Bitcoin Difficulty Prediction Chart | Bitcointalksearch.org

Blazey

newbie

Activity: 28

Merit: 0

Quote from: danhu on November 17, 2013, 08:02:55 PM

bitcoin charts with bitcoin difficulty predictions .

http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincharts.php << in the middle of this page

bitcoin difficulty estimate will hit 25 billions by may - 2014

this is of course unrealistic as it would result in 180.000 TH. the 100% network speed by now is somewhere around 5.000 TH. the difficulty is not parallel to hash rate.

danhu

newbie

Activity: 56

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bitcoin charts with bitcoin difficulty predictions .

http://www.vnbitcoin.org/bitcoincharts.php << in the middle of this page

bitcoin difficulty estimate will hit 25 billions by may - 2014

rampalija

full member

Activity: 154

Merit: 100

is tommorow a new difficulty jump ?

crazydownloaded

full member

Activity: 148

Merit: 100

Crazy!

Quote from: Puppet on October 22, 2013, 01:12:19 AM

No but its prediction seems to be based on the assumption that the latest hashrate will remain constant, and that does make it bad.
BTW, your difficulty curve is wrong, you spread the difficulty increase over 3 days, while of course its instantaneous.

This is the best difficulty predictor I know:

http://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

I've added a "dotted" line to tell people what hashrate estimate I take (see http://coinplorer.com/Charts/Difficulty/BTC).
The difficulty seems to be spread over 3 days because each point of the line is 1 day, so the day the difficulty changes it takes the average difficulty of blocks found on this day. This doesn't affect how difficulty predictions are calculated though.

rampalija

full member

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http://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty Grin

Puppet

legendary

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Quote from: crazydownloaded on October 21, 2013, 03:00:03 PM

I own the website ^^ but it doesn't make it bad...)

No but its prediction seems to be based on the assumption that the latest hashrate will remain constant, and that does make it bad.
BTW, your difficulty curve is wrong, you spread the difficulty increase over 3 days, while of course its instantaneous.

This is the best difficulty predictor I know:

http://bitcoinwisdom.com/bitcoin/difficulty

crazydownloaded

full member

Activity: 148

Merit: 100

Crazy!

This is definitively what you are looking for: http://coinplorer.com/Charts/Difficulty/BTC (disclaimer: I own the website ^^ but it doesn't make it bad...)

jspielberg

sr. member

Activity: 490

Merit: 255

I wrote this a little time back.

https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/m.2494899

It is an exponential starting at the beginning of the year with the introduction of the new avalon batch, so I figured it might not be a bad model.

The original Wolfram alpha exponential seems little light, so I upped it by hand a little. With the unexpected short shutdown of AM, we are tracking a bit ahead of reality, but it may catch back up.

This is obviously extremely speculative... but I found it interesting.

joae1975

hero member

Activity: 752

Merit: 500

That's making to be a pretty nice hockey stick. Come sept/oct when KNC delivers, we shall see.

icey

legendary

Activity: 1578

Merit: 1000

May the coin be with you..

is http://bitcoindifficulty.com/ what your looking for?

BlazinBeaches

member

Activity: 98

Merit: 10

anyone?

BlazinBeaches

member

Activity: 98

Merit: 10

I've seen a couple of these but I can't seem to find them again

Where are some prediction charts?

Topic: Bitcoin Difficulty Prediction Chart (Read 26563 times)