Rational =/= safe. Businesses act rationally; they go bankrupt all the time. And that's giving some leeway as to what constitutes "rational."
There is no safe call when you are trying to predict future, especially when your only tool is science. Remember LTCM? A group of Nobel price winner scientists trying to make a hit in financial world and their mathematical model totally collapsed and they even need FED to rescue
Progammers should learn risk management and gaming theory before they even start to make arbitrary decisions to predict economy events
A good example is the fee market prediction: Devs predict that when blocks are full, people will raise the fee, but the reality is, when blocks become full, people go to other cryptocurrencies, from gaming theory point of view, users are not stupid to be manipulated by devs' price control
Please go ahead and describe exactly how this model works. Since it sounds so absurd, the burden is on you to explain it.
Why is it absurd? They are facts. If you don't understand, then you better don't use bitcoin, you will lose money if you are gambling on some concept that you don't understand