Topic: Brexit would hit house prices, says Osborne (Read 392 times)
I only wish that what he says had a hope in hells chance of being right, then again this is Osbourne who does not ever seen to get anything right.
Quote
"The biggest pressure on housing supply is immigration which has made buying your first home and even renting unaffordable for many."
I though majority of immigrants are uneducated welfare rats... how the hell can they buy or rent too expensive houses/appartments?
Might need someone from the uk to explain that.
Quote
"If we leave the European Union, there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... People will not know what the future looks like," he said.
"And in the long term, the country and the people in the country are going to be poorer. That affects the value of people's homes... And at the same time, first-time buyers are hit because mortgage rates go up, and mortgages become more difficult to get. So it's a lose-lose situation," he added.
"And in the long term, the country and the people in the country are going to be poorer. That affects the value of people's homes... And at the same time, first-time buyers are hit because mortgage rates go up, and mortgages become more difficult to get. So it's a lose-lose situation," he added.
Interesting statements.
I agree with him that in short term there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets and so on but nobody can really predict what will happen in the long term.
It depends mostly about negotiation between UK and EU after Brexit.
If UK negotiate a favorable economic agreement with EU and the UK gets a special status in relation to EU, than in the long term UK can even benefit from Brexit.
They will have special agreements with EU, but in the same time they will not need to follow all EU rules and laws they don't like.
Future will show us what will happen with UK after possible Brexit.
That's a fucking good thing! I might actually be able to afford a house if it causes the prices to crash finally! These shit heads really will come up with anything won't they?
Who knows? Maybe people might be able to even afford to live in London again.
Who knows? Maybe people might be able to even afford to live in London again.
A UK vote to leave the European Union would cause an "immediate economic shock" that could slow house price growth, the chancellor has said.
In the event of a vote for Brexit, by 2018, houses could be worth up to 18% less than if the UK voted to remain, George Osborne told the BBC.
But Andrea Leadsom of Vote Leave said Mr Osborne's claim was "extraordinary".
The energy minister said: "The greatest threat to the economy is the perilous state of the euro."
An analysis by the Treasury to be published next week will suggest that two years after a Brexit vote, UK house prices could be between 10% and 18% lower than after a remain vote, Mr Osborne told the BBC.
"If we leave the European Union, there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... People will not know what the future looks like," he said.
"And in the long term, the country and the people in the country are going to be poorer. That affects the value of people's homes... And at the same time, first-time buyers are hit because mortgage rates go up, and mortgages become more difficult to get. So it's a lose-lose situation," he added.
Mr Osborne's comments echo those made by the International Monetary Fund last Friday, which said a Brexit could cause a "sharp drop" in house prices.
But his fellow minister Ms Leadsom said: "This is an extraordinary claim and I'm amazed that treasury civil servants would be prepared to make it.
"The truth is that the greatest threat to the economy is the perilous state of the euro; staying in the EU means locking ourselves to a currency zone - which Mervyn King, ex-governor of the Bank of England, has rightly warned 'could explode'.
"The safer option in this referendum is to take back control of the vast sums we send to Brussels every day and Vote Leave on 23 June."
'Trade hit'
Mr Osborne, who is in Japan for the G7 finance ministers' summit, said that for the UK to retain free movement of EU goods and services, it would have to accept free movement of people.
"It's absolutely clear if you speak to the finance ministers here from France, Germany and other European countries that if Britain left the EU, and wanted access to the single market... then we would need to pay into the EU budget, and we'd have to accept free movement of people, but we'd have no say over those policies at all," he said.
He said renegotiating trade treaties would be "extremely difficult to do", leading to business uncertainty and stifling investment and hiring.
"People wouldn't have certainty over what their future looked like. And all of that uncertainty would add to the economic costs of leaving the EU. It hits people's incomes, it hits the value of houses, it hits businesses and jobs," Mr Osborne said.
'Brexit benefit'
However, campaigners for Vote Leave have previously said that lower house prices would help first-time buyers and those in the rental market.
"After we Vote Leave, we will be able to fix our broken migration policy whilst supporting the construction industry with the talent it needs," Vote Leave chief executive Matthew Elliott said on Thursday.
"The biggest pressure on housing supply is immigration which has made buying your first home and even renting unaffordable for many."
Mr Elliott added that mortgage lending is on the rise, and "leaving the EU is unlikely to affect mortgages".
'House price hit'
On Thursday, estate agents claimed a Brexit could knock thousands of pounds off house values over the next few years.
A report by the National Association of Estate Agents said a Brexit could take around £2,200 off average house prices by 2018.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36344425
In the event of a vote for Brexit, by 2018, houses could be worth up to 18% less than if the UK voted to remain, George Osborne told the BBC.
But Andrea Leadsom of Vote Leave said Mr Osborne's claim was "extraordinary".
The energy minister said: "The greatest threat to the economy is the perilous state of the euro."
An analysis by the Treasury to be published next week will suggest that two years after a Brexit vote, UK house prices could be between 10% and 18% lower than after a remain vote, Mr Osborne told the BBC.
"If we leave the European Union, there will be an immediate economic shock that will hit financial markets... People will not know what the future looks like," he said.
"And in the long term, the country and the people in the country are going to be poorer. That affects the value of people's homes... And at the same time, first-time buyers are hit because mortgage rates go up, and mortgages become more difficult to get. So it's a lose-lose situation," he added.
Mr Osborne's comments echo those made by the International Monetary Fund last Friday, which said a Brexit could cause a "sharp drop" in house prices.
But his fellow minister Ms Leadsom said: "This is an extraordinary claim and I'm amazed that treasury civil servants would be prepared to make it.
"The truth is that the greatest threat to the economy is the perilous state of the euro; staying in the EU means locking ourselves to a currency zone - which Mervyn King, ex-governor of the Bank of England, has rightly warned 'could explode'.
"The safer option in this referendum is to take back control of the vast sums we send to Brussels every day and Vote Leave on 23 June."
'Trade hit'
Mr Osborne, who is in Japan for the G7 finance ministers' summit, said that for the UK to retain free movement of EU goods and services, it would have to accept free movement of people.
"It's absolutely clear if you speak to the finance ministers here from France, Germany and other European countries that if Britain left the EU, and wanted access to the single market... then we would need to pay into the EU budget, and we'd have to accept free movement of people, but we'd have no say over those policies at all," he said.
He said renegotiating trade treaties would be "extremely difficult to do", leading to business uncertainty and stifling investment and hiring.
"People wouldn't have certainty over what their future looked like. And all of that uncertainty would add to the economic costs of leaving the EU. It hits people's incomes, it hits the value of houses, it hits businesses and jobs," Mr Osborne said.
'Brexit benefit'
However, campaigners for Vote Leave have previously said that lower house prices would help first-time buyers and those in the rental market.
"After we Vote Leave, we will be able to fix our broken migration policy whilst supporting the construction industry with the talent it needs," Vote Leave chief executive Matthew Elliott said on Thursday.
"The biggest pressure on housing supply is immigration which has made buying your first home and even renting unaffordable for many."
Mr Elliott added that mortgage lending is on the rise, and "leaving the EU is unlikely to affect mortgages".
'House price hit'
On Thursday, estate agents claimed a Brexit could knock thousands of pounds off house values over the next few years.
A report by the National Association of Estate Agents said a Brexit could take around £2,200 off average house prices by 2018.
http://www.bbc.com/news/business-36344425
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