c. Consume 120 Watts (maximum estimate) ($7.78/mo @ .09c KWh)
Warning: Irrational exuberance detected.
Why the heck would you expect that a "maximum estimate" established for 3/4th of the hash power would still hold?
OK. Fine. I'll double the maximum power estimate to 240 watts (which I think is an outrageously high number). The bASIC is still on top.
1. Buy from BFL (~$1300 invested)
a. Get 60 Gh
b. Get your ASICs in January/February
c. Consume 60 Watts ($3.94/mo @ .09c KWh)
d. Estimated profit at 10x difficulty: $327.52/mo
e. Estimated profit at 20x difficulty: $161.79/mo
f. Estimated profit at 30x difficulty: $106.54 /mo
g. Estimated profit at 40x difficulty: $78.92/mo
h. Estimated profit at 50x difficulty: $62.35/mo
i. Estimated profit at 60x difficulty: $51.30/mo
2. Buy from Tom (~$1070 invested)
a. Get 72 Gh
b. Get your ASICs in January/February
c. Consume 240 Watts (maximum estimate) ($15.56/mo @ .09c KWh)
d. Estimated profit at 10x difficulty: $382.09/mo
e. Estimated profit at 20x difficulty: $183.21/mo
f. Estimated profit at 30x difficulty: $116.92 /mo
g. Estimated profit at 40x difficulty: $83.77/mo
h. Estimated profit at 50x difficulty: $71.66/mo
i. Estimated profit at 60x difficulty: $63.88/mo
EDIT: That "bASIC will use more than 120 watts" argument relates to the "BFL can't get 1Gh/watt argument", both of which no one really knows the answers to. It is doubtful any manufacturers have anything more than a prototype.