Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! VALUE BETS on Fairlay.com

fairlay

sr. member

Activity: 443

Merit: 250

Another value bet: this time on the Bitcoin difficulty:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-difficulty-31b/

bet against difficulty >31B at odds of 3.5. Note that from the current difficulty data odds should be more like 2. (50%/50%).

Some sources that predict the difficulty and their current prediction:

https://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty: 31,109,256,240
https://cryptanalys.is/difficulty/bitcoin_btc.php: 29,611,949,922
http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincalculator.php: 29,804,000,000
http://mining-profit.com/bitcoin-difficulty-history: 30171493992

Thus all sites (in exception of bitcoinwisdom) predict a difficulty of <31B that would bring you 3.5 times your money back.

fairlay

sr. member

Activity: 443

Merit: 250

Argentina will win the worldcup:

odds:
Betfair: 2.42
Fairlay 2.506

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/germany-will-win-the-football-world-cup/
http://www.betfair.com/exchange/football/market?id=1.103163147

fairlay

sr. member

Activity: 443

Merit: 250

Odds are getting even better for betting against Germany!! They are now 1.49!! With more then 1100 mBTC open!

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/germany-will-win-the-football-world-cup/

Ad betfair you get odds of 1,37 for the same bet (lay odds of 3,7)

fairlay

sr. member

Activity: 443

Merit: 250

Really good odds against Germany World Cup winner:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/germany-will-win-the-football-world-cup/
1.45 odds, 855.24 mBTC waiting to be matched...

Betfair odds in comparison:
http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=103163147&ex=1&origin=LHMA

fairlay

sr. member

Activity: 443

Merit: 250

326mBTC are waiting to be placed on France!

odds Fairlay: 2.4
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/france-will-reach-the-next-round-against-germany/

odds Betfair: 2.26
http://sports.betfair.com/?mi=114477104&ex=1&q=france

And remember - we only take a 2% fee of the winnings instead of 5% like betfair!

good luck!

fairlay

sr. member

Activity: 443

Merit: 250

We right now have another very attractive bet open:

This time: 5.762 odds for: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/brazil-argentina-germany-and-netherlands-will-reach-the-quarter-final/

To see why you should take the bet you have to do a little math:

http://www.betfair.com/exchange/football/market?id=1.111937772
here you find the odds for Netherlands, Brazil, Argentina and Germany to reach the semi final.
You should look at the "lay" odds - because this are the odds people want and right now nobody is willing to give them.

They are: 1.26, 1.49, 1.69 and 1.74

Now multiply them: the result is 5,52. So every bet itself is a little bit on your favor and the combined odds on fairlay are even clearly above.

fairlay

sr. member

Activity: 443

Merit: 250

Fairlay.com is a prediction market/betting exchange where people bet against each other.
Just now:

https://www.fairlay.com/predict/latest

Someone just placed 100mBTC on Brazil with odds you would get at a bookmaker like bwin. We do not take the bet because we are only a exchange/marketplace for bets. That means YOU CAN TAKE it and profit from it like a bookmaker. You have to bet on "No" on:
https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/brazil-will-win-the-football-world-cup/

with the odds of 1.4. You can cover the bet with up to 250mBTC - but no worries, you can take a fraction of it as well...

Good Luck!

Topic: Be "the house", place a bet with odds that favors you! VALUE BETS on Fairlay.com (Read 1784 times)