If this is a "head and shoulders" pattern and "the head" is 2600+ USD price, why would we be on the "right shoulder"?Right now the btc price is around 2555 USD.If the price drops to 1700 USD i would say that you are right ,but there`s no reason for such a price drop.
The btc growth is sustainable and not a result of hype.
Only some hardfork during the summer can cause cuch price fall.
by looking at the chart (4hr, bitstamp) left shoulder peaked at 2760, head at 2980, and if we are actually on a H&S pattern the recent peak of roughly 2670 could be the right shoulder. Im not saying it is a H&S pattern, but, it has that look about it.
I hope it is not and I personally don't want it to drop below 1700 that's for sure. Just thought I'd point it out to people. Also looking at the 2 lows and drawing a line on them (which would represent the neckline), a substantial break of 2200 would confirm the pattern as H&S.
I am not convinced that standard market evaluation and indicators are the way to predict bitcoin's price movement.
Spotting head and shoulders trend is actually helping to understand price movement and set your trading strategy, but:
- it will not work all the time.
- target profit might never be hit
- and last by t not least, this pattern is very subjective to spot, some traders can see it some not.
Agree with everything you say, just wanted to point it out.