Although I shouldn't be saying this, because I'm holding mah btcs, I have to say : guys, you're fucking stupid.
Some of the you claim to not see any link between potentional BFL failure scam and a price crash. You obviously don't understand how markets work. Trust is the single most important thing on financial markets. If people are upset that they got scammed (again!), they quickly get the feeling that bitcoin is doomed. Yes, it is strongly exaggerated, but investors tend to exaggerate. Also, since bitcoin is an emerging market it needs new investments. Bad publicity = close to no new investments.
And before you start saying : 'hurr durr, real life scams don't make dollar price fall' let me say that you can't compare bitcoin to dollar.
Also, for those of you who say that bad news in 2012 didn't affect the price at all, please go see a doctor. There's something wrong either with your memory or eyes.
If When BFL managers hit the road with gullible people's money in their pockets, the price is going to go down for at least a few days. The only reason why I'm holding btcs right now is to exploit the recent discrepancy between Bitstamp and MtGox prices.
Your point of view make sense as well. But the qualities of BTC are above this little scammers. See the situation with pirateat40, which caused the market to go down for some months and now we are near to have recovered the highest point before pirateat40 default. The people who invested into BFL are much less than into pirateat40 and after pirateat40 there was a huge default of GLBSE and still we are up. The BFL default could give some impulse downstairs, but in the same time the impulse upstairs it would give should be much more powerful.
Of course someone might be turned down, by his loss from the BFL investment, but going away those people the market will became more mature. I wouldn't paragon BTC market with the standard joins-stock exchange market or forex market, because there are a lot of political and macroeconomical manipulation there, while BTC market being smaller in a way is much healthy (personal opinion).
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