Topic: Bet on favorites early in the week & underdogs late in the week strategy... (Read 266 times)

Yes because there's no fool proof strategy that could help us win in sports betting. As experts said, you only need to win more than 52% to be profitable in the long run, that is considering you are discipline with managing your bankroll. This method here could potentially make you profitable as it works most of the time, it may not be a major strategy, but it's vital in order to get somehow a good advantage.

Playing early in the week and late in the week has advantage and also disadvantages. Sometimes people play games early in the week when the odd is high and it provides a higher chances of winning big. but if you play on weekends the odd might reduce. Morover the high odd gives you a higher amount if won.
But the disadvantage is that most people who study games and odd will tell you that you can only understand the odd by weekend because if it increases from maybe the initial 2 odd to maybe 3.5 odd on weekends that is to say you are at risk of loosing. because the higher the odd the riskier the game. So that is what I understand about playing ealy the wek and later in the week.

For a moment if we agree to this theory, this means that the under dogs will perform better in the later part of the week and win matches.
Also, it means that the strong teams will usually perform bad in the start of the week and their performance will deteriorate over the week. This is just strange logic which i fail to understand.

Maybe that broadcaster experience this once or twice and he decided to make it public as a "Rule of Thumb" but actually this never happens consistently.

I won't take this as a betting tip but just for my confirmation, i will see and compare the results of the matches played throughout the week and determine if this theory is really true 

Efficient indeed to do so, however odds are changing from time to time if you will be betting mid game. I tried it before and rewards ain't that decent to go low and if you will be increasing your wager, things might still go off simply because nothing's assured. Not because star players won't be there perhaps on the opponent team, then it would be an assured winning bet. Bench players could still step up and not to mention that sometimes star players are on bricks-- yes I am referring to sportsbetting in particular with NBA. And my conclusion only is; everything's possible to both winning and losing outcomes and that's just how gambling works. Luck will always be the determinant of the outcome no matter how good our analysis is. No one could control the game other than players themselves. Even with other sports such as in boxing in particular with handicaps; moving to other weight classes.

So what to do then? then just bet with moderation in particular with your wager. If you happened to win, then maintain your amount of wager and follow your limitations. In this instance, you won't suffer from huge loss and would more likely make your betting experience more efficient.

Possibly some normal distribution shenanigans where data wouldn't make sense on its own but would start showing some patterns when you compare it with a larger sample size. Although honestly this will be the first time that I have heard of it, and if not for the probable statistical relevance that this could bring I'm immediately going to can it and call it bollocks lol. Cause there's no real rhyme or reason as to why every game for that matter would favor giving the dub to crowd favorites on the first half of the week and the underdogs on the latter when the distinction between the two isn't even based on any level of technicality in the first place. It's like the whole shit is screaming bullcrap to me but I'm trying so hard to try and make sense of it lol.

In any case I might try this strategy just for the hell of it, and since it's going to be a mini-experiment of sorts I would say I'd look at a sample size spread out between 6 weeks just to make sure that there's just enough data that we could put a pin on it in the earliest possible time without interfering with the supposed normal distribution hoobla that I just talked about previously. I'll let you guys know most likely.

Ima a wait until the game is about to start kind of guy.  People get thrown on injury reports or is deactivated in nba or baseball for rest and it screws everything else up.  Yeah it can work in your favor but when I'm sports gambling I like the most information I can possibly get.

Taking a bet early in sportbook does not make any difference to me but the spread is what is going to be different since to be quick is more profiting with higher odds than coming late which the odds might have reduced. Any strategy that seems to work for us is what we should follow and we don't have to necessarily go for the rule of thumb.

I don't even care about all this rules because they only existed to increase our profits if only we are fortunate to be on the winning side. Some can still follow any of these files and end up losing e en with all the strategies and rule of thumb that must have been followed. The best thing is for us to follow and work on what will give us the kind of results we are looking for.

The professional means the gambler may know how to react to the every situation in the gambling,he know when to withdraw to avoid of the complete loss in the gambling.The casino game in the gambling was the peculiar one,because it based on the prediction.If you made the win,it was essential to withdraw the funds after sometime.Because the reverse algorithm of the gambling site will take all your money to the loss.Instead leaving the gambling with the capital and minimum profit will be the far better option to the gambler.


The strategy itself not work with the algorithm of the gambling site all the time,the important one was the gambling should change their own strategy many times based on the gambling algorithm changed.The gamblers should have three different strategies to apply for the new game,because the creation of strategies at the game was the hardest part for the gamblers.He need to use the one after another in the same game to make profit.

We know that when it comes to strategy then people would be coming up with different variations and on the time that they would really be able to win then they would really be tending to save up that condition
that they had been able to do on that point. If it turns out that weekend betting is something an underdog could be able to win and ended up on a positive result by someone then it would really be not shocking that they would really be sticking into that principle on which they would really be making it as a strategy.Yes, there would be no solid proofs about for this one to be actually be working yet we do know that people would really be that sticking into something which they do know that it would be working. This is why it would be on someones personal choice whether they would really be sticking into those strategies or not
but pretty much sure that they would really be testing or trying it out if it does work or not. It would really be just that depending into someones interest but pretty sure that there would really be those people
who would really be that curious into this regard.

You're missing the entire point.  This is also a sentiment that I've seen others post here. Yeah of course it has absolutely nothing to do with the outcome of the match per say, it's all about utilizing a strategy to obtain better odds. I think everyone could agree that when placing sports bets, it's advantageous to get the best odds you can.  That's what this is all about.  People seem to be missing the point here.

It's a great strategy that works some times but doesn't work all the time. Sports can go either ways when being played therefore there's not accurate strategy that can be used to win all the time. When I want to pick a team to put my money on, I do background checks on how good the teams has been playing before the game ahead. I look at both teams and weigh their strength and weakness before I decide which one to bet my money on, sometimes I win other times I lose but that's gambling.

I also have another strategy that I use for sport betting, I look at the trend for the game week, if the underdogs are having a good week for the start of the game week, I put my money on the underdogs for the rest of the week but not in all games only for those I feel the underdog have a chance of winning and their odds are too big that I can win huge sum of money by having just one prediction correct.

Yes it could go either way, but most of the time it's the heavy favorites that usually move due to the reason I mentioned above.
It's not perfect because it's not guaranteed, but just like the rule in gambling, we go with the higher chance and that is "most of the time".



Odds or spreads does not really give you the win, it just gives you more winning chance if you are getting a better value. But it's just how to handicap the games, if you are good at it, you'll likely win more using this strategy.

However, as for me experience, since I am not really so good in choosing winning bets, so I don't see the effect, yet.

In sports betting, the movement of betting lines could go either way. It might be true that heavy favorites could get the bulk of bets as soon as the odds are released and early bettors could take advantage of higher odds. But the odds could actually go even higher as the game nears. That's why there are actually pros and cons in betting early as your odds, whether you're with the favorite or underdog, could actually improve later on.

By the way, do you use this strategy? I mean, that you place your bet in the early part of the week if you're with the favorite and later part of the week if you're with the underdog? How has it been? Since you also claimed that it is a rule of thumb, therefore more or less accurate, has it been doing great?

So far, I haven't heard of this betting strategy that involves betting on specific days of the week. I guess it must be sports or even league-specific that has a unique game schedule.


I mean I'm betting regardless of days. Sometimes I bet early; sometimes I bet late. There are times when I think betting on certain odds early is advantageous. There are also times when I wait for a little longer because I believe the betting line would move in my favor.

Generally, the good thing about betting late even if it's the favorite you're betting on is that we aren't sure how things would develop. In NBA, for example, you would learn later on that this and that star player won't be playing. In boxing or MMA, there might be news that the training of a fighter isn't really running well as the fight day nears.

But I'm probably not profitable in gambling, so I might adopt this strategy, after all.  

in MMA where an underdog can win with a slight mistake from the favorite fighter, the odds can change a lot unless they see the favorite is extremely dominant whether on a ground fight or standing. but if the favorite fighter is mainly a boxer kind and his opponent is a wrestler, any of them can win the fight depending on who hits the hardest first. so betting in advance might not really matter much as the odds will just slightly change.

bettors option is to bet on methods of winning either win by KO or win by Submission which the odds can be higher. and so the reason for analyzing the skills of the fighter is necessary.

In as much as betting or placing a bet in the earlier part of the week doesn't or cannot alter the outcome of the match I am not bothered placing bet at that time though the odd or spread might be high what matter most to me is picking the sure bets a day before the matches for instance picking my bets weekend matches on Thursday and Friday while picking bets for midweek UCL matches on Sunday and Monday with the aim of accumulating the odds to 3.00 to 4.00 though as from now I will take a close observation of the odds if there are noticeable difference then I might start my pick very early to accumulate more odds.

Well it is generally accurate.  Not sure why you're bothered by it. I thought I'd open this discussion just to see how many here had been utilizing this strategy and what they've seen by doing so.  This is simply how Vegas odds tend to shift over the week, or over time depending on how far apart the match is for whichever sport you're betting on.  "But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets"    I guess you're immune to legitimate gambling strategies?



Of course not, but certainly a decent common "rule of thumb" that could be useful.


This is honestly a pretty silly thing to say.  Yes, it does matter. Any edge you can gain can be extremely helpful.  Of course it doesn't guarantee a win, that's not the point.

Betting on favorites early and underdogs later in the week is a common rule of thumb in sports betting, but it's not a guaranteed strategy. Success often comes from a mix of stats, research, and staying flexible with changing team dynamics. Rather than sticking strictly to rules, it's good to be open-minded and adapt your approach based on what's happening. Finding your own groove through a bit of experimentation is part of the fun and challenge in sports betting.

I don't know much about rules like that because as far as I do, I only bet on teams that I know, whether it's the underdog team or betting on the favorite team. If each of them is clearly inferior in terms of performance to the opposing team, I will not choose it even though it is my favorite team. And if my favorite team has no chance of winning, I won't bet at all.

Maybe they say that because they have had such a good experience with it that they suggest we or their listeners use it too. People who talk on podcasts share their experiences with others, and it's not because they already have the experience that we jump on it. We need to do in-depth research on it if we want to follow them. And if we don't find the truth, we don't follow it and look for what we like or want.

I can't study it carefully, because I didn't fully listen to the podcast you were listening to. you are just quoting the main points from the podcast you listened to, namely the basic rules that must be adhered to when betting on sports, betting on favorites at the start of the week and Under-dogs at the end of the week. my question is, is this rule a definite basis, and is the source who said this an expert in that field? honestly, I'm not familiar with this statement. just like you do, I also always listen to podcasts about sports in my local media. there is a lot of material that I can get, it even becomes knowledge for me to involve in betting. honestly, I'm not sure that I necessarily agree that it's a strategy. ideally, anyone who is a resource person in a podcast that discusses gambling, even with their advice, not necessarily what they say is what they apply or even do.

I'm also not a professional gambler, but I like sports. I rarely listen to podcasts about strategies in sports betting, but I prefer ones that discuss material related to football. because of this, it could be useful points for me personally. for example, I follow several channels such as podcasts that discuss football and also analysis in football. this is important for me, because at least I have an idea of ​​what the coach will implement with his system, patterns and strategies. so, we don't have to bet like "Bet on favorites early in the week & underdogs late in the week strategy" because this is not ideal for me personally. for me the most effective strategy is to know about the sport itself, what I mean is football. in this way, we can study and analyze how a team will play its match. if I explain too long, the community may not agree. well, for me there is no ideal strategy in sports betting, let alone football. because, everything depends on the situation and conditions of a team that will compete. apart from that, there are other variables, and this is where, for me, the art of betting lies.

I am also not a professional gambler I think this strategy is not good enough and also not bad enough either, so far I play sports betting always make sure to use analysis and research in-depth information before betting on matches that are underdogs or really not underdogs, it all comes back Again, it's up to your own luck, don't think that this strategy is also good to use because this method still won't work.

What I mean is that this doesn't mean that the strategy can't work either, sometimes everyone has their own way of gambling, you probably know that every professional bets on gambling based on proper analysis too because without that kind of ability it's difficult to guess which ones are worth betting on. seeded or not seeded, for me betting on big leagues and top teams in the world is better than using a strategy like that. 

Why would a strategy like this work? The only scenario where this can be succesful, is when there are mass manipulation of different games or fights.

I think this is just a Sport betting myth and not something that can be statistically proven. If this was true... everyone would be doing this and casinos would have gone bankrupt.

If you are regularly betting on sports, you will know this thing. It's a rule of a thumb since most bettors would choose to bet on the favorites spread compared to the underdog, so when the line is available, they'll hammer it until the spread will increase to balance the bets. That's why betting early gives you an advantage.

The key here is "line movement".

Check this NBA lines, https://www.sportsline.com/nba/odds/... and see its movement.

I am no expert too so I might try this one. Never heard of it before but it somehow caught my attention. Maybe, I will first have a trial and error or analyze if it does happen by checking on the games in this week to come.
Did they say if this is applicable in every sport? Then the timeline too? This should be Eastern Time right? An example would be like this day. It's a Sunday night in the US while it's Monday morning in other places of the world. So it's the first day of the week against the last day of the week.

I think it's Eastern Time because right now underdogs are winning in NBA. It's Sunday. Some underdogs kept the game close and if we take the + spreads we will win it.
I am putting this in my sticky notes so that I won't forget it. I mean I will add this to my consideration before putting my bets and after analysis. I have been losing some of my games so I'd take any strategy that I will see when it comes to sports betting.
Thanks for sharing @ChiChiBitCTy.

I'm a little bit bothered to call this rule of thumb. I mean, something is considered rule of thumb because it is generally right or accurate, therefore widely accepted. But I highly doubt the accuracy of this strategy. Surely, sports bettors don't just place a bet based on which player or team is the favorite and which is the underdog. Actually, it's only now that I heard of this approach or strategy in sports betting. I'm also not a professional bettor myself, so I could have missed this strategy. But I guess, now that I've learned it, I still won't apply it on my bets.

It may even work out well for you. There's nothing to lose by giving the strategy a shot. If you bet on favorites early in the week or underdogs late in the week, you will typically examine your choices since we base our decisions on how the odds for favorites and underdogs are moving in sports betting. Having said that, it's crucial to remember that there are many complicated sports betting strategies out there and that winning at betting often requires an in-depth understanding of the particular sport, team, and betting markets. Like any gambling, there are risks associated with sports betting, and there is no surefire way to be successful.

It doesn't really matter the strategy you are using, everyday isn't a win day and they means that even with the best strategy you are not guaranteed of winning yet until you have won your game and it's been paid out they you can be sure for certain that your strategy worked and is a sure and good one.

Betting on the underdogs latter in the week usually comes with bigger odds meanwhile that of the bigger team reduces as the scheduled day new so if you want to take advantage of the odd then you are advised to make your stake over the week and then not waiting to the day scheduled for the game as by the they will definitely be slight change in the odds which are definitely dynamic. It's always good to explore odds before the scheduled day for the game if you want you possible win to be bigger.

Odds could really be that indeed different if those lines are already available 5 days before the fight or event comparing if its been given on that particular day or day 1 or 2
on which if you are really that assured that a certain player/team could win then that would really be giving out that advantage since you could really be able to earn more
but just like you've said that im also a bettor who do have that flexible betting style on which it could really be that too early or could really be just that having on point.
It would really be just that depending on the assessment whether the bet to take is considerable or something that i could say i'd pass.

It's worth following occasionally if you can wait several days or weeks. Make sure the sportsbooks you use always put up early lines because there are still sportsbooks that put up lines once the match is a day or two away from kickoff. If you're lucky enough, you could get a 5% - 20% difference in winnings because the odds difference between a few points can go for that much.

Unfortunately, I don't follow it due to my flexible betting style, but I always see other gamblers catching good lines whenever they're about to share the picks they've made.

Never came across anything like it before but it piqued my interest.  Makes some sense that the spreads get bigger later in the week so the underdogs become more tempting and  i wonder if anyone's tried using this strategy and actually won more bets.  Could be worth a shot.  If it works, awesome, you found a new way to beat the sportsbooks.  If not, it was an interesting experiment at least.  Maybe some of you sharps out there have thoughts on whether this strategy holds water.  I'm curious what people who know more about betting than me think.

This depends on the sports you are betting and the match scheduled for that specific date. Because the date in general doesn’t affect the match result regardless if it’s favorite or underdog. This is not a rule of thumb in general because the schedule of matches on weekdays and weekends varies.

Probably the podcast you are listening is pertaining to a specific league that already have matches scheduled available for the whole league. He probably already analyzed all the upcoming matches and notice that most of the game on weekdays and weekends has a specific pattern already.

this is the first time i've heard of a strategy like this and it's quite interesting too. but for me, who only bets a few times a month, i don't really care about strategies like this in betting, because i only bet on strong teams that i think have the potential to win.

but maybe if you are curious about this strategy you can try betting with this strategy with a little capital, and see how this strategy can give you a profit. if you feel that the strategy is good enough, you can continue betting with that strategy and share your experience with all of us here, who knows, the strategy might work well.

It depends on the situation and conditions that occur in the bet. But what is clear is that, whatever the situation and conditions, you need to make sure you place bets only with money you can afford. That's all, and that is the key because whatever strategy you use still depends on the use of the money. If you do as suggested by the podcast but with big money because you want to win big but it turns out you lose, it will only leave you with regret. But if you place a bet with small money, you will not regret it, even if you use the recommended strategy or a different one.

For me depending if you love betting during live I guess, there's no favorites when it comes to that. There's nothing like early of the week or later of the week cause I love to bet now during live, so it would certainly be changed. Well, probably it's fine on other sports but I think basketball has different vibes.

I don't see how this is a strategy because the better teams will always stand a better chance of winning irrespective of when the bet is placed. Maybe the proponents have tested it and it worked for them which is fine for them. I find it difficult knowing when the under-dogs will win a match so I don't force myself taking the risk. I love playing high probability bets and I consider the form of the teams in my selections as that have a way of giving me a clue of their performance. I know the probabilistic nature of gambling so I try to make it be in my favor.

football is hard to predict although bookmakers show who are their favorite, the underdog they think will lose oftentimes win. this is why it's best to just bet when the football match is live. but we all have a different take on this. every time i do this, 1 or 2 out of 5 bets in favor of the favorites lose. sometimes i think i would just bet for the underdog instead for higher returns.

I have never heard about this strategy, and I sincerely doubt that it is a strategy that generates constant profit, in my opinion it is more of a way of testing your luck than betting based on team analysis. You can test this strategy, use little money, something like less than $1 and then draw your own conclusions. After testing this strategy, also test making simple bets using team analysis. start by seeing how each team performed in the last 5 games at home and away and which players were playing in the last 5 games and which is the best 11 of the team and which is the best performance of the team when it is at its peak

This will all allow you to see which is the best and worst 11 on the team and then you just need to wait when they announce the 11 for each team that will play and bet on the team with the best 11. After the game ends, see if you won or not and start comparing whether it's really worth using the strategy you mentioned in this thread or whether it's worth betting on simple bets where you've carefully analyzed each team. The problem with believing in strategies made and published by other people on the internet is that the person has no proof that they are telling the truth and how those people are doing with such strategies that they keep publishing

That's why it's important to always not believe what people say when they talk about strategies that are profitable in gambling, so what the person should do is carry out experiments using little money to prove whether these strategies really work or is that all? lie. and even if the experiments were to work, one should still be cautious, playing with only money that one can afford to lose. The ideal is for the person to create their own strategy and not depend on the strategies of other people who even go so far as to sell things and do not accept being shown proof that the strategy works. so never pay for any strategy related to gambling

They may be right or wrong. In sportbet, I don't think that  there is any particular time in the week that is for the strong or underdogs. What I know is that a strong team has a higher chance of winning the underdog because they are well experienced than the under dogs and they also have quality players, this is why I will not accept with this conclusion.

It is always once in a while that we see underdogs winning a strong team and if it happens like that and you were lucky to bet on the underdog team, you will win a good amount of money. Gambling is based on luck and nobody knows when he will be lucky, this is why you should have you don't need to gamble with an amount that will cause you pain.

Never heard of it before. Isn't this most likely just an edge case that the podcast talked about since, well, it was an edge case so it was a rather rare situation for them as well? Tbf they can just bs their way to describe some random stuff sometimes since it makes no sense (at least to me) how the day of the week would manage to influence the bets. Though I guess you can reason out that the underdogs don't seem too bad compared to the losing teams of earlier matches, so the odds get adjusted based on that. Probably.

I think it depends on specific sports and leagues.

I don't know how teams in those professional leagues in Football behave within a week, but if I take that idea of placing bets on Favorites early in the week and then Underdogs a week later, it might not work and be effective in basketball leagues, especially NBA and to our local basketball league where the ball is always round. I mean, Favorites are always being upset by Underdogs that's why it's even harder to make a parlay betting with only Favorites here in basketball leagues specifically on the NBA.

The odds I think are better when you are earlier. While the match is just a week later the odds could be 1.50 but by the time it's just a day or two the odds could be 1.20 which means you could win bigger but this is not the rule of thumb. The bigger you bet the bigger amount you will win still.

Betting on favorites is still better like they said because the chances of winning is higher than going for the underdog.

I usually bet on favorites, and when I'm very confident in my bet, I tend to place it early as soon as the line is available.

Based on what I've noticed, favorite lines often move as the game time approaches. For instance, if I bet on the favorite at -3.5, and the line moves to -4.5 nearing the game, it could mean I'm getting value. This adjustment could provide me with an additional point, which would be beneficial if the favorite only wins by 4. However, please do note that this strategy is not guaranteed to work all the time. There are instances when significant line movement only occurs due to a sudden announcement, such as a star player not playing for whatever reasons, or changing from a previously listed doubtful status to active. Such scenarios are typically outliers, making them special cases.

Maybe it will work but the question is, are those odds by the Favorites worthy to bet on that specific bet?

Is risky for me to bet a decent amount on low odds compared to high odds. It's like you need to bet a decent on Favorites just to feel the profit. And in the worst case, those Favorites might be stunned by the Underdogs even during the early week.

Though we can do some experiments there and form a conclusion. If you have some extras, why not try to bet on the sequence and see the result. Maybe you can form a sort of betting pattern specifically designed and effective on that specific league.

I guess I should note that this more so refers directly to NFL and College football (🏈). They get a week between each game so typically from what I have seen, this is often how spreads adjust over the week between games, but I’m not sure how often it holds true.

Keep in mind this isn’t as much of a thing for sports and teams that play every couple days or so.

If you are really that curious and really that having those questions if it does work then you could always opt to test it out for yourself whether it do works or not.  

For sure there would be those people who would really be that testing out this kind of strategy if it does work or not. I agree into those points above that luck wont
really be something similar into each person.If it does work on you but it doesnt mean that it will work on others. So its situational because choices
will differ and sports choices would differ too. This is why it wont really be that precise on what would happen into each person.

I agree, but who knows, maybe the OP can try this kind of strategy for quite sometime and see how it does for him? It might be a hit or miss strategy though and so like the countless strategies that we have heard in any sports.

So for me, I doubt this strategy, I think everything is still base on who we like to bet on weekends whether they are the underdog or heavy favorite. At the end of the time, the decision is still up to us, if we put money on the underdog base on our analysis and if they won then good for us. Perhaps being a fan has some advantage as well as you can "read" a potential win or avoid a team if you know that they are going to lose.

Never ever on my betting career or experience on which i did make out such move or strategy on which i do make out some bets basing up in the day of each week on which there's no significant influence if we do speak about probabilities on which it would really be just that on his own ways or methods.If this strategy would be working on him then its good, but we know that not all people would be sharing up with the same luck
on every moment and we dont share up on the same bets , unless if he would be sharing up his then people could follow but i do highly still doubt on that.
Do the things or strategies on which you do know that you could be having the advantage because not every strategy would work for you would work into others.
So bare that in mind always.

As long as you are using the money that you can afford to lose to gamble. But there would be more loss if you are later betting on underdogs to win in the week. This is because even if the strong team do not win the underdog, the strong team still have the chance to draw the match. The low odd and the draw makes me not to like football betting like casinos. Betting on the underdogs weekly will only bring more losses than expected. But if you have the money you can afford to lose for the loss, that is not a bad idea if the money is just very small.

I'm not familiar with this strategy though and this is the first time that I heard about it. Could be true or not, but as gamblers, we might take this into consideration, however, we could have our own analysis in when to bet on the underdog regardless of what time of the week it is or not.

So it really depends on whether you will go and used this strategy or it will work or not, hard to say. But if we have follow our favorite sports then we might at least see if there will be a huge upset anytime of the day or the underdogs are live, meaning even if the sports bookies put them in that category, they might pull some miracle and win the game.

I am by no means a professional gambler, and therefore I've certainly got plenty to learn (one of the reasons I like being active in this part of the forum).  I was recently listening to a gambling talk radio podcast and they were saying one basic rule of thumb to live by when sports betting is to bet favorites in the early part of the week and under-dogs in the later part of the week as the spread tends to favor this strategy.  

So I'm just curious if the sports betters in here take this "rule of thumb" strategy seriously and tend to follow it.  Or if there's any experience that says this may not be all that great of a strategy.  Thoughts?