I suspect we might only see the 16nm chips later a lot later (Moors law), if the S7 launched at $1800 what will an equivenlent launch, with the same 1290 wattage 16nm chip be... which would equate to +- 12th (thumb sucking fugure).... plus a halving... unless the bitcoin price goes up I think alot of people are gonna stay put till the halving and see what happens bitfury especially.... think about it they must have invested a pretty top dollar to get into the bitcoin chip manufacturing space. If they make the chips at all.... If a data center cost +- $3'000'000... using between 1mw to 2 mw of power imagine the setup of the factory to build those things... this isnt a joke and not anyone is gonna jump in knowing the halving is comming and uncertinty on the price of bitcoin.... yeah we all assume it will go up but what if allot of people dump it on to the market and the price goes back to just $200 even $300... a lot of people will be out
If they were gonna launch miner to the public they would have done it already so those "big clients" could at least get their ROI before the halving... so at leat they go in with the data center paid up and time to make profit...
something tells me there arent many takers just check the hashrate the past month.... its been hovering between 1300 ph and 1000ph with massive drop offs... this isnt the ususal drop off like you see on the S7's... if they are testing (bear in mind im only using the hashing chart to make this analagy) they could be having problems (an assumption)... ive been seing 20-30 % variation in total network hash.....
have a look for yourself
https://blockchain.info/de/charts/hash-ratecertainly its interesting times.... and we must keep on mining till the market changes up or down
*********side note playing with figures
if a bitfury data center cost $3000'000-00 (I think Im not far off) for 12ph.... that equates to $250 per TH so in antminer terms $1175. for the equivanlent antminer with 16nm chips... vs $665 for 28nm... hmmm if antminers come down to $580 might be interesting lol...
but alas the one who will alway be in the game are the ones who dont have to pay for electricity....
So the lesson "go solar"
hahaha