Author

Topic: Bears, it's over. (Read 3484 times)

legendary
Activity: 1176
Merit: 1010
Borsche
January 29, 2013, 01:41:49 PM
#38
Just some food for thought - over the last three years, *every* major bitcoin correction was to a level slightly above previous high. Can't be certain of course, but it does look like the next correction would be down to 33$ or something.
legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
January 29, 2013, 01:32:35 PM
#37
Well even IF BTC goes to the moon there likely will be multiple large corrections. Still that does little good if someone is waiting for $1 USD:BTC and even with the next correction it doesn't go below $11.  Smiley

Very true with regard to relative price change - but I will be quite surprised if we don't see sub $10USD btc at some time within the next 6 months.  And for the record - no I'm not waiting on $1 btc - though I wouldn't be to upset to see it ;-)

Prepare to be surprised.  I would love the opportunity to buy at $10 again.
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 105
Poorer than I ought to be
January 29, 2013, 11:56:34 AM
#36
Well even IF BTC goes to the moon there likely will be multiple large corrections. Still that does little good if someone is waiting for $1 USD:BTC and even with the next correction it doesn't go below $11.  Smiley

Very true with regard to relative price change - but I will be quite surprised if we don't see sub $10USD btc at some time within the next 6 months.  And for the record - no I'm not waiting on $1 btc - though I wouldn't be to upset to see it ;-)
donator
Activity: 1218
Merit: 1080
Gerald Davis
January 29, 2013, 11:32:50 AM
#35
Unless btc is really going 'to the moon,' it's pretty much guaranteed that there will be another 50% correction given an unlimited time horizon.  Hence, it's NEVER over for a true bear - I do have to admit to feeling rather frustrated my entry price seems an awfully long way away at this point tho.

Well even IF BTC goes to the moon there likely will be multiple large corrections. Still that does little good if someone is waiting for $1 USD:BTC and even with the next correction it doesn't go below $11.  Smiley
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
January 29, 2013, 11:31:19 AM
#34
Unless btc is really going 'to the moon,' it's pretty much guaranteed that there will be another 50% correction given an unlimited time horizon.  Hence, it's NEVER over for a true bear - I do have to admit to feeling rather frustrated my entry price seems an awfully long way away at this point tho.
50% of what? Half the most recent gain? Half the recent rate of growth? Half the overall value? Even the corrections themselves can be subject to halving with diminishing returns on speculation.
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 105
Poorer than I ought to be
January 29, 2013, 11:27:33 AM
#33
Unless btc is really going 'to the moon,' it's pretty much guaranteed that there will be another 50% correction given an unlimited time horizon.  Hence, it's NEVER over for a true bear - I do have to admit to feeling rather frustrated my entry price seems an awfully long way away at this point tho.
full member
Activity: 129
Merit: 100
January 29, 2013, 11:12:09 AM
#32
The bubble needs to rise faster to pop.  That drop last week let some of the air out.  I'm just disappointed I won't win the free 10 bitcoins.
hero member
Activity: 518
Merit: 500
January 29, 2013, 10:08:40 AM
#31
This is just your single opinion. Tell that to the average joe who only knows how to check his email and nothing more.

I think you give the average joe too much credit!
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 508
Firstbits: 1waspoza
January 29, 2013, 06:24:53 AM
#30
Enjoy your bubble until it bursts. I'll be waiting. Got plenty of time.

donator
Activity: 980
Merit: 1000
January 29, 2013, 06:19:50 AM
#29
Enjoy your bubble until it bursts. I'll be waiting. Got plenty of time.
Quote

Got any coins left to sell?
sr. member
Activity: 546
Merit: 252
Proof-of-Stake Blockchain Network
January 29, 2013, 05:45:48 AM
#28
Enjoy your bubble until it bursts. I'll be waiting. Got plenty of time.
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
January 29, 2013, 05:41:22 AM
#27
With Bitcoin going up so high and such low trading volume, it looks like someone is buying. Is there a whale quietly buying Bitcoin?

I would say low volume + higher prices = few people willing to sell at current prices.
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1014
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
January 29, 2013, 05:38:06 AM
#26
With Bitcoin going up so high and such low trading volume, it looks like someone is buying. Is there a whale quietly buying Bitcoin?
sr. member
Activity: 504
Merit: 250
January 29, 2013, 05:28:35 AM
#25
Bernanke have an invalid address!
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 508
Firstbits: 1waspoza
January 29, 2013, 05:14:52 AM
#24
Yeah bears, it's over. Even Ben Bernanke gave up:

sr. member
Activity: 504
Merit: 250
January 29, 2013, 04:58:46 AM
#23
You decide:

Bears have a lifespan of 15 to more than 30 years in the wild.

Bulls can live to 10 to 14 years of age, but most are culled or slaughtered for beef when they're around 5 to 6 years old.
legendary
Activity: 1708
Merit: 1020
January 29, 2013, 04:45:03 AM
#22
Easily $10k per BTC. Grin

Actually very likely but the road to 10000 USD per 1 BTC will wind through bear country with many healthy and hungry bears along the way. If one believes even for a single moment that all the bears are dead, then it becomes almost certain that one gets eaten by a bear along the way.
exactly. and to think governments and the establishment will give up control and wealth without a fight is naive. rough times ahead.
hero member
Activity: 887
Merit: 1000
January 29, 2013, 01:31:15 AM
#21
Easily $10k per BTC. Grin

Actually very likely but the road to 10000 USD per 1 BTC will wind through bear country with many healthy and hungry bears along the way. If one believes even for a single moment that all the bears are dead, then it becomes almost certain that one gets eaten by a bear along the way.

As long as the gambling industry keeps growing, poker especially, the bears wont stand a chance.  Gamblers are nuts and will learn how to get their hands on bitcoins to play their little poker game. :p
legendary
Activity: 2282
Merit: 1050
Monero Core Team
January 29, 2013, 01:20:35 AM
#20
Easily $10k per BTC. Grin

Actually very likely but the road to 10000 USD per 1 BTC will wind through bear country with many healthy and hungry bears along the way. If one believes even for a single moment that all the bears are dead, then it becomes almost certain that one gets eaten by a bear along the way.
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
January 28, 2013, 10:11:11 PM
#19
Bulls, I would just like to remind you that the Cnet article "A guide to the future of currency" coincided with the 2011 bubble peak. Wink

Cnet and Bloomberg have very different demographics

Yes, but where is your argument?
legendary
Activity: 1666
Merit: 1057
Marketing manager - GO MP
January 28, 2013, 10:03:17 PM
#18
Bulls, I would just like to remind you that the Cnet article "A guide to the future of currency" coincided with the 2011 bubble peak. Wink
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
January 28, 2013, 09:11:31 PM
#17
That is why price is still hovering around $18. When Bitcoin becomes so simple that average joe is able use just like credit card, we will be seeing price a lot higher than this.

Easily $10k per BTC. Grin
full member
Activity: 215
Merit: 100
January 28, 2013, 09:08:06 PM
#16
Bitcoin is not more difficult to use than banks or credit cards. Converting between bitcoin and fiat is another matter entirely.

This is just your single opinion. Tell that to the average joe who only knows how to check his email and nothing more.

Bitcoin needs to reach Mr. Average Joe in order to go mainstream and completely viral.

Of course it's only my opinion, but I've seen how banks and CC issuers operate, and their requirements and procedures are, partly as a result of government regulation, far more involved than installing a BTC wallet.

The 'average joe' seems to know, even if only a little, how to bank online and how to log into social media on mobile devices. Or am I missing something obvious? I agree that Bitcoin isn't dummy-level stuff, though, but nor does it require Einsteinian intelligence or a PhD.

In case you missed my point:

The average joe knows how to use a credit card and how to go to the bank to get money (i.e atm). Bitcoin isn't that simple...yet. So yes it is more difficult to use than the current way people are used to banking.



That is why price is still hovering around $18. When Bitcoin becomes so simple that average joe is able use just like credit card, we will be seeing price a lot higher than this.
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
January 28, 2013, 09:06:13 PM
#15
In case you missed my point:

The average joe knows how to use a credit card and how to go to the bank to get money (i.e atm). Bitcoin isn't that simple...yet. So yes it is more difficult to use than the current way people are used to banking.

If we include the conversion of fiat to BTC as part of the Bitcoin process, then yes, I agree with you.
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
January 28, 2013, 09:01:20 PM
#14
Bitcoin is not more difficult to use than banks or credit cards. Converting between bitcoin and fiat is another matter entirely.

This is just your single opinion. Tell that to the average joe who only knows how to check his email and nothing more.

Bitcoin needs to reach Mr. Average Joe in order to go mainstream and completely viral.

Of course it's only my opinion, but I've seen how banks and CC issuers operate, and their requirements and procedures are, partly as a result of government regulation, far more involved than installing a BTC wallet.

The 'average joe' seems to know, even if only a little, how to bank online and how to log into social media on mobile devices. Or am I missing something obvious? I agree that Bitcoin isn't dummy-level stuff, though, but nor does it require Einsteinian intelligence or a PhD.

In case you missed my point:

The average joe knows how to use a credit card and how to go to the bank to get money (i.e atm). Bitcoin isn't that simple...yet. So yes it is more difficult to use than the current way people are used to banking.

hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
January 28, 2013, 08:44:32 PM
#13
Bitcoin is not more difficult to use than banks or credit cards. Converting between bitcoin and fiat is another matter entirely.

This is just your single opinion. Tell that to the average joe who only knows how to check his email and nothing more.

Bitcoin needs to reach Mr. Average Joe in order to go mainstream and completely viral.

Of course it's only my opinion, but I've seen how banks and CC issuers operate, and their requirements and procedures are, partly as a result of government regulation, far more involved than installing a BTC wallet.

The 'average joe' seems to know, even if only a little, how to bank online and how to log into social media on mobile devices. Or am I missing something obvious? I agree that Bitcoin isn't dummy-level stuff, though, but nor does it require Einsteinian intelligence or a PhD.
legendary
Activity: 2072
Merit: 1001
January 28, 2013, 08:40:52 PM
#12
Bitcoin is not more difficult to use than banks or credit cards. Converting between bitcoin and fiat is another matter entirely.

This is just your single opinion. Tell that to the average joe who only knows how to check his email and nothing more.

Bitcoin needs to reach Mr. Average Joe in order to go mainstream and completely viral.

In other words facebook needs to integrate it for some reason :-)
legendary
Activity: 2492
Merit: 1491
LEALANA Bitcoin Grim Reaper
January 28, 2013, 08:38:35 PM
#11
Bitcoin is not more difficult to use than banks or credit cards. Converting between bitcoin and fiat is another matter entirely.

This is just your single opinion. Tell that to the average joe who only knows how to check his email and nothing more.

Bitcoin needs to reach Mr. Average Joe in order to go mainstream and completely viral.
full member
Activity: 154
Merit: 100
January 28, 2013, 01:39:27 PM
#10
That is why I called it correction earlier.Smiley
hero member
Activity: 784
Merit: 1000
Annuit cœptis humanae libertas
January 28, 2013, 01:27:27 PM
#9
Bitcoin is not more difficult to use than banks or credit cards. Converting between bitcoin and fiat is another matter entirely.
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
January 28, 2013, 01:15:05 PM
#8
Yes, the CB's are doomed and Bitcoin will rise like a Phoenix.
Let's not be hasty. I think Bitcoin is on the way up, but no matter the usefulness of bitcoins, government-issued currency can do certain useful things bitcoins can't. Legally unambiguous settlement of debt or tax obligations, for example.

Also, doesn't "rising like a phoenix" imply that Bitcoin will have to die first?

$32-->$1.98 was it's death, albeit premature.

Hard to call it a death, really, when it was still over 100% higher at that lowest point than it had been at the start of the year Wink
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
January 28, 2013, 01:08:46 PM
#7
Quote
Pyramid game, payment system for illicit goods, swindles, massive valuation gyrations, hackable code, difficult to use, and anonymous "managers" that we are supposed to trust

Someone with no idea how Bitcoin works has a lot to say.

...

https://twitter.com/Corbenic

Just some CEO of a failing venture capital company.
hero member
Activity: 560
Merit: 500
January 28, 2013, 12:55:51 PM
#6
Quote
Pyramid game, payment system for illicit goods, swindles, massive valuation gyrations, hackable code, difficult to use, and anonymous "managers" that we are supposed to trust

Someone with no idea how Bitcoin works has a lot to say.

Pyramid game

Reward for work is not a pyramid. Neither is the ability to send money.


payment system for illicit goods

As are most currencies.


swindles

Again, not unique/a fault of Bitcoins.


massive valuation gyrations

This is true. But it's still around and going strong, unlike other wildly fluctuating currencies.


hackable code

One does not simply "hack", SHA256


difficult to use

Kinda true, it's less convenient than traditional payments methods.


anonymous "managers" that we are supposed to trust

NO! There are no "managers" of bitcoin. The only person who manages your BTCs is YOU. If you leave them lying around unprotected, or give them to someone who rips you off, it's your own fault.
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
January 28, 2013, 12:20:05 PM
#5
Yes, the CB's are doomed and Bitcoin will rise like a Phoenix.
Let's not be hasty. I think Bitcoin is on the way up, but no matter the usefulness of bitcoins, government-issued currency can do certain useful things bitcoins can't. Legally unambiguous settlement of debt or tax obligations, for example.

Also, doesn't "rising like a phoenix" imply that Bitcoin will have to die first?

$32-->$1.98 was it's death, albeit premature.
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
January 28, 2013, 12:20:02 PM
#4
Yes, the CB's are doomed and Bitcoin will rise like a Phoenix.

Also, doesn't "rising like a phoenix" imply that Bitcoin will have to die first?

See the 2011 bubble and crash.
legendary
Activity: 960
Merit: 1028
Spurn wild goose chases. Seek that which endures.
January 28, 2013, 12:18:09 PM
#3
Yes, the CB's are doomed and Bitcoin will rise like a Phoenix.
Let's not be hasty. I think Bitcoin is on the way up, but no matter the usefulness of bitcoins, government-issued currency can do certain useful things bitcoins can't. Legally unambiguous settlement of debt or tax obligations, for example.

Also, doesn't "rising like a phoenix" imply that Bitcoin will have to die first?
legendary
Activity: 1764
Merit: 1002
January 28, 2013, 12:06:03 PM
#2
Wow, great find!

Yes, the CB's are doomed and Bitcoin will rise like a Phoenix.
newbie
Activity: 56
Merit: 0
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