Hello everyone
I have a very good friend who owns almost 4 Bitcoin in his early 20s.
However, he told me he didn't know exactly what to do in his current situation(life).
He doesn't know whether he should sell these 4 Bitcoins in the next bull run in order to live his life, since he is in his early 20s, or whether he should continue to work and stack, since the Bitcoin can continue to rise steadily.
He finds himself in a mental dilemma between.
Basically, we know that Bitcoin is something like a safe haven.
Do you have any tips or how would you behave if you were in a similar situation?
Thank you for your input.
And I hope I can motivate him a bit with these inputs.
Friendly HODL
So he is wondering if he can quit working? To retire permanently? Or just not worry about taking work seriously and only work here and there or something?
He only has 4 Bitcoin and is in his early 20s. He's not going to live his life on 4 Bitcoin if he sells in the next two years.
If he lets his Bitcoin sit (and accumulates more) he can probably retire off his Bitcoin in 15 years when he's in his mid-30s, selling/spending his Bitcoin gradually for the rest of his life. But at his age and at the current price range (or top of this market cycle price range) that wouldn't work for him now. He is just starting his adult life / working life, he should be focused on that, not on selling his Bitcoin. There is no reason to stop working when you're at the point in life when you've barely even starting working!
He should try to accumulate like one more Bitcoin in the coming years (or however much he can) and then once he can cover an entire year's cost of living for himself from like 0.2 BTC (I'm guessing this would be sometime in the 2030s) he could stop working if that is what he wanted to do with his life. Let's say he can get up to 5 BTC, divide 0.2 per year from that and you get 25 years of living, but with only selling what he needs to live on each year and with the over time increasing price of Bitcoin he'd eventually be living off less than 0.1 BTC/year, later in life less than 0.05 BTC/year. Though also think about buying a house, he would probably want to buy a house BEFORE he quits working to live off his Bitcoin so that as part of his living expenses he is just paying mortgage and doesn't have to come up with a downpayment. That should work as long as he is conservative in his financial planning and ideally has more than just those Bitcoin when he retires, like as mentioned has already bought a house, has some other investments, and has a good amount of cash when he stops working. So right now he is no doubt still far away from all that.
For an anecdotal reference, I retired 4 years ago off my Bitcoin, when I was 36 years old. I had over 6 times as much BTC as he has. I also had no debt and had some Ethereum and my cash in the bank would also cover my cost of living for two years. Didn't and still don't have a house, as I knew I'd be able to buy a house later on using my Bitcoin. Also I knew I'd need to be living a pretty frugal life for my first few years in retirement (I could have worked for a couple more years, accumulated more Bitcoin, and not needed to be so frugal, but I just really wanted to quit my job when I did and didn't want to find a new job. If I had been enjoying my current job I definitely would have stayed for another year at least to get in an even stronger financial position before retiring). While I haven't worried about my long term retirement, I have worried about the current amount of cash I have at a few times over the past four years, because I don't want to be using much Bitcoin at this point in life while the price is still small. Only now, over the next 12 months, as this bull run gets going will I likely never have to worry about my finances again and should be able to buy my first house in 2026 after this bull run. And even now I'm looking to try to start a business so I don't have to solely rely on my Bitcoin so I can be in an extra extra safe financial position for the rest of my life.
Your friend is early 20s, there is no reason for him to try to rush things. Whether he wants to fully retire early, or just not have to take a career seriously and only work here and there or work part time or seasonally or whatever, he is not nearly at the point where he can do that yet and he can improve his lifelong financial position many times over by working into his 30's and continuing to accumulate Bitcoin and grow his wealth before he starts spending it down. Of course it depends where he lives and what his cost of living is. If he lives in an expensive country he should work and wait longer, while if he lives in a poorer/cheaper country he still needs to work and wait but may have to do that for a few years less. Also what does he want to do with his life? Does he want to travel a lot? If so he's going to have to wait longer as that means a more expensive life. No matter what, he should be focusing on working for a good number of years still and building his wealth before he focuses on spending his wealth.