Author

Topic: Bitcoin Success (Read 1887 times)

sr. member
Activity: 316
Merit: 250
April 27, 2012, 10:45:55 PM
#13
45-day average
...
365-day average
...

That is bad ass. After a few minutes of playing, I figured out how you generated those. For the curious: append "?daysAverageString=365" to the end of the page URL. The other charts are also quite interesting in monthly, quarterly and yearly averages.
hero member
Activity: 714
Merit: 500
April 27, 2012, 09:15:30 PM
#12
45-day average

365-day average
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1010
April 27, 2012, 09:04:47 PM
#11
Quote
There will be more than 50,000 Bitcoin transactions in one day in 2012
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=351
That's a stupid bet to make. I doubt anyone is going to put their money on "disagree" - it's too easily fabricated.

Well, it would require a lot of fees, especially if you are churning your own coins.  These prediction market bets usually aren't all that much money, so the effort / rewards for manipulation isnt't very good.  

I suppose the bet should have been something like mean number of transactions over an X day span will be over a certain threshold or soething to that effect would have been better.

Either way, it is a pretty high multiple of anything we've seen thus far.
donator
Activity: 308
Merit: 250
April 27, 2012, 08:17:07 AM
#10
Quote
There will be more than 50,000 Bitcoin transactions in one day in 2012
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=351
That's a stupid bet to make. I doubt anyone is going to put their money on "disagree" - it's too easily fabricated.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
April 27, 2012, 07:37:19 AM
#9
Yeah I got that. I think it's excessively high. It doesn't really matter whether the income comes from block rewards or transaction fees when it come to miner motivation. We need more transactions Smiley
hero member
Activity: 775
Merit: 1000
April 27, 2012, 06:47:17 AM
#8
wow check out the mining cost per transaction http://blockchain.info/charts/cost-per-transaction

5 Bucks per transaction seems a bit excessive Tongue

I think the legend for that graph is misleading. It disguises the block reward as a transaction cost. It's really:
M/d
_____

Tx/d

Or: mining income per day, divided by the number of transactions per day.
legendary
Activity: 2324
Merit: 1125
April 27, 2012, 06:26:36 AM
#7
wow check out the mining cost per transaction http://blockchain.info/charts/cost-per-transaction

5 Bucks per transaction seems a bit excessive Tongue
legendary
Activity: 2506
Merit: 1010
April 27, 2012, 06:23:25 AM
#6
I think this crazy shit is actually working.

Sorry,. ... most of that is probably from me.

Each of my payments to that http://SatoshiDice.com game goes through the blockchain and after each bet win or lose is a return payout transaction.  it works that way (all transactions through the blockchain) so that wagers don't need to first confirm and payouts are instantaneous.  It's a terrific approach.

And very addictive, sorry for all the activity to the blockchain!   Smiley

Now, how fast does it grow from here?

Quote
There will be more than 50,000 Bitcoin transactions in one day in 2012
- http://betsofbitco.in/item?id=351
donator
Activity: 544
Merit: 500
April 27, 2012, 04:44:21 AM
#5
Recently only one thing scares me about Bitcoin's future and it's the number of live nodes. We tout bitcoin as resiliant as bittorrent but right now that's just a bunch of hot air.
I thought about this and I came to the conclusion that the number of live nodes is not strongly representative of the future of Bitcoin. The spread of mining pools makes it less likely that a miner will run a full node. The spread of services providing access to blockchain (e.g. blockchain.info, strongcoin, bitcoinspinner etc), and availability of modes of use of Bitcoin without doing a blockchain transaction (e.g. Casacsius coins, Opentransactions) makes it less likely that someone using Bitcoins for payment needs to run a full node. The availability of Bitcoinica and GLBSE makes it less likely that a speculator will run a full Bitcoin node. While I find it difficult to empirically assess this, I would not worry about it.
legendary
Activity: 1078
Merit: 1003
April 27, 2012, 04:29:05 AM
#4
Recently only one thing scares me about Bitcoin's future and it's the number of live nodes. We tout bitcoin as resiliant as bittorrent but right now that's just a bunch of hot air.
sr. member
Activity: 316
Merit: 250
April 26, 2012, 11:30:42 PM
#3
Bitcoin may be working but the dates on that chart don't seem to be.

Looks like only the "all time" dates are screwy. Gotta love blockchain.info for putting these charts up, though. They tell a very happy story.
legendary
Activity: 1330
Merit: 1000
April 26, 2012, 11:28:33 PM
#2
Bitcoin may be working but the dates on that chart don't seem to be.
legendary
Activity: 1008
Merit: 1023
Democracy is the original 51% attack
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