Hello guys i have some strategies and assumptions for August 1. Can i get your opionions on them :
Strategy 1:
Buy bitcions now and get free BCC. Imdeiatly after the hardfork sell your bitcoins because the price of btc will drop for a short time. Then buy bitcoins again the next day or 2 a lot cheaper. I do belvie the price of btc will drop around 10% -20% for a short time after the bcc release,
But, do not buy bitcoin at the peak, as it seems decreases today, maybe it will continue to decrease tomorrow. So, yes buy bitcoin at $2400-$2500.
Strategy 2:
Put everything in USD. Wait for August 1st. Assuming the price will drop. Buy bitcions then.
Not a good idea as you will miss free cash from bcc on August 1st and it's not safe to buy bitcoin on that day as bitcoin nodes should be clear before everyone could send-receive bitcoin.
Strategy 3:
Buy altcoins now cheap, because btc is main interest and altcoins are cheap.
It can be a good idea as well, because some altcoins will increase/recover again on August I guess.
Main Assumption:
People are piling BTC now so they can get free BCC.
Opposite Assumption:
After the split. People will see big decrease in BCC price, because a lot of people will want to jsut dump. Which will be a signal for succsess for the BTC, in which case BTC price will go up.
Question:
What do you think is gonna happen to BTC price in Poloniex close before and during the August first split?
My assumption is that the price wil either freeze or it will start decreasing in fast pace. Because the people who want free BCC will have their coins in non-exchange wallets already.
Bcc price will dump hard and bitcoin will rise because people may transfer cash from bcc to bitcoin.
I'm not sure about Poloniex, but I've seen any statement they will support bcc, they said maybe.
“We cannot commit to supporting any specific blockchain that may emerge if there is a blockchain split. Even if two viable blockchains emerge, we may or may not support both and will make such a decision only after we are satisfied that we can safely support either blockchain in an enterprise environment,” http://www.trustnodes.com/2017/07/25/bitmex-says-no-bitcoin-cash-poloniex-says-maybe-bitcoin-com-saysSo, you may send bitcoin to bitfinex or kraken as they already said will support bcc.