Looking for advice from veteran bitcoin futures traders - I assume futures traders attempt to capture short to medium trends in both directions, up and down. Further assume that one can't always be right and will have profit target/exits and stop losses. But how about trade sizing?
Assume you have $100,000. How would you size each trade?
It's quite different based on the time frames you are trading Intraday/swing/positional. But I will give you a basic idea which could work on everything. Keep a set amount of risk you are willing to take on any given day/week/month. If you have $100,000. 2% is a pretty huge risk on daily basis. so let's say you decide that your maximum risk is 2% of your capital. Now wait for the right setup as per your trading strategy. Find a trade that has a stop loss size equivalent to 2% of your capital or less than that if you want to enter multiple trades. Check whether the Risk/Reward is atleast greater than 0.8/1. If it is decide your position size accordingly.
For eg: I have $100,000. I see a bitcoin trade setup of buying at $40000 and my stop loss can be placed at around $39000. Now 2% of my capital is $2000. This means I can enter a position worth 2BTC. Deciding the margin and leverage is entirely up to you. There is no rule here. But you cannot enter any other trade as you have exhausted 2% risk aversion of your capital.
One option can be to just take 0.5% risk on this one trade and keep the remaining 1.5% for the other trades. But this is how all the trades should be done in a mathematical manner.
You can easily create an excel file based on this or here is an online tool that you can use too.
https://tradingcryptocourse.com/course/position-size-calculator/Pro Tip: Keep stop loss at 1.9% instead of 2% of the capital and use STOP MARKET order because to ensure this stop is executed you might need to ensure a stop market order.