I don't trust anyone who is offering to bet on the payout without a secure 3rd party proxy. I'm sure others feel the same way. SO I posted this betting statement on betsofbitco.in.
http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=583I put 55BTC down that pirate won't pay out. Currently the bets are at 3:60 for:against, not a bad value for pro-pirate bettors.
Pirateat40 will pay out sufficient bitcoins to pay off these five major PPTs to par value by Sept 1st. For this statement to be true at least the following payments must be made to all five of these public passthru funds by midnight September 1st.
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitcoin-savings-trust-debt-outstanding-list-6-reported-102301 https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/bitcoin-savings-trust-money-returned-list-one-reported-closed-101942 GLBSE ticker: TYGRR.BOND-P
Amount required: 27,895 BTC
GLBSE ticker: PPT.A -> PPT.E
Amount required: 11,520 BTC
GLBSE ticker: FOO.PPPPT
Amount required: 6,331 BTC
GLBSE ticker: BIB.PIRATE
Amount required: 15,901 BTC
GLBSE ticker: BIF.BTCST.PPT
Amount required: 1,023 BTC
This statement will be assessed by the consensus results of these two forum threads at midnight September 1st.