Those who are going to panic sell should take a look at this post before they sell under pressure as they often miss out to look at broader picture. This applies to all those who just wants to invest and wait without doing much because they will be in gain if they don't sell and we should consider the period between beginning of January 2018 and end of 2020 as an example how bitcoin can eventually comeback even after a terrible bear market. I am sure most of us though bitcoin will never cross $20k when it dropped below $5k in January 2019.
Thank you sharing this wonderful post, some of us might not agree with the post stating Bitcoin is unpredictable but I thing we have the facts and figures in the chart and that's enough for smart people to understand how bitcoin works.
Topic: Bitcoin - 10 Years Investment Analysis (Read 187 times)
Depends on your current age, if you are old, you might have a shorter plan, within 5 years.
If you are young enough, your plan should be longer, 10 years or 20 years. So if you have such plans up to 20 or 30 years, you won't have to mind much about when Bitcoin will reach to $100,000 or $500,000.
If you are in twenties, why do not make your plan for 40 to 50 years? If you don't have long term plan, can't not hold, you can't get rich.
In a long run, long term investors will get profit if they use pocket money for investment and don't get the market kill them by margin calls, liquidations.
If you are young enough, your plan should be longer, 10 years or 20 years. So if you have such plans up to 20 or 30 years, you won't have to mind much about when Bitcoin will reach to $100,000 or $500,000.
If you are in twenties, why do not make your plan for 40 to 50 years? If you don't have long term plan, can't not hold, you can't get rich.
In a long run, long term investors will get profit if they use pocket money for investment and don't get the market kill them by margin calls, liquidations.
I think the analysis on the OP is good enough to keep long term holders optimistic, but of course this cannot be confirmed by anyone. Bitcoin won't just move in one direction for every different year, meaning its price doesn't always go up and up every year. We can believe that bitcoin is the best investment ever, but I can't convince myself that by 2027 the price of bitcoin will reach $660K.
It may be very biased how an analysis like this is made because there must be several supporting factors that can make it real. I can give an example that throughout 2020-2021 institutional investment into bitcoin has greatly increased demand. But what will happen in the next 4 year cycle (halving)? Something similar can be expected, but something different is still possible.
It may be very biased how an analysis like this is made because there must be several supporting factors that can make it real. I can give an example that throughout 2020-2021 institutional investment into bitcoin has greatly increased demand. But what will happen in the next 4 year cycle (halving)? Something similar can be expected, but something different is still possible.
These extrapolation aren't really good at making close predictions. Take a look at similar predictions from earlier years, and you'll see that none of them have predicted the 2021 bull run and it's heights and lows. So this most recent prediction takes that into account, but then in the coming years the market will again do something unexpected and this current model will get invalidated.
It's pointless to try to predict where exactly the Bitcoin prices will be, it's enough to know that it increases at sufficient rate to beat inflation and justify the volatility risks.
It's pointless to try to predict where exactly the Bitcoin prices will be, it's enough to know that it increases at sufficient rate to beat inflation and justify the volatility risks.
Well congrats Op if you hold bitcoin for how many years since 2017.its all worth it for sure and i think you should keep adding more in my personal opinion so that your profits will increase every year as well. By the way just keep sticking to your plan and keep believing bitcoin still worth it to hold even despite there are some rumours that its already mined. Have a nice day!
I can't believe op was making the post based on his btc hodling but the performance that it made since the 10 years ago. And meanwhile I don't think there are people who is hodling since they bought below $1 lol. Of course they would be in wealth. Many hodlers dumped in 2017 because they feared that was the highest rate got but the rate increase till now.
Well congrats Op if you hold bitcoin for how many years since 2017.its all worth it for sure and i think you should keep adding more in my personal opinion so that your profits will increase every year as well. By the way just keep sticking to your plan and keep believing bitcoin still worth it to hold even despite there are some rumours that its already mined. Have a nice day!
If you have been investing since years, should have known about Bitcoin Logarithmic Curve.
It's not a model, it's a way to represent BTC price in a log curve.
https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/bitcoin-logarithmic-growth-curve/
Geez.
It's not a model, it's a way to represent BTC price in a log curve.
https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/bitcoin-logarithmic-growth-curve/
Geez.
It's a way to represent BTC price in a log curve, useless to predict the future, for the reasons explained before.
Those of us who have been investing for many years are sick and tired of seeing it.
If you have been investing since years, should have known about Bitcoin Logarithmic Curve.
It's not a model, it's a way to represent BTC price in a log curve.
https://www.lookintobitcoin.com/charts/bitcoin-logarithmic-growth-curve/
Geez.
The 10-year scale of Bitcoin is biased and cannot be taken as a statistical inference, and therefore it is wrong to base predictions on it.
We all know that the bitcoin has not reached a stability point through which we determine the reference value and the stability point is after supply and demand reach levels that make abnormal changes difficult according to it we will not see fluctuations of 30% per day.
Therefore, the only thing is that achieving profits multiplied by 16 times, and so it will become more difficult every year.
We all know that the bitcoin has not reached a stability point through which we determine the reference value and the stability point is after supply and demand reach levels that make abnormal changes difficult according to it we will not see fluctuations of 30% per day.
Therefore, the only thing is that achieving profits multiplied by 16 times, and so it will become more difficult every year.
I was thinking something similar.
This predictive model is based, like many others, on the assumption that the future is going to look like the past, just as the many predictive models that gave a minimum of $100K by 2021 did. These pattern-based predictions hold true until they fail to do so. Those of us who have been investing for many years are sick and tired of seeing it.
The 10-year scale of Bitcoin is biased and cannot be taken as a statistical inference, and therefore it is wrong to base predictions on it.
We all know that the bitcoin has not reached a stability point through which we determine the reference value and the stability point is after supply and demand reach levels that make abnormal changes difficult according to it we will not see fluctuations of 30% per day.
Therefore, the only thing is that achieving profits multiplied by 16 times, and so it will become more difficult every year.
We all know that the bitcoin has not reached a stability point through which we determine the reference value and the stability point is after supply and demand reach levels that make abnormal changes difficult according to it we will not see fluctuations of 30% per day.
Therefore, the only thing is that achieving profits multiplied by 16 times, and so it will become more difficult every year.
Although throughout January this year the price of bitcoin experienced a very deep price decline, I'm not sure if the bitcoin price was lowest at $27,987.
You didn't even understood the chart.It says the lowest it CAN go, doesn't mean it went to $27,987.
Cheers.
Although throughout January this year the price of bitcoin experienced a very deep price decline, I'm not sure if the bitcoin price was lowest at $27,987. I see February as a bullish month for bitcoin. Moreover, the current bitcoin is slowly starting to show a price increase.
That means from this projection, no one is going to experience bull run and the speculation in price will remain in bear, if it is right speculation prediction, that means as bitcoin is in 37k. i thinkis encouraging to seal to fiat or use for conversation of other valuable alternative coin's { ATH} before it will decrease again? What is your suggestion for people that place their Bitcoin for long investment and other related coins usuals
A very inspiring analysis for those who are losing their hope about bitcoin.
If you are here for long-term, this is a good one to keep tab on and check if this chart is near to reality.
And based from your chart, the lowest price of btc for this month may possibly reached 28k.
But right now, we are heading to 39k. Let us see if we will go back to 30k because for me, we won't go down to 30k this month.
Glad you liked it. February is considered a bullish month in BTC monthly chart so I used it to demonstrate the lowest we it can go.If you are here for long-term, this is a good one to keep tab on and check if this chart is near to reality.
And based from your chart, the lowest price of btc for this month may possibly reached 28k.
But right now, we are heading to 39k. Let us see if we will go back to 30k because for me, we won't go down to 30k this month.
I mean it can break those levels anytime however I believe it will stay in between the ranges.
A very inspiring analysis for those who are losing their hope about bitcoin.
If you are here for long-term, this is a good one to keep tab on and check if this chart is near to reality.
And based from your chart, the lowest price of btc for this month may possibly reached 28k.
But right now, we are heading to 39k. Let us see if we will go back to 30k because for me, we won't go down to 30k this month.
If you are here for long-term, this is a good one to keep tab on and check if this chart is near to reality.
And based from your chart, the lowest price of btc for this month may possibly reached 28k.
But right now, we are heading to 39k. Let us see if we will go back to 30k because for me, we won't go down to 30k this month.
Lowest BTC Price can Reach (Every Feb)
$669,560 - 2027
$364,914 - 2026
$192,785 - 2025
$100,276 - 2024
$52,976 - 2023
$27,987 - 2022
$13,893 - 2021
$7,226 - 2020
$3,423 - 2019
$1,572 - 2018
$756 - 2017
Minimum Growth in Next 5 Years = x16
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