Trading forex can be narrow than to two forces that drive a single vehicle. Most time after analysing the market technically and a trade is sure that market trend has hit the support or resistance level or breakout has taken place, the candlestick also has signal you to enter buy or sell then you see that the trade go against that signal due to news or fundamental issue. My question is this, can we really depend on technical analysis in trading decision?
Technical analysis + proper money management = Yes
Fundamental analysis + proper money management = Yes
Fundamental + Technical analysis = No
Common link for the 'Yes', money management.
If a person were to trade 15 mins before NFP based on daily/lower Time frame analysis, trade went the other way and hit your SL. Then it will look like technical analysis didn't work. But keep in mind that if your money management is proper, you will see that the technicals now point the other way take your trade and hopefully be in the green.
Its all about probablility and how much to risk on each trade. The 9 out of 10 profitable trades is over what sample size?
Cheers