As we all noticed, the market is quite bullish now, we hit $40k and it's already trading above that level.
I said "bad news' because with this recent development involving CZ and Binance, this usually bring some negative sentiment but look what's happening, the market is going on the opposite side and it kees getting bullish.
So this is just my observation, like in the past, about exchange getting hacked, China FUD, etc.. it all resulted to a BULL RUN!
So is this guy? Tell me about your opinion about this....
As always, the market is unpredictable for the most part, but I think the market has also noticed that huge crashes of exchanges that are a major part of the global infrastructure, don't cause BTC suffering from lasting damages. It is all very temporary and the more often these crashes happened, the less the market reacted to them.
Now the story with Binance is different because that exchange is not any exchange, but the biggest there is in the world. And additionally, it is not only the biggest, but the biggest by far. This could have an impact on the overall sentiment in any industry when the big players faces a potential meltdown. But I think the allegations and settlements were more or less clear in the direction that Binance was not supposed to cease operations. The question is whether they have the liquidity and reserves to pay the penalties.
But assuming that Binance would crash, I doubt that this would have an impact on BTC's price, or put differently, a significant impact. Because it is more like a bank run then. People would not sell their BTC, but try to withdraw it. It would need some time for consolidation in the market until people found a place they think is safe for trading or they take it off market and keep it in their own wallets. But I don't think it would initiate a sell-off. I can't see why that would make sense.
Anyone a different opinion on this in the hypothetical scenario of a Binance meltdown?