I just read an email from Avalon posted in the BFL forums stating that they effectively delayed batches 2 and 3 so they could build their own mining farm to print money for themselves.
https://forums.butterflylabs.com/bfl-forum-miscellaneous/1454-avalon-drops-bomb-second-batch.htmlThe key text is this:
"On to batch three, we at Avalon did not even wish to sell another batch. If you recall, our original plan was to produce only one batch, sell chips to thwart the centralization of mining, but due to the lackluster performance of our competitors we are here today as the exact centralization we tried to decouple. In addition, this delay is eating into our timeline for this project's future goals and various other projects. To be frank: it was a simple decision of build a mining farm ourselves and mine for a month or so to get the funding for things like the SMT line and next generation development vs. raise the price and sell units trying to get the money earlier to counterbalance the delay we have had. So, we came up with some terms and left the choice to the community."
All it says is what they (rhetorically) thought of doing. Not what they actually did. I realize reading skills are not something everyone posses.
Read it again, they explain they could have chosen between raising prices and mining themselves. They chose to raise prices to cover the costs. People paid it. They got what they needed for the second SMT line (high speed) machines that build hardware is very expensive).
Again, those who will actually read the message will realize what it says.
Edit: Differentiate this with Inaba a BFL employee who dropped a bombshell that he was taking about half a wafer (now about 1 full wafer since they had to double the chips) to build his own mining farm of Minirigs. He admitted that his 2 Minirigs are just a tiny portion of his full order!
This is certain and absolutely true! This is not to deflect but to contrast what may have been (with Avalon and why they instead raised their prices to crazy levels) vs what BFL did do...despite having so much money and despite promising not to mine on the Bitcoin Main network.Avalon: We could have raised prices to buy expensive hardware (they did) OR we could have made a mining farm to cover expenses (they didn't go down that route).
BFL: We raised prices [period] and our employee started taking chips to renovate his mining farm. Thousands of chips. (no, I am not kidding, go look on the BFL forums. It is what got me banned from there.)
The substance of what you're saying is weakened by your needling that I should learn how to read or if I read it I'd understand. You should try not to be such a dick when you communicate with people- I am guessing that would work better for you.
I did read it. I read it very carefully. To your main point- they did not actually raise prices between batches 2 and 3. The BTC/USD market did move such that the boxes were way more expensive in $ terms but technically, their prices didn't change. So if Guo is saying that they had to choose between raising prices or building a farm, since they didn't raise prices, maybe he's actually saying they built a farm. Technically, he's not lying with his statement if they are mining now but the implication is that they're not- he's consistently said that they don't and won't mine. But his statement could be interpreted to mean that they actually are. It's vague, perhaps intentionally, and if it is intentional misdirection it's an act of verbal gymnastics that a politician could be proud of.
I don't know that they did in fact build a farm and you have no way of knowing that he's speaking rhetorically. What we do know is that the machines haven't shipped. They accomplished a Herculean feat of getting chips made and machines assembled to deliver batch 1 on time but somehow they can't get batch 2 done? Batch 2 should be a walk in the park relative to batch 1. And what about the 30 Terahashes that have hit the network that people suspect are these machines? Where did those come from if not Avalon?
I did a rough calculation that estimated they make about 200k USD per day by using batch 2 machines for themselves. That's a strong pull to the dark side...