https://cointelegraph.com/news/chainalysis-and-texas-firm-win-million-dollar-irs-contract-to-crack-monero
The winners were blockchain analytics firms Chainalysis and Integra FEC.
The IRS initially publicized its quest for a privacy-busting analytics solution at the beginning of the month. An IRS representative told Cointelegraph
that the agency had selected the two winning firms out of a field of 22 proposals received, though the only rationale the representative gave for the
agency’s decision was “comparative analysis was used.”
Chainalysis is among the leading firms in crypto analytics and routinely wins such contracts with a range of government agencies. Integra FEC is a relatively
unfamiliar name, despite millions of dollars in contracts with, for example, the Securities and Exchange Commission for “Other Scientific and Technical Consulting Services.”
A bit surprising to me is that it is not CipherTrace getting the reward after all. These other two companies (Chainanalysis & Integra FEC) must have developed an even better solution to tracking Monero transactions.
It could also be that one company focused on cracking Monero and the other company focused on cracking the Lightning Network.
There is however one simple conclusion to draw from this news : Monero transactions are to be considered trackable and traceable from now on !!
That sucks. Unless the involved companies disclose Monero's flaws to the community, it'll be impossible to counteract their efforts. While I doubt these entities will be able to successfully track & trace all Monero transactions, nothing is perfect. In other words, there's no such thing as 100% anonymity. I believe that Chainalysis and Integra FEC will be only be able to perform the task successfully by hunting down centralized exchanges. It's the only way I can think of, since the core Blockchain network has built-in encryption and mixing techniques that are often hard to crack. But with a hefty sum of $625k, anything's possible. These companies can hire the best hackers in the world in order to break through Monero's core Blockchain network if they wish. After all, Monero is not backed by an immense hashrate unlike Bitcoin.
Nonetheless, developers will need to focus on making Monero stronger by adopting new privacy techniques in order to render government's efforts useless. As long as the core Blockchain network is constantly updated, companies will have a hard time trying to find new ways to crack it. Personally, I wouldn't worry much about companies tracking down Monero as I've got nothing to hide. But the rest of the people won't think this way. It'll be "survival of the fittest" as Monero battles its way towards maintaining privacy against oppressive governments in the mainstream world. I hope Monero will ultimately win, making governments look elsewhere. By all means, CipherTrace got unlucky even when it claimed to be able to successfully track & trace Monero transactions. It could've been that they were unable to provide proof to sustain their claims. Now that Chainalysis and Integra FEC have taken the lead in Monero surveillance, CipherTrace could just be another nail in the coffin. Just my opinion