Author

Topic: Bumping into scarcity: does this graphic explain it well? (Read 2088 times)

legendary
Activity: 1904
Merit: 1002
OP, that sounds about right to me.

Trace, nice collection of data.
Didn't know market cap of Mastercard and Visa were so big compared to AAPL (thought AAPL would be an order of magnitude higher).

Elevator going down:
full member
Activity: 217
Merit: 100
Hopefully the day will come when a BTC "price" chart will not exist as all other currencies will be gone. So 1BTC==1BTC and everthing is priced in BTC. I suppose you could price it in gold, but that would yield no information about BTC value, only gold value.

And how would you decide what you can buy for this 1BTC==1BTC?
Huh? Huh?


The free market would decide, everything would be priced in BTC. I'm thinking quite a time in the future here (all going well).
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
Hopefully the day will come when a BTC "price" chart will not exist as all other currencies will be gone. So 1BTC==1BTC and everthing is priced in BTC. I suppose you could price it in gold, but that would yield no information about BTC value, only gold value.

And how would you decide what you can buy for this 1BTC==1BTC?
Huh? Huh?
full member
Activity: 217
Merit: 100
Hopefully the day will come when a BTC "price" chart will not exist as all other currencies will be gone. So 1BTC==1BTC and everthing is priced in BTC. I suppose you could price it in gold, but that would yield no information about BTC value, only gold value.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I think this cannot be complete.
In both selloff events (the 2011 one and the recent one) the driving force was a revolution in mining hardware.
THIS is what drives the price up but it is missing from the picture.
What revolution in hardware in 2011 are you talking about? GPU mining kicked off in summer 2010.

But it didn't gain tracking untill early 2011.


OPenCL 1.0 was released Oct 1 2010 and within 2 weeks someone decided to buy 500k bitcoins.
GPU mining started in July 2010:


Sure, there were people mining with GPUs in 2010, but how many ?
You shouldn't look at a log graph because mining is a linear process.
So if you look at the graph in the correct context you can clearly see that the gpu tide started to boom in the first part of 2011.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
HODL OR DIE
I think this cannot be complete.
In both selloff events (the 2011 one and the recent one) the driving force was a revolution in mining hardware.
THIS is what drives the price up but it is missing from the picture.
What revolution in hardware in 2011 are you talking about? GPU mining kicked off in summer 2010.

But it didn't gain tracking untill early 2011.


OPenCL 1.0 was released Oct 1 2010 and within 2 weeks someone decided to buy 500k bitcoins.
GPU mining started in July 2010:


As for your "someone bought 500k coins" -
The volume over these couple of days may have been 500k coins, worth approximately $35k. What is the point you are trying to make?  Just 2 weeks after Jupiter and Mars were in opposition two years ago, someone dumped $144k. Clearly, this is correlated.

OpenCL 1.0 is related to GPU mining which is related to bitcoins. Planets of course having nothing to do with bitcoins, but that was never my suggestion.

Avalon was confirmed to be real: the price goes parabolic. OpenCL 1.0 is released giving average joe the ability to mine with his GPUs, a large buy comes in days after. I guess I could fire up paint.exe and draw you a picture but I'll leave it to your interplanetary imagination for now.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 501
There is more to Bitcoin than bitcoins.
I think this cannot be complete.
In both selloff events (the 2011 one and the recent one) the driving force was a revolution in mining hardware.
THIS is what drives the price up but it is missing from the picture.
What revolution in hardware in 2011 are you talking about? GPU mining kicked off in summer 2010.

But it didn't gain tracking untill early 2011.


OPenCL 1.0 was released Oct 1 2010 and within 2 weeks someone decided to buy 500k bitcoins.
GPU mining started in July 2010:


As for your "someone bought 500k coins" -
The volume over these couple of days may have been 500k coins, worth approximately $35k. What is the point you are trying to make?  Just 2 weeks after Jupiter and Mars were in opposition two years ago, someone dumped $144k. Clearly, this is correlated.
legendary
Activity: 1414
Merit: 1000
HODL OR DIE
I think this cannot be complete.
In both selloff events (the 2011 one and the recent one) the driving force was a revolution in mining hardware.
THIS is what drives the price up but it is missing from the picture.
What revolution in hardware in 2011 are you talking about? GPU mining kicked off in summer 2010.

But it didn't gain tracking untill early 2011.


OPenCL 1.0 was released Oct 1 2010 and within 2 weeks someone decided to buy 500k bitcoins.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000
I think this cannot be complete.
In both selloff events (the 2011 one and the recent one) the driving force was a revolution in mining hardware.
THIS is what drives the price up but it is missing from the picture.
What revolution in hardware in 2011 are you talking about? GPU mining kicked off in summer 2010.

But it didn't gain tracking untill early 2011.
hero member
Activity: 756
Merit: 501
There is more to Bitcoin than bitcoins.
I think this cannot be complete.
In both selloff events (the 2011 one and the recent one) the driving force was a revolution in mining hardware.
THIS is what drives the price up but it is missing from the picture.
What revolution in hardware in 2011 are you talking about? GPU mining kicked off in summer 2010.
hero member
Activity: 840
Merit: 1000


I think this cannot be complete.
In both selloff events (the 2011 one and the recent one) the driving force was a revolution in mining hardware.
THIS is what drives the price up but it is missing from the picture.
Since the mining algotithm is energy bound i expect future hardware to have less spectacular effects on the price.
legendary
Activity: 1638
Merit: 1001
₪``Campaign Manager´´₪
OP, that sounds about right to me.

Trace, nice collection of data.
Didn't know market cap of Mastercard and Visa were so big compared to AAPL (thought AAPL would be an order of magnitude higher).
legendary
Activity: 1031
Merit: 1000
If people is starting using Bitcoins for “real” transactions, as I think they are, than demand will keep growing.

Exactly.

sr. member
Activity: 298
Merit: 250
If people is starting using Bitcoins for “real” transactions, as I think they are, than demand will keep growing.

Regards, Inge
full member
Activity: 188
Merit: 102
As long as they have utility, scarcity will continue driving it up, despite the occasional violent sell-off.
sr. member
Activity: 367
Merit: 250
Find me at Bitrated
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