Author

Topic: Charting traffic and new thread creation by forum subcategory (Read 3728 times)

legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1077
Cool bot dree12,

What about "Exchange Mentioned" relative to trade volume at the exchange? just out of curiosity

Here's a way to do this (outside the scope of the bot I made):

Search for an phrase that describes the exchange/is the exchange's name. Record all dates. Then, plot the number of posts per long-ish period of time.
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
that is cool stuff and def open source the bot, put it on github
full member
Activity: 210
Merit: 100
Cool bot dree12,

What about "Exchange Mentioned" relative to trade volume at the exchange? just out of curiosity
legendary
Activity: 1246
Merit: 1077
I wrote a bot to fetch the information for a thread by going through every page. One thing I learned is that spreadsheets get slow when there is too much data, but it still suffices nonetheless. In theory, the bot gathers enough data to be able to plot how many letter "e"s are posted, but I doubt this is very useful.

Here's a couple plots for this thread:

Posts over time


Posts over the UTC day


Posts over the UTC week (Mon-Sun)


Posts by author


If this bot would benefit you for any topic, I can run it for any specific topic or limited sets of topics. For anything more advanced (e.g., entire boards), I would be glad to send you the source code.

Yeah, I looked and it seems that they are highly correlated, but the forum activity definitely lags the price changes. Still, it shows that the price is going to be mostly affected by hype and the number of people involved.

but is the lag cause mtgox host the forums, so when they get hit with alot of traffic the forums slow up as well it hard to tell
Mt. Gox only relatively recently begun hosting the forums, so I doubt this is the case.
sr. member
Activity: 451
Merit: 250
No, the lag is on the order of a week or so. The chart above only has a 1-month resolution
legendary
Activity: 1498
Merit: 1000
Yeah, I looked and it seems that they are highly correlated, but the forum activity definitely lags the price changes. Still, it shows that the price is going to be mostly affected by hype and the number of people involved.

but is the lag cause mtgox host the forums, so when they get hit with alot of traffic the forums slow up as well it hard to tell
sr. member
Activity: 451
Merit: 250
Yeah, I looked and it seems that they are highly correlated, but the forum activity definitely lags the price changes. Still, it shows that the price is going to be mostly affected by hype and the number of people involved.
full member
Activity: 169
Merit: 100

Cool graph!  Looks like posts and price are pretty correlated.  Looks like the number of new posts can sometimes indicate price change, but half the time it lags behind price.
sr. member
Activity: 451
Merit: 250
Thanks!

Made this:
full member
Activity: 169
Merit: 100
I agree.  I'd love to see a dashboard full of graphs charting activity on each forum over time.
sr. member
Activity: 451
Merit: 250
Is this possible?
It would be awesome to see the traffic vs. time on the speculation board, or the rate of new topics in the marketplace boards.
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