value. It just hasn't happened. Doubling my gas and milk prices in 7 years is not enough for me to buy into an economic collapse around the world.

Can't we agree, there are certainly some new economics in play here that we don't have our heads wrapped around yet?....
These "new economics" has been in play since 1971, the year Bretton-Woods collapsed.
The fiat money economics that's in play today is a good example of market-driven money creation (money is created by lending). These QE's by Fed are meaningless as they can't change the amount of money in the economy unless the private sector is willing to borrow. That's why they fail to induce any significant inflation.

The same thing is with government debt. It's in there because domestic private and foreign sectors are willing to save. There are no any shenanigans in this, sectoral balancing is a simple thing that anyone can manage understand.

Why the private sector is willing to save and unwilling to borrow is a different question. The reasons can be cyclical or structural. E.g. in Japan it's structural, while in the U.S. it turns out to be cyclical.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
Can we get a bailout on the money we have lost the last few months in btc?

Yes, if it was other people's money and you are "systemically important".
LOL, the answer to his question is no. Period. When the banks were "bailed out" they were not given any money at all; they were lent money (sometimes under favorable conditions) which they had to repay. It is really not accurate to say that banks were given a $16 trillion bailout as this is not the value that banks received from these loans

The Federal Reserve also bought toxic assets from banks at inflated values. This was a direct transfer of money to the banks.
The federal reserve actually made money on bonds sold by AIG to the tune of several billion dollars, earning a very good ROI. The prices on bonds that the fed purchased were also artificially deflated and did not reflect the NPV value of the bonds in question. The banks were essentially forced to sell because they were facing a liquidity crisis and would have made more money if they had held onto the bonds

Just because the market turned doesn't mean that the Fed paid a fair value for those bonds at that time. If the Fed hadn't stepped in, banks would have sold those assets at a much lower value (which would have been the market price).
member
Activity: 81
Merit: 10
Can we get a bailout on the money we have lost the last few months in btc?

Yes, if it was other people's money and you are "systemically important".
LOL, the answer to his question is no. Period. When the banks were "bailed out" they were not given any money at all; they were lent money (sometimes under favorable conditions) which they had to repay. It is really not accurate to say that banks were given a $16 trillion bailout as this is not the value that banks received from these loans

The Federal Reserve also bought toxic assets from banks at inflated values. This was a direct transfer of money to the banks.
The federal reserve actually made money on bonds sold by AIG to the tune of several billion dollars, earning a very good ROI. The prices on bonds that the fed purchased were also artificially deflated and did not reflect the NPV value of the bonds in question. The banks were essentially forced to sell because they were facing a liquidity crisis and would have made more money if they had held onto the bonds
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
who is responsible for this? I think there are many parties involved in the action of this bailout, all blame each other for sure, no one wants to be responsible, there must have been enjoying this bailout action, hopefully The federal reserve can find people who is responsible for the actions of this bailout ...  Embarrassed

Bailout does not equate to corruption. Smiley
sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
who is responsible for this? I think there are many parties involved in the action of this bailout, all blame each other for sure, no one wants to be responsible, there must have been enjoying this bailout action, hopefully The federal reserve can find people who is responsible for the actions of this bailout ...  Embarrassed
member
Activity: 78
Merit: 10
Can we get a bailout on the money we have lost the last few months in btc?

Yes, if it was other people's money and you are "systemically important".
LOL, the answer to his question is no. Period. When the banks were "bailed out" they were not given any money at all; they were lent money (sometimes under favorable conditions) which they had to repay. It is really not accurate to say that banks were given a $16 trillion bailout as this is not the value that banks received from these loans
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1000
Can we get a bailout on the money we have lost the last few months in btc?

Yes, if it was other people's money and you are "systemically important".
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
Can we get a bailout on the money we have lost the last few months in btc?
full member
Activity: 183
Merit: 100

Oh my, what a bold and explosive statement you have there.

National debts come into existence when governments spend more than what they earn.
These deficits are funded by direct loans from financial institutions, national trusts, bonds, LGs and other monetary instruments.
These loans have to be paid back, with interests, usually through tax increases, draconian spending cuts or, more loans.
National debt is never a good thing, especially one caused by chronic budget deficits, because it usually screams of incompetence, at the very least.


Totally agree. When the national debt keeps increasing as a proportion of GDP, you know you are in trouble. Any external shock, which impacts GDP growth, could result in the debt becoming unserviceable. This is the reasons why some countries have a fiscal responsibility law.
The ability of a government to service it's debt depends on the "market's" faith in a  country's ability to repay their debts. As soon as the "market" starts to believe that the country is not going to be able to repay their debt the country will effectively lose access to capital markets and will incur a debt crisis.
legendary
Activity: 1358
Merit: 1000

Oh my, what a bold and explosive statement you have there.

National debts come into existence when governments spend more than what they earn.
These deficits are funded by direct loans from financial institutions, national trusts, bonds, LGs and other monetary instruments.
These loans have to be paid back, with interests, usually through tax increases, draconian spending cuts or, more loans.
National debt is never a good thing, especially one caused by chronic budget deficits, because it usually screams of incompetence, at the very least.


Totally agree. When the national debt keeps increasing as a proportion of GDP, you know you are in trouble. Any external shock, which impacts GDP growth, could result in the debt becoming unserviceable. This is the reasons why some countries have a fiscal responsibility law.
hero member
Activity: 1014
Merit: 1055
BS.

Thats the amount which was lend. The EU made the same. Thats providing the banks with money. Its normal process. Its like mining Bitcoins, Morons.
legendary
Activity: 1639
Merit: 1006
Economists and Libertarians both must be scratching their heads at this type of information.

Bottom line is that it is a complete mystery that these loans haven't created more than just a yawn in the global economy.

Either:

1. It is only a matter of time before these new dollars have the classic negative impacts that we expect when a government basically prints money by the truck load.

OR

2. Every economist and Libertarian needs to adjust their views on fiat money, printing and the like.

I think #2 is more likely as I don't see a global collapse of value. It just hasn't happened. Doubling my gas and milk prices in 7 years is not enough for me to buy into an economic collapse around the world.

Can't we agree, there are certainly some new economics in play here that we don't have our heads wrapped around yet?....
sr. member
Activity: 700
Merit: 250
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
National debt is not the same as personal debt. In fact, national debt is a very very good thing. All of those debts that add up to 17 trillion dollars have hard-set timetables for completion, no, China cannot "call it in" and ask for all of their money back.

National debt is a good thing because it means that other countries are happy to loan to the United States, and they are confident that they will get their investment back and more. Confidence is the driver of economies in a virtuous cycle, so as long as other countries keep loaning money to the United States, the US economy will be healthy. The day the US stops borrowing money is the day that the economy crashes worse than ever before.




Oh my, what a bold and explosive statement you have there.

National debts come into existence when governments spend more than what they earn.
These deficits are funded by direct loans from financial institutions, national trusts, bonds, LGs and other monetary instruments.
These loans have to be paid back, with interests, usually through tax increases, draconian spending cuts or, more loans.
National debt is never a good thing, especially one caused by chronic budget deficits, because it usually screams of incompetence, at the very least.
legendary
Activity: 961
Merit: 1000
National debt is a good thing because it means that other countries are happy to loan to the United States, and they are confident that they will get their investment back and more. Confidence is the driver of economies in a virtuous cycle, so as long as other countries keep loaning money to the United States, the US economy will be healthy. The day the US stops borrowing money is the day that the economy crashes worse than ever before.

That's some broken logic there.

Our ability to borrow is what makes other countries confident. The actual borrowing reduces our ability to borrow, so the more debt the U.S. has the less confident other countries are. Less borrowing is better. The day that the US is unable to borrow is the day the dollar collapses.
This is true. Additionally the more we borrow, the more we have to tax our citizens, which depresses our economy.

And the more that is borrowed, the more that needs to be paid back. Which is why IR's cannot be anyhthing other than in the 0% range. If they go up, then it's insolvency, prevented only by the ability to print.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
DLISK - Next Generation Coin
National debt is a good thing because it means that other countries are happy to loan to the United States, and they are confident that they will get their investment back and more. Confidence is the driver of economies in a virtuous cycle, so as long as other countries keep loaning money to the United States, the US economy will be healthy. The day the US stops borrowing money is the day that the economy crashes worse than ever before.

That's some broken logic there.

Our ability to borrow is what makes other countries confident. The actual borrowing reduces our ability to borrow, so the more debt the U.S. has the less confident other countries are. Less borrowing is better. The day that the US is unable to borrow is the day the dollar collapses.
This is true. Additionally the more we borrow, the more we have to tax our citizens, which depresses our economy.
sr. member
Activity: 260
Merit: 250
In fact, national debt is a very very good thing. All of those debts that add up to 17 trillion dollars have hard-set timetables for completion, no, China cannot "call it in" and ask for all of their money back.

National debt is a good thing because it means that other countries are happy to loan to the United States, and they are confident that they will get their investment back and more. Confidence is the driver of economies in a virtuous cycle, so as long as other countries keep loaning money to the United States, the US economy will be healthy. The day the US stops borrowing money is the day that the economy crashes worse than ever before.


Oh dear. This comment is symbolic of something, but I'm not sure what. A sign of the times I guess.
sr. member
Activity: 336
Merit: 250
DLISK - Next Generation Coin
I don't know if you've been following the news, but the House of Representatives (US) has just voted in favor 333-92 for the Federal Reserve Transparency Act, aka Audit The Fed. I created a Government petition:
http://wh.gov/iiFlu

Please, if we can get 100k signatures, then we may be able to get the white house to force a vote in the senate! Please share
The white house has zero control over what the senate votes on. This is determined by senate leadership which happens to include Harry Reid, who will not bring any bills that do not fit liberal policy to vote
sr. member
Activity: 262
Merit: 250
I hate my family
I don't know if you've been following the news, but the House of Representatives (US) has just voted in favor 333-92 for the Federal Reserve Transparency Act, aka Audit The Fed. I created a Government petition:
http://wh.gov/iiFlu

Please, if we can get 100k signatures, then we may be able to get the white house to force a vote in the senate! Please share
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
Calling out scams, one HYIP at a time...
You guys do realize this article is from 2 years ago, right?
hero member
Activity: 988
Merit: 1000
It was really no secret that the Fed spent trillions on bailouts. I think the $16 trillion figure is somewhat inflated though. It is also important to note that all the money used to bail banks out has been paid back with interest (except the money lent to the automakers - it was really given to the UAW).
full member
Activity: 133
Merit: 100
I wouldnt call it shocking though. This is why we have Bitcoin where everything is clear and public
cp1
hero member
Activity: 616
Merit: 500
Stop using branwallets
Is there a website that doesn't have any pictures of Guy Fawkes on it that could truthfully summarize the findings and state them for regular people to read?
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1014
interested . this will be bigger . its btc will touch 5k next year .
i believe it will happened .

either that or the financial system will be reset via a large war. US and R-USsia are working on it, Ukraine might be just a stage for a play, a show.  Embarrassed
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 500
Time is on our side, yes it is!
 This is the kind of news that makes me bullish on Bitcoin.  It's news like this that should be discussed at length by the average person.  Nothing will change if people don't have a clue where the problems started or who plays the major roll in causing the problems.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
STILL MISSING MY 12 BTC FROM SCAMOOLAHPAL! >:O
Under the table dealing. Got to love the GOV.
newbie
Activity: 12
Merit: 0
interested . this will be bigger . its btc will touch 5k next year .
i believe it will happened .
full member
Activity: 350
Merit: 104
Need an accountant or an auditor to explain what all these numbers mean.

Throwing a big number around doesn't mean anything without proper context.
legendary
Activity: 4466
Merit: 3391
So where this total comes from exactly?

How is that a fabrication? It is written black on white at page 131.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
--------------->¿?
So where this total comes from exactly?
legendary
Activity: 4466
Merit: 3391
Apparently the $16 trillion number is a fabrication.

Here is the report: http://www.sanders.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/GAO%20Fed%20Investigation.pdf


How is that a fabrication? It is written black on white at page 131.

Sorry, "fabrication" was a very poor choice of words. "Misleading" or "out-of-context" are better descriptions. Here is an explanation of why the $16 trillion amount needs to be considered in context.

Quote
Table 8 aggregates total dollar transaction amounts by adding the total dollar amount of all loans but does not adjust these amounts to reflect differences across programs in the term over which loans were outstanding. For example, an overnight PDCF loan of $10 billion that was renewed daily at the same level for 30 business days would result in an aggregate amount borrowed of $300 billion although the institution, in effect, borrowed only $10 billion over 30 days. In contrast, a TAF loan of $10 billion extended over a 1-month period would appear as $10 billion.

In other words, the Fed didn't loan anyone $16 trillion.

legendary
Activity: 1386
Merit: 1009
Another FUD.
Right on the page 130
Quote
For example, an overnight PDCF loan of $10 billion that was renewed daily at the same level for 30 business days would result in an aggregate amount borrowed of $300 billion although the institution
That's just a sum of transaction amounts, not that it says much.
legendary
Activity: 1582
Merit: 1064
We will have to wait and see whether any action is taken on this.
At least, it has become public now.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
--------------->¿?
How accurate is the news and figure on the report?

The link doesn't look like a reliable source.

The link provided the source of the audit http://www.sanders.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/GAO%20Fed%20Investigation.pdf
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
--------------->¿?
Apparently the $16 trillion number is a fabrication.

Here is the report: http://www.sanders.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/GAO%20Fed%20Investigation.pdf


How is that a fabrication? It is written black on white at page 131.
full member
Activity: 151
Merit: 100
How accurate is the news and figure on the report?

The link doesn't look like a reliable source.
legendary
Activity: 1372
Merit: 1000
--------------->¿?
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