Author

Topic: BTC Market Cap 2Week average at historic high (Read 1573 times)

legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1077
December 14, 2012, 03:36:53 AM
#8
Would it be fair to try to account for "lost coins" when determining the monetary base? There were estimates based on history of coin age of ~2M coins lost back in the sub-cent days.
Yeah, I'm skeptical of this ~2M figure that gets bandied around .... you could watch the blockchain to see when/if those old coins ever move. Maybe after a generation (70 years?) you could say they are "lost" ... unitl then I'm going to be conservative from a prudent savers perspective and assume they could be mobilised.
I would not be surprised in the least if these ~2M bitcoins were lost. Movement of older coins has nearly halted since 2012.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
December 13, 2012, 07:46:58 PM
#7
Would it be fair to try to account for "lost coins" when determining the monetary base? There were estimates based on history of coin age of ~2M coins lost back in the sub-cent days.
Yeah, I'm skeptical of this ~2M figure that gets bandied around .... you could watch the blockchain to see when/if those old coins ever move. Maybe after a generation (70 years?) you could say they are "lost" ... unitl then I'm going to be conservative from a prudent savers perspective and assume they could be mobilised.
legendary
Activity: 966
Merit: 1000
December 13, 2012, 04:42:40 AM
#6
Would it be fair to try to account for "lost coins" when determining the monetary base? There were estimates based on history of coin age of ~2M coins lost back in the sub-cent days.

how can be these lost coins identified ?
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 501
There is more to Bitcoin than bitcoins.
December 13, 2012, 04:40:19 AM
#5
Would it be fair to try to account for "lost coins" when determining the monetary base? There were estimates based on history of coin age of ~2M coins lost back in the sub-cent days.
legendary
Activity: 3920
Merit: 2349
Eadem mutata resurgo
December 12, 2012, 08:19:26 PM
#4
I think that calling it "Market Cap" is missing the point and also misleading.

It is actually the value of MB (monetary base) money supply for the bitcoin-based economy.

And would like to see it posted in gold oz as well as usd, eur, etc.

10,549,725 BTC

Base Money Supply based on latest prices    :

143,476,260 USD
or 110,824,861 EUR
or 92,094,774 GBP
or 83,904 ozAU

(note: total value of bitcoin stock is equivalent to merely 2.88 tons of gold)
sr. member
Activity: 283
Merit: 250
December 12, 2012, 05:38:15 PM
#3
I agree the weekly average is definitely relevant, but it hasn't crossed the historic high line yet. The monthly record was beaten about three months ago.
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1077
December 12, 2012, 05:35:05 PM
#2
I'm more concerned about the one week average. A fortnight isn't any significant timeframe, and seems more like cherry picking.
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