Author

Topic: Bitcoin price for mining rentability (Read 71 times)

newbie
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
September 19, 2021, 01:25:30 PM
#3
Hi guys!

I wanna have some advices from you, I'm planing on buyin some bitcoin miners (avalon 840) they have an individual electric consomptions that is not really hight I know but because I wan to buy like 200 the annual bil will be around 50k$ acording to the electricity prices in y country, and I calculated that to be able to pay the fees and the bills that i need to maintain the thing runing I need a Bitcoin price of around 12.5k$ so here comes my question for you guys,
- Do you thing that the bitcoin price will go under the 13k$ bar? and
 and if u hade an experience with this particular miner I want to know what do you think about it.

Thank's to anyone that answers!


Okay they do 10-12tb so 2000-2400 if you have 200.

2000 x .32 = 640 a day x 365 = over 200k

minus your bill of 50k for power means over 150k profit in a year.

first how much are you paying?
second is the gear coming from a good seller?
third two hundred pieces will make heat. so how do you cool gear.
fourth you need a lot of wires etc to set it up.

next does price drop?
does the diff jump?

all in all maybe you are in over your head if you never ran a farm with 200 pieces shit happens.

hey!

so to answer some of your questions:

- I found a supllier in china that sells them 197$/piece so in total it will coast around 40000$
- the gear is used acording to the seller but I don't know for how many time it kept runing.
- for the heat I have a larg basement (500m²) that prety cold most of the year and have exit hoals for ventilation and if it's not enought I will install air conditioning (with electricity prices it will not coast much).
- for the setup I already have a budget for that and planin on seeing an industial electrician to do the instalation.
- now for the price drops and all I calculated that I need a minimum price of 13k to  be able to pay bills and all.

but the thing is I didn't take the increasing mining difficulty into account and I redid the calculations with an online tool that includes the difficilty increase so for a difficulty increase of 2% and a Btc price of 47000$ I had this result

Start Date   Network Hashrate   Revenue   Elec. Costs   Profit   Total Profit   Payback Progress   Difficulty Change
Week 1   219.49EH/s   ฿ 0.04113203   ฿ 0.01829343   ฿ 0.02283860   ฿ 0.02283860   2.71 %   2%
      $ 1953.77   $ 868.94   $ 1084.83   $ 1084.83      
Week 2   223.88EH/s   ฿ 0.15195559   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.08302185   ฿ 0.10586045   12.57 %   2%
      $ 7217.89   $ 3274.35   $ 3943.54   $ 5028.37      
Week 3   228.36EH/s   ฿ 0.14897607   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.08004233   ฿ 0.18590277   22.08 %   2%
      $ 7076.36   $ 3274.35   $ 3802.01   $ 8830.38      
Week 4   232.93EH/s   ฿ 0.14605497   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.07712123   ฿ 0.26302400   31.23 %   2%
      $ 6937.61   $ 3274.35   $ 3663.26   $ 12493.64      
Week 5   237.58EH/s   ฿ 0.14319115   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.07425740   ฿ 0.33728141   40.05 %   2%
      $ 6801.58   $ 3274.35   $ 3527.23   $ 16020.87      
Week 6   242.34EH/s   ฿ 0.14038348   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.07144973   ฿ 0.40873114   48.54 %   2%
      $ 6668.22   $ 3274.35   $ 3393.86   $ 19414.73      
Week 7   247.18EH/s   ฿ 0.13763086   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.06869712   ฿ 0.47742826   56.69 %   2%
      $ 6537.47   $ 3274.35   $ 3263.11   $ 22677.84      
Week 8   252.13EH/s   ฿ 0.13493222   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.06599847   ฿ 0.54342673   64.53 %   2%
      $ 6409.28   $ 3274.35   $ 3134.93   $ 25812.77      
Week 9   257.17EH/s   ฿ 0.13228649   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.06335274   ฿ 0.60677947   72.06 %   2%
      $ 6283.61   $ 3274.35   $ 3009.26   $ 28822.03      
Week 10   262.31EH/s   ฿ 0.12969264   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.06075889   ฿ 0.66753836   79.27 %   2%
      $ 6160.40   $ 3274.35   $ 2886.05   $ 31708.07      
Week 11   267.56EH/s   ฿ 0.12714964   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.05821590   ฿ 0.72575426   86.18 %   2%
      $ 6039.61   $ 3274.35   $ 2765.26   $ 34473.33      
Week 12   272.91EH/s   ฿ 0.12465651   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.05572277   ฿ 0.78147703   92.80 %   2%
      $ 5921.18   $ 3274.35   $ 2646.83   $ 37120.16      
Week 13   278.37EH/s   ฿ 0.12221227   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.05327852   ฿ 0.83475555   99.13 %   2%
      $ 5805.08   $ 3274.35   $ 2530.73   $ 39650.89      
Week 14   283.94EH/s   ฿ 0.11981595   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.05088220   ฿ 0.88563775   105.17 %   2%
      $ 5691.26   $ 3274.35   $ 2416.90   $ 42067.79      
Week 15   289.61EH/s   ฿ 0.11746662   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.04853287   ฿ 0.93417063   110.93 %   2%
      $ 5579.66   $ 3274.35   $ 2305.31   $ 44373.10      
Week 16   295.41EH/s   ฿ 0.11516335   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.04622960   ฿ 0.98040023   116.42 %   2%
      $ 5470.26   $ 3274.35   $ 2195.91   $ 46569.01      
Week 17   301.31EH/s   ฿ 0.11290524   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.04397150   ฿ 1.02437173   121.64 %   2%
      $ 5363.00   $ 3274.35   $ 2088.65   $ 48657.66      
Week 18   307.34EH/s   ฿ 0.11069142   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.04175767   ฿ 1.06612940   126.60 %   2%
      $ 5257.84   $ 3274.35   $ 1983.49   $ 50641.15      
Week 19   313.49EH/s   ฿ 0.10852100   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.03958725   ฿ 1.10571665   131.30 %   2%
      $ 5154.75   $ 3274.35   $ 1880.39   $ 52521.54      
Week 20   319.76EH/s   ฿ 0.10639313   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.03745939   ฿ 1.14317604   135.75 %   2%
      $ 5053.67   $ 3274.35   $ 1779.32   $ 54300.86      
Week 21   326.15EH/s   ฿ 0.10430699   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.03537325   ฿ 1.17854929   139.95 %   2%
      $ 4954.58   $ 3274.35   $ 1680.23   $ 55981.09      
Week 22   332.68EH/s   ฿ 0.10226176   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.03332801   ฿ 1.21187730   143.91 %   2%
      $ 4857.43   $ 3274.35   $ 1583.08   $ 57564.17      
Week 23   339.33EH/s   ฿ 0.10025663   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.03132288   ฿ 1.24320018   147.63 %   2%
      $ 4762.19   $ 3274.35   $ 1487.84   $ 59052.01      
Week 24   346.12EH/s   ฿ 0.09829081   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.02935706   ฿ 1.27255724   151.12 %   2%
      $ 4668.81   $ 3274.35   $ 1394.46   $ 60446.47      
Week 25   353.04EH/s   ฿ 0.09636354   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.02742979   ฿ 1.29998704   154.37 %   2%
      $ 4577.27   $ 3274.35   $ 1302.92   $ 61749.38      
Week 26   360.10EH/s   ฿ 0.09447406   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.02554031   ฿ 1.32552735   157.41 %   2%
      $ 4487.52   $ 3274.35   $ 1213.16   $ 62962.55      
Week 27   367.30EH/s   ฿ 0.09262163   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.02368788   ฿ 1.34921523   160.22 %   2%
      $ 4399.53   $ 3274.35   $ 1125.17   $ 64087.72      
Week 28   374.65EH/s   ฿ 0.09080552   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.02187177   ฿ 1.37108700   162.82 %   2%
      $ 4313.26   $ 3274.35   $ 1038.91   $ 65126.63      
Week 29   382.14EH/s   ฿ 0.08902502   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.02009127   ฿ 1.39117827   165.20 %   2%
      $ 4228.69   $ 3274.35   $ 954.34   $ 66080.97      
Week 30   389.78EH/s   ฿ 0.08727943   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.01834568   ฿ 1.40952395   167.38 %   2%
      $ 4145.77   $ 3274.35   $ 871.42   $ 66952.39      
Week 31   397.58EH/s   ฿ 0.08556807   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.01663432   ฿ 1.42615827   169.36 %   2%
      $ 4064.48   $ 3274.35   $ 790.13   $ 67742.52      
Week 32   405.53EH/s   ฿ 0.08389026   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.01495651   ฿ 1.44111478   171.13 %   2%
      $ 3984.79   $ 3274.35   $ 710.43   $ 68452.95      
Week 33   413.64EH/s   ฿ 0.08224535   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.01331161   ฿ 1.45442639   172.71 %   2%
      $ 3906.65   $ 3274.35   $ 632.30   $ 69085.25      
Week 34   421.91EH/s   ฿ 0.08063270   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.01169895   ฿ 1.46612534   174.10 %   2%
      $ 3830.05   $ 3274.35   $ 555.70   $ 69640.95      
Week 35   430.35EH/s   ฿ 0.07905167   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.01011792   ฿ 1.47624326   175.30 %   2%
                                    $ 3754.95   $ 3274.35              $ 480.60                   $ 70121.55      
Week 36   438.96EH/s   ฿ 0.07750163   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.00856789   ฿ 1.48481115   176.32 %   2%
      $ 3681.33   $ 3274.35   $ 406.97   $ 70528.53      
Week 37   447.74EH/s   ฿ 0.07598199   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.00704825   ฿ 1.49185939   177.16 %   2%
      $ 3609.14   $ 3274.35   $ 334.79   $ 70863.32      
Week 38   456.69EH/s   ฿ 0.07449215   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.00555840   ฿ 1.49741780   177.82 %   2%
      $ 3538.38   $ 3274.35   $ 264.02   $ 71127.35      
Week 39   465.83EH/s   ฿ 0.07303152   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.00409777   ฿ 1.50151557   178.30 %   2%
      $ 3469.00   $ 3274.35   $ 194.64   $ 71321.99      
Week 40   475.14EH/s   ฿ 0.07159953   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.00266578   ฿ 1.50418135   178.62 %   2%
      $ 3400.98   $ 3274.35   $ 126.62   $ 71448.61      
Week 41   484.65EH/s   ฿ 0.07019562   ฿ 0.06893375   ฿ 0.00126187   ฿ 1.50544323   178.77 %   2%
      $ 3334.29   $ 3274.35   $ 59.94   $ 71508.55      

It's really far from what I calculated (and you too) in the begining it devides the generated BTC's by 6 and I will not be able to run the euipement for more than a year, and the most annoying thing is that if the price drops below that mark it wil be worstand I may not even be able to pay for the investment.

I saw from your replies and posts that you practice minig and I want to know if this numbers are realistic or no according your experience in this field.

finally, yes I expect to have some problemes if I go in this way and I'm ready (maybe if 200pcs is too much I will chose another asic with more th/s and buy less pieces).

Regards.
legendary
Activity: 4116
Merit: 7849
'The right to privacy matters'
September 18, 2021, 10:47:41 PM
#2
Hi guys!

I wanna have some advices from you, I'm planing on buyin some bitcoin miners (avalon 840) they have an individual electric consomptions that is not really hight I know but because I wan to buy like 200 the annual bil will be around 50k$ acording to the electricity prices in y country, and I calculated that to be able to pay the fees and the bills that i need to maintain the thing runing I need a Bitcoin price of around 12.5k$ so here comes my question for you guys,
- Do you thing that the bitcoin price will go under the 13k$ bar? and
 and if u hade an experience with this particular miner I want to know what do you think about it.

Thank's to anyone that answers!


Okay they do 10-12tb so 2000-2400 if you have 200.

2000 x .32 = 640 a day x 365 = over 200k

minus your bill of 50k for power means over 150k profit in a year.

first how much are you paying?
second is the gear coming from a good seller?
third two hundred pieces will make heat. so how do you cool gear.
fourth you need a lot of wires etc to set it up.

next does price drop?
does the diff jump?

all in all maybe you are in over your head if you never ran a farm with 200 pieces shit happens.
newbie
Activity: 2
Merit: 0
September 18, 2021, 09:28:08 PM
#1
Hi guys!

I wanna have some advices from you, I'm planing on buyin some bitcoin miners (avalon 840) they have an individual electric consomptions that is not really hight I know but because I wan to buy like 200 the annual bil will be around 50k$ acording to the electricity prices in y country, and I calculated that to be able to pay the fees and the bills that i need to maintain the thing runing I need a Bitcoin price of around 12.5k$ so here comes my question for you guys,
- Do you thing that the bitcoin price will go under the 13k$ bar? and
 and if u hade an experience with this particular miner I want to know what do you think about it.

Thank's to anyone that answers!
Jump to: