I have never dome the exact math but always though it was in and around 500 days after halving didnt know it was that close. I habe been looking at summer 2025 so we'll see but history tends to repeat itself in crypto. Priced into the halving then a consolodation, shake oit and then the bull run. I think we are right before the real bull run. Some of the last chances to stock up on some sats.
I disagree that history tends to repeat itself. In fact, someone who is relying on history repeating exactly has probably found themselves in an inaccurate position in the past. I do agree that it rhymes, that things happen similarly but usually with a slight twist that deviates it from exactly the same way that it happened in the past. I don't think we are right before the bull run, I do believe the next bull run will be before 2027 (maybe even before 2026), though I do think a twist is in store before it happens - one that will shake a lot of the market out before it begins.
The difference between the initial runs of 2013, 2017, and 2020/2021, is that Luna and FTX had an influence on the 2020/2021 period. It messed with the market dynamics, and ultimately messed with the chart-art that Bitcoin could have been (not to mention completely screwed so many people out of their investment artificially and unforeseeable). COVID also started the cycle that technically should have been in 2021 earlier, as the stimulus for that crisis began during 2020.
At least, that's my thoughts on the anomalies that have messed with the calculations.
As for this time around...Trump wants a crash, and if he wants a crash, he will probably get a crash. Have you seen thewhitepaper goldpaper for worldlibertyfinancial? It says on the front page that it's all about strengthening the US Dollar. Have you read how much the Trump crypto empire is worth? Over $15 billion spread across enterprises and associates (apparently). If he wants to strengthen the US Dollar, he is going to strengthen it through stablecoins. Imagine if cash is just "forgotten" from the US system, or phased out, and stablecoins take its place? That would be an artificial supply burn. Combine that with a dump of a crypto fortune like Trumps? Say goodbye to whatever cycle prediction you might have...and here we have another anomaly.
Of course, this is all speculation, but it's a theory that I'm happy to post as I believe I've noticed things that others haven't...and franky1, as we both know, when your family and friends are asking about when the top for bitcoin is...it probably means we've already been at the top
Make sure you have some change in case bargains become available. I also look forward to hearing your thoughts (as always) after you read the goldpaper and the article.
At least, that's my thoughts on the anomalies that have messed with the calculations.
As for this time around...Trump wants a crash, and if he wants a crash, he will probably get a crash. Have you seen the
Of course, this is all speculation, but it's a theory that I'm happy to post as I believe I've noticed things that others haven't...and franky1, as we both know, when your family and friends are asking about when the top for bitcoin is...it probably means we've already been at the top
Make sure you have some change in case bargains become available. I also look forward to hearing your thoughts (as always) after you read the goldpaper and the article.
and the musky trumpeter is wreaking havoc with the worlds markets this cycle.
in fact Joe Biden is still the ATH BTC president as out BTC ATH was 4 to 6 hours before the MUSKY TRUMPETER was sworn in.
Exactly. They're both making very large and unusual moves, which is the twist I am referring to in my last post. I am almost certain that something big/a black swan event will happen for the next bull run. Everyone should strap in tight, be diversified, keep a reserve for the bargains, and HODL for what's to come before the next run in my opinion.
