Topic: Countdown to the 4th Bitcoin halving.. what should we expect? (Read 828 times)

Yes, effect won't be immediate.

This is a long game and everyone who are new to this need to be patient. If you're not patient and you're expecting it to happen asap, you're expectation won't happen.

You need to be patient and things are going to be surprisingly high when you've got that patience that the market is requiring us.

And the effect will not be immediately felt, it will take several months after the halving that the price will take on dramatic rise, and we could be seeing like at least 6 digits for this halving. One thing to note though, after this halving, the transaction fees has increase so much. This could be that just miners pulling the plug, or it's because of the Runes protocol, not sure about that. Nevertheless, if we take out that issues, yeah, pretty much we area all looking as what to be the new all time high. So far the price is stable at $64k-$65k. And good now for those who have DCA for years, and so they could just have sit down and relax and see how everything goes. Or better yet, just continue to accumulate even if we are in the bullrun.

IMO for now there are 2 conditions where investors are still confused about determining their final destination where they are confused about determining the point at which they will exit because they are busy choosing the vulnerability of time or the amount of profit that must be passed even though this is important because however, even though bitcoin is a good part and indeed cannot be denied its popularity and progress but we are also not forever in bitcoin so indeed we must be able to take advantage of this for profit in the end.
I personally am a person who takes the option where the profit is determined by my target price and the plan is still the same where $100k is still the goal so no matter what the current conditions are and the current price movements i don't care too much about it instead i do it by buying back where the DCA method that is always discussed is still very useful until now and there is no doubt about it.
As long as the price has not been reached i will still do the same thing as i usually do but if the price is reached then i'll definitely realize my plan regardless of before the halving or after the halving it doesnt matter .

Everyone have the desirable amounts and risks surrounding him or her, he should simply call it a wrap after this hame. We have thoughts regarding bitcoin halving happening in few hours from now, normally I've witnessed it to be promising and forgers about the staging phase of the market. Everyone worked hard enough to obtain excellence in the space but we always know what's coming for us and ensuring to have option B which is seem as the backup plan for everyone.

Excited but it's not that exciting anymore compared before because you know, you have the idea on how it is going to do after several months of wait.

This is the exciting part.

Waiting for how high Bitcoin is going to be after the halving, it's all set that we'd see a new ATH although we've seen it already before halving comes.

What should we expect?  Probably not a lot.  Kind of like all of them.  :-)

Exactly, during the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs by the United States SEC, despite some of the controversy that surrounded the approval but yet people were literally happy because of the approval and this move made investors optimistic about the halving and the bull run this circle.

Though I haven't witnessed the event of the halving before but merely hearing about the halving by some members here made me to be more inquisitive about it so I am literally excited that the long awaited halving is almost here in less than 48 hours so it will be another dimension of Bitcoin reaching another milestone after an ATH was created initially which was the first time ATH has surpassed the previous one before halving, a lot is expected though from what someone who have been in the crypto space for close to a decade told me that when the halving occurs, the price of Bitcoin experiences a sudden dip and afterwards increases and the bull run begins after. What I don't know is if it will be advisable to buy if the price of Bitcoin falls during the halving?

This is what people often overlook, their ultimate goal of holding Bitcoin or any other crypto is still unclear.
The main target should certainly be achieved, even if it is before or after the halving,

But now let's see if the main target is a new ATH then after $73k it will be a new higher ATH,
this becomes the price to exit or sell part of the holding.

Doing DCA a few months ago will certainly provide more benefits, it will look bigger when the new ATH is reached.

And don't hold back long-term without an end goal or price target to achieve, because we won't hold back for life.
Investment to make a profit, not to wait to die, unless The asset is used for inheritance, then it will be different.

You have posted twice after creating this thread, now there is not much more that you can offer this thread. The repeat and rinse questions are asked quite often but it does not stop members from creating new threads about the same old questions. It seems as though the primary am was to fish for merits under the guise of a genuine question and keeping that in mind it does not really warrant a response.

Having said that, let halving occur and study the effects later. I doubt it will affect you in any capacity because yu are most probably not a miner (and probably not a trader either).

Nowadays, asking whether we are ready or not is too late because the Halving is just counting the days and even hours so whether we are ready or not, we have to face it as for the problem of the portopolio that we have and how much profit we expect I think for now we just have to wait and determine where our target is because if in the end it comes out in the current zone even if at first we bought DCA and were quite consistent since the decline from a month or a year ago it has already made a profit and it can be done to get out if we really want it because the profit in investment I think it is determined by ourselves where we will determine our target If we buy DCA and are consistent enough since the decline from a few months or a year ago, we have already made a profit and it can be done to get out if we really want it because the profit in investment I think it is determined by ourselves where we will determine the point where we will enter and where we will exit the investment cycle that we do.

I guess most of the celebrations were already done during the ETF approval which was considered a major milestone for bitcoin. This years halving is unique because it is being preceded by a bull run followed by a major retracement before the market is recovering gradually. The significance of these incidents is that the halving might not immediately cause a major rise in price. The market will be racing to first break the current ATH as first target then from there it will decide the future course. Therefore, if there will be major moves, it will be in the later and not immediately after halving although things can still change.

I have been a member of this forum since 2017 and I have experienced two (2) halvings. I really regretted in the past on not investing and taking advantage of such opportunity.

By basing it solely on the price history of BTC, you would observe that the price skyrockets whenever the halving happens. With this, I am somehow confident that the price would at least increase within the next few days or weeks after the halving. Since I know better, I am relatively ready with some of my BTCs that I HODLed and I also want to maximize this opportunity to avoid any regrets like what happened in the past.

At the end of the day, BTC is an investment- while there are no guarantees even if we based it on its price history, the fact that the halving may soon happen means this would be an opportunity for me that I will definitely not miss to exercise.

Only ~1 day and 10 hours to go.
I feel this is not celebrated as it should be on this forum. For one-in-four-years event that historically preceded massive pumps, I'd expect to see some celebration topic, contests etc, but I don't I don't think there's anything special going on. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.

Then again, I shouldn't be expecting others to do the work. I could've done something myself, but lacking on time and ideas...

Many people are indeed very excited to look forward to this halving, and I am also excited to see what effect it will have on this halving.
We have already seen how the Bitcoin price reached a new ATH before the halving, and this is the first time.

Halving side effects will not occur immediately, but will take place gradually.
The market is getting bullish, and user confidence is increasing and of course many investors are starting to enter.

But are we ready for this halving?
What has been prepared in our bags, and how much is it?
This will determine how much we profit later.

This whole talk where people ask what's going to happen reminds me of the millenium where people a bug would manifest itself exactly when all automatic dates go from 1999 to 2000. They thought the network will get paralyzed and you won't be able to browse the Internet or make a phone call. People like to panic.

The halving is going to be a normal day, like any other. It doesn't directly influence the price and it can't go wrong, like bug the blockchain or make it stuck so that no transactions are processed.
The only thing it will do is change the reward which in the long run will make miners hold on to their coins because every new bitcoin is going to be harder to obtain and more expensive.

Yes, friend, we are all excited about the current price of Bitcoin, it performed beyond all expectations, and thanks to the ETF saga of last year against this year.  As it is now, I must say that I am more concerned, because the current status of Bitcoin has not been achieved in the past when it comes to the coin hitting its former ATH again and holding above it before halving after overcoming the bearish season. I hope this is not more of a curse than a blessing, because it might initially cause some dips of the coin before helping it to move higher after finding strong support at a reasonable level.

Well, this is a view though, but people are buying and not willing to relinquish their Bitcoin, which is a means of encouragement but I doubt if this will last long if the bias is shifting seriously to the downside. Just like what happened shortly after the approval of the ETF when Bitcoin plummeted more than $10,000. Above all, the owners of Bitcoin should continue to HODL it, this is the situation where our patient would be tested once again and hitting $100,000 can never be denied in this bullish cycle. Even the $120,000 will likely be tested before the season is over.

You are not a true diamond hand hodler if you are affected by short-term price swings. 

A person who believes in Bitcoin will never be bothered by short-term dips and corrections because they would know it isn't something permanent and it is always going to recover its price in the long run so there is nothing to worry about if you have invested your money and have planned to keep holding your assets for a long term.

Only those who are not confident enough about Bitcoin and its growth potential will feel worried and bothered when they see the market declining because they feel this might cause them losses even if they have initially planned to hold for long term, such situations might make them panic sell.

Yes that's right. Historically, every time or after a halving occurs, the price of Bitcoin always increases and it will definitely happen, we just have to wait for the time when that moment will happen. The reason is that the positive impact of this halving is quite difficult to predict exactly when the price of bitcoin will reach its highest peak, in other words it cannot be predicted.

However, if you look at the halving in 2014, 2017 and 2021, you can see very significant price increases and that is what makes the price expensive. So what I'm thinking right now is to continue doing DCA on bitcoin, so that our wishes after the halving are achieved. Because if we think about what we want first, we will be late, making us miss the moment. Keep collecting bitcoins before it's too late. Talking about everyone's wishes, the price will rise significantly, especially after the ETF is approved, it is not impossible that the price will reach $100k or even more.

I understand  and agree with what you say, but I’m talking about a more intense scarcity. Like when people send coins to the wrong address and it never gets accessed anymore,and some will lose the access to their coins as well. All of these things add up to scarcity because what’s in circulation keeps on reducing (even if it’s super duper tiny.

Halving is not very far and we can easily take benefit from it but if don't wait more and take our position whenever we have the chance. Little days have been remaining and price can ho higher anytime so if someone have money then invest now until it becomes too late.

Everyone is looking forward for the halving events but nobody has any guarantee that what will happen and at which extents the price will stops to grow. Invest early because at more lower price you invest more profitable you will be because halving will become a cause of bringing each coin to its peak.

Scarcity started a long time ago, the moment that it's written in the code that there's going to be only 21 million bitcoin, scarcity was already the decided feature that bitcoin contains. Don't let that excitement make you go crazy and not think logically, remember that this is the first time that bitcoin has reached it's new ATH before halving so we should expect a new situation happening when bitcoin reaches halving, I'm with the others that have responded about not expecting anything and that we should be flexible to whatever may happen next, it's a new thing for bitcoin so it's an unknown territory for us even if we believe that bitcoin will go up in the future and it will be it's only way, short-term price fluctuations and price dumps are going to affect us no matter how much of a diamond hand hodler you are.

Well, bitcoin reaching $75k and then conquering $100k is almost certain to happen. But bitcoin is a financial market and if everything is so predictable, who will lose in this game? Don't tell me that everyone will win by investing in bitcoin, bitcoin is not a win-win game.

I believe that the road for bitcoin to reach 100k$ will not be so easy and not everyone can hold on until bitcoin reaches 100k$. I predict that before bitcoin reaches $100k or higher, bitcoin will sooner or later correct to $50k or lower and weak hands will sell bitcoin at that time. There won't be too many people holding bitcoin when it reaches $100k, so in addition to predicting we need to have a plan to hold bitcoin until then, it's easy to say but not easy to do.

Yes, ETF approval could have a significant impact on the cryptocurrency market, especially Bitcoin. And this approval could attract more institutional investors, and potentially increase liquidity and promote price stability. The current movement of Bitcoin is very different, this is due to the ETF approval which is approaching the halving which will occur in the near future which makes new and old investors very optimistic to wait for it and also collect more Bitcoin.
And reaching 75K I think will happen in the near future after the halving comes and will cause a significant increase, and maybe it will reach 100k or even more because we can't predict for sure but for that price I think it could happen.

It’s a good thing. I am excited because this is how scarcity starts. The number of bitcoin mined keeps getting smaller and the one that is circulating keeps getting set around. As for price movement, don’t expect anything crazy. I’m not saying it can’t be crazy but don’t have the expectations because they could fail you. We’ve already seen an ATH and I’m not sure we’re going to see another ATH so soon. Even if we did, it won’t be so distant from what we have today.

That's right, the market is unpredictable, and considering how volatile cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin can be, we can't be sure of anything, which is why we should be ready for any outcome and be mentally prepared for it. Despite that, most of us are optimistic that Bitcoin is going to at least go across $100k in this bull season because we have already seen it hitting a new all-time high more than a month before the halving event.

A lot of people must have taken profit when Bitcoin hit $73k earlier, most of them might be the ones who were holding their assets from the last bull run who bought at $69k or around that price, and as soon as they saw a new all-time high that made them profitable finally, they might have sold. However, those who are patient would still be holding hoping that they will get a better price than this in the second phase of the bull run.

ETFs have been creating significant changes with bitcoin price and it did surge high most likely because of ETFs approval. Add to it is the upcoming bitcoin halving wherein it also excites majority of old and new investors to accumulate more bitcoin because it’s being anticipated that when bitcoin halving happens, bitcoin price will grow due to its scarcity that makes the supply limited, hence increasing its demand that eventually lead to an increase in its own price.

With this, I am more optimistic to see bitcoin touching the price of $75k to $85k after bitcoin halving. And most likely, it will continue to skyrocket once the final bull run enters the market as well, thus creating a bullish market for all those coins who have high potentials to increase in price, most particularly for bitcoin, the king of crypto.

Yes Bitcoin halving will start this month. We are very excited about the current market value of Bitcoin and the market value of Bitcoin after the Bitcoin Halving. Even after the current market price increase, you are determined to hold on to your Bitcoins and you are sure to get good results in the future. The future of Bitcoin is hard to say but I think Bitcoin will cross $100k during the bull season at the end of the year. If Bitcoin is held until next year then Bitcoin can experience a doubling of its current value.

Bitcoin Halving Not Long To Go Bitcoin halving will begin in just a few days. I am very excited about this bitcoin halving. Currently I hold Bitcoin and will hold my investment until the next bull market. I have not only held my investment I am still constantly growing my investment using the DCA method. But I can't predict much about the market after this halving, but what I can predict is that after this halving, the market can go from $100,000 dollars to $170k dollars, but since the halving will happen in 2024, the Bitcoin market will reach a maximum of $90,000 in 2024 can position and is estimated to complete $100k to $170k dollars in 2025.

We can only make speculations about future price of Bitcoin. We can have new ATH right after the halving or it may take months, there is no guarantee about that. The good thing is price of bitcoin is very stable in the window of 60 to 70k. This price stability will boost the confidence of people who have invested there money. If price remain stable in range of 60 to 70k then there is fair chance we might see some new fireworks right after the halving. Finger crossed. 

Halving is the moment when the reward per block in 10 minutes is halved from before, so what is there to wait for?
If you expect very high price volatility during an event, it may or may not happen. Bitcoin prices will likely increase after the halving, but not in the near future, which means it will take several months afterward for bullish prices to be expected.

If you are optimistic about getting returns in the long term, especially after the halving, then don't ignore the opportunity to buy now. You should at least have bitcoin in your wallet before you expect the price to rise to the moon.

The ATH price of bitcoin before the halving time will near future never get any ATH any more? halving time left without two weeks later and bitcoin dropping around 10% more from latest ATH price one month before halving time. I have optimistic with bitcoin can easily raise up new ATH price one month before halving will get more opportunity raise more higher price when near future with halving.
Seems need more patience to see with bitcoin possibility price raise again new ATH or latest price $73k is most higher price of bitcoin this year and fourth halving edition moment.
If bitcoin can't break out when closing halving seems bad moment because many investors so excited to see how bitcoin price break out when halving time.

We have already seen seen an ATH just before the halving and it's mainly because of ETF's. Normally after a year of halving we start seeing price increase but this time conditions are different. The halving and ETF's both will put pressure on Bitcoin price and by the end of this year there is fair chance that BTC may touch 100k. It's just a guess as there is very low possibility that anyone can predict the future price of Bitcoin.

which is why i got a hunch that after halving day, the price may actually be dumped as a sort of manipulation by the whales probably through the coins deposited by the government to Coinbase. it seems like perfect timing to send the coins to an exchange while the halving is just a few weeks and then people are also expecting a huge leap in price. this price dive will make poor investors poorer.

i have been watching the market and political affairs for a while and i see the correlation to what governments do. even the plans of MiCA to regulate Defi seem coming as well.

It's definitely going to be positive. The question is how positive? Tether foundation keep pumping USDT the markets, it needs to be fuelled to somewhere.

The new around the halving even can actually caused some kind increased volatility that can push price up that very day. You know bitcoin feed on news. I think we are expecting the halving of this year to be just like every other year but I feel there will be some kind of difference. As you know, bitcoin have been on the rise long before the halving. This should be the first halving we have such wide increase in price prior to halving and that should naturally indicate that there is a little variation from the way it has been. Even though we are experiencing a kind of ranging market now, I have the feeling that the halving event will lead to major shift in price regime. This move is however expected to be sustained following the market pattern of bull run after halving.

Everyone is eager to see what is going to be like on the occasion of the halving event, well, all i can say now is for us to do all we can while ensuring that we are investing and holding, because the market already is going unpredictable and we can begin to see the massive rise anytime from now, instead of us expecting what it may be like or look, we can have our hands on something that may give us opportunity over our investment on it, the earlier the better.

This is on point, my friend. The halving, contrary to how many people believe it, will not impact the Bitcoin market positively immediately. It may take a while and it might start with a negative market outlook before the expected buying. And if I should predict, I would say that in the first weeks after halving, Bitcoin might take a nosedive and this will discourage people so much, and hence, the reason for the initial fall. But it will get to a level where it will meet strong support where the effect of the halving will start and this would couple with the completion of some kind of correction at that time due to the initial fall.

For this, Bitcoin would have taken the needed market breath to have more power and room for a higher price and this would return FOMO into the market to the point that the $100,000 would be hit within a short period of time afterwards. I nonetheless expect this to happen towards the 8-11 months of 2024, and if the tempo is sustained till the first quarter of 2025, Bitcoin may reach $120,000 easily in that period.

In other words, there could be some turbulent moments before the sweet ride upward, which is against the immediately smooth ride that people widely expect.

Yeah true, you can't make profit all the time, there is no scenario which that could even be possible. What we aim at would only be trying to make profit whenever we can and hope that overall it's in profit. You can lose 10 make 20 and be in profit, that doesn't mean you never lost, you just won more than you lost that's it. If you can aim at that, then you are going to be doing a lot better without a doubt. Lots of people miss that part of the deal and try to not make a loss.

With this new halving, I bet that there will be a lot of people who will make a lot of money, we all make money during bull run, but unfortunately there are way too many people who will hold way too long and take too many risks and lose more than they earn when the bear comes.

20 days to go to this significant event, something that might break the smaller miners ..but also something that benefit the speculators in this technology. 

We will soon see a situation where the Block reward will be less than 1 bitcoin and we hope transactions will increase enough in the future, so that "Miner fees" can replace it.

I cannot see that happening with the Lightning Network grabbing most of the small payments ... but we will have a better picture of the future of Bitcoin mining after this "Halving".

We saw prices below $4k resistance in first quarter of 2020 too. But maybe my time frames are a bit weird because I consider the previous cycle (the one started after the correction from $20k bubble in 2018) to be incomplete so I usually count that bottom as the start of the entire cycle we are still in.

We are now closer to bitcoin halving and yet, there’s still no anything special that come up with bitcoin price these days. So might as well not to expect more from this halving, just focus on hodling until we end up seeing an impressive price when bitcoin bull run comes. However, this halving is still an important event for bitcoin, that’s why majority are still looking forward for great news days before halving.

.This coming halving event, I'm sure it will be hyped again and many investors or new investors will surely buy bitcoijnin its high price the scary part is those who are not experience enough in investing and bitcoin and they might sell their bitcoin right away if theu saw it dip even just a little bit and this is a common mistakes of those new investors that invest or briught bitcoin out of nowhere, they are just following the trend or the hype and engaging in bitcoin without proper analysis in the market, we can't blame them but the thing is it will affect the movement of the bitcoin, but what I expect in the halving event is that it might cause of bitcoin's skyrocketing of price but of course we or I'm not 100% sure if it will happen, its just baded on my analysis it might happen but let's see, market is unpredictable, few days left we will witness either good or bad news. 

I was also predicting the price at $75k or $80k during the halving but seeing the price now $65,462.9 and it is still going down now. Therefore bitcoin bitcoin price might go down to below $60k in the halving. And this is my first time of coming to see the halving. And many people do not know the meaning of halving but they have been hearing the concept of the events since they join the community. So this thread can also made some justification on it. The halving event is important for both the buyer and the seller (both traders) because it reduces the number of new mining bitcoins that has been generated in the network. So this will make the price rise again when the demand is high. And that will be the all Time High ATH period in bitcoin. Those who are still confused of the event or occasion can learn from this.

Well, you said it already. Supply will be cut into half, demand will stay the same if not increase therefore, the price of Bitcoin will increase in the long run. Let's also include the fact that there is a Spot Bitcoin ETFs that have been approved, and ever since they operated, there has been a huge amount of Bitcoin going to these companies. There will be a "supply shock" that will happen.

Miners will be the most affected on this one because their profitability will be reduced, but with the price of Bitcoin increasing, I think it will cover that loss in the long run. Based on history, the price of Bitcoin goes up a months after the halving event, and like what happened in the last 3 halving events, I believe that it will happen again this time. Trend will continue because. How excited I am? Hmmm, not really because I've seen it happened once already during the pandemic and TBH, nothing significant will happen. The day when it will happen will just be a normal day for us investors. Price will not get impacted right away that's for sure.

Prediction? Bitcoin will reach $100,000 by Q4 of 2023 at least.

You are right In investing relying entirely on your own judgment is nothing short of a laughing stock.  In every investment there is the fear of profit or loss, but judicious thought and experience can be beneficial to us.  Always remember not just relying on guesswork, but making decisions with thorough details and analysis.  As in every trade there is risk in investing, but controlling our psychology is the secret to our success.  We investments should always be made keeping in mind your financial goals and risk tolerance.

Absolutely, the halving is a slash of reduction of the miners rewards which as an event is exercised at every circles of 4 years. It's also deeply affected to the investors which gives some highlights of selling their holdings before this halving run due to marketing emotions of lost of funds and still the same halving is accompanied to influence Investors to invest and attracts more of Investors with the media speculations that a new market phase would trend which is the bull run where investors a d miners rewards would be multiplied in folds but in an exaggeration of impressive volumes.

This is what many investors are missing, many only dream of higher goals that bitcoin will achieve and they ignore the risks that bitcoin can bring to us. No asset is risk-free and bitcoin is no exception, Bitcoin is even riskier because the higher the return, the higher the risk.

I also look forward and have great expectations that bitcoin will touch $100k or more, but I will not rule out a scenario where bitcoin will plummet, and I always have a backup plan for my investment.

One thing I always say is that expectations hurt.
There is nothing wrong with thinking positively and being optimistic, but too many expectations will only disappoint you. It can be even more painful when you want to invest in projects that pay off over a long period. We should keep our minds ready for any situation because trading is not something in which you will get fixed and constant profit.

I am very optimistic about Bitcoin like all traders, I am optimistic that BTC will go higher, but I always keep my mind open to the possibility that anything can happen so we should be ready for any kind of results in the short or long run.

One thing you should brace yourselves fr is the panic dumping that will happen when the halving commences and people are shocked bitcoin couldn’t propel itself to the stratosphere just yet. It happened in the previous halvings, with the most devastating one being in the most recent halving where bitcoin literally dropped to 3k if I’m not mistaken, by which it recovered quickly and had rallied itself towards 60k by 2021.

People should prepare themselves so they can time their buys correctly and reentry at the safest and most profitable price points possible. With these taken care of you can almost always expect a 2024-2025 that’s bountiful. Don’t let the panic dumping scare you off of the crypto scene as with bitcoin, being the safest cryptocurrency to invest out there, all these price dumps act as a more profitable reentry price for seasoned investors like us.

This is what happened in previous seasons, I hope it will repeat this season: Halving reduces the block reward, meaning miners have less BTC to sell, while increasing the minimum mining price of each BTC, thereby doubling the expected price of miners. In addition, Halving is also a media event, helping to attract new investors and cash flow, helping to increase the price of BTC in the long term.

At the Halving, BTC price will usually fluctuate slightly due to the sell-the-news sentiment in the market, but I don't think this is really important. It is just an opportunity for us to buy more BTC at a lower price. Spot BTC ETFs may have made new history as we have already had a new ATH before halving, but I think the cyclical nature of BTC will still be maintained and we will wait for the top of BTC in 2025.

When it comes to correction then i dont make myself that too confident in regarding to this on which we know that dumps and extreme correction might still happen or shall we say that last dump before the market would really be  shooting up into the moon on which this is something that could likely to happen. I do agree on some points about that having that ETF thing on which it might not really be that much of a deep correction
if ever there's one would be happening but come to think on how much these fellas been holding? Considering their buy or entry point then it could be likely that they wont really be releasing their bags
in a short time. This is why i do agree on some points that there might be not much of a deep correction.

The key on here is that, you should expect the unexpected. No one really knows on what would happen in the market and its always been like this and there's no way that
we could be able to know on where it would really be going. This is why it would really be that just that depending on how you would really be acting according into it or
the steps that you would be making.

Actually after halving first moves alts then BTC starting to sky rocket

I really don't think there's going to be a giant correction this year unless some exchange or government does something really stupid, like KuCoin going bust or USA trying to ban crypto payments or something like that.

That being said, Poker Player nailed it here:

There isn't much to expect but the price patterns and market trend before then is what should matter most. Right now, BTC is down 13% making a bearish turn and that is the price dipping from the $73k past the ATH where it was last week to about $63k. Also miners activities has began to reduce noticeably.
Although the ETF has done more to increase BTC demand by investors, we are nearing the period when the market might go quiet for a time until the halving event has been effected.

I don't expect tremendous changes during the halving, but after it. We're falling from 900 BTC mined per day to only 450. It's a matter of time until there's pressure for 100k.

We haven't been to $3200 since 2019. The last halving was in 2020. I don't see the relevance. We were about $9000 when the halving happened last time, and we're sitting on $70k right before the next one. That's more than 7x. It wouldn't surprise me at all if we are sitting in $420k right before the halving of 2028.

I don't expect anything special on halving day. What I do expect is that halving will slowly take effect and in a few months we will have a rise to $100K and beyond. By reducing the supply of new Bitcoins and having generated in the previous cycles price hikes there will be fewer Bitcoins for sale, or for sale at a price that the seller considers low.

Halving occurs after every four years of duration and this time it will take place in the month of April but according to the prediction if people don't immediately sell their bitcoins then it will exists until the end of this year and people can get their targeted profit during current Bull season with feasible way. Halving does not comes immediately and does not happens after a little time but four years are needed to bring another Halving.




Previous ATH was 69k$ but this time prior to halving bitcoin attained 73k$ of rate which signify that this time halving will be more valuable and more helpful than all the previous halving. There are increasing hopes of the investors for halving so let's see that what will be the exact point of increase after halving and at which value it will stop to grow.

I hope that's for real but I know bitcoin isn't going to go that high this year or anytime soon, 200k is just too far and too ambitious in my opinion, maybe a 170k could be the best outcome but a 200k is close to impossible, maybe if we get more people to invest in ETFs and more people adopting bitcoin and investing in it then we'd probably see it go to that point but with the current growth in terms of bitcoin adoption which is steady, I don't believe that it's going to go to 200k, so the best thing to expect in this situation is probably nothing at all, it's bitcoin, it's always been an expectation defier and for us to expect it to do what we want it to do is just shameless and a disservice to bitcoin being known as a volatile asset.

This time, something went wrong and bitcoin began to grow before the start of the halving. I think it's time for a changes. What was natural before will apparently no longer be the same.

I'm always excited about new halvings. This feels like the beginning of a new (BTC) milestone to me.

I hope for further bitcoin's growth, but I assume that surprises may arise, because this 4th halving is out of the general trend of past halvings.

Let's put in a conservative estimates of $100k first. I know sky is the limit and there is also the possibility to rise to $200k. But I wouldn't go that route so that we won't get disappointed when the price down go that high.

We should be learning from the experience during the last bull-run. For sure everyone still remembers one of the most famous prediction that time by Plan B with his S2F modelling. That the price is going to reach $100k. Unfortunately, the highest was $69k in November and there's no more push to reach 6 digit.

Our expectations after this year halving is in seeing that bitcoin market rises up to $200,000 and many investors are being profitable in their respective investments made on bitcoin, you can agree with me that we cannot accurately predict the time the all time high is coming but we can go by the steady speculations and follow up on the trend of how it being volatile, next month which is April will be the month to expect the halving taking place.

Price will eventually reach $100k after halving but what's interesting to speculate about is whether it could reach it before halving. Considering how from $70k to $100k is only about 40% rise, it's not that far away. With a small push and a good momentum we can get there. Specially since we've already broken the previous ATH and the psychological barrier that usually prevents such bigger rises is no longer there.

The announcement of the halving has many people thrilled and filled with high expectations. Everyone knows that people have corrected issues, and people are ready to profit. They also anticipate that the price will be significantly affected. The anticipation among consumers that prices must increase is based on pre-existing information. Individuals are forecasting a price of $100,000 or more for their predictions. as well as the general consensus that prices will rise.


very near to halving and the price is already fluctuating, which is a positive indication that the value of Bitcoin will increase. People are certain that the halving will act as a catalyst for a bull market, but there is currently a problem in that most people want to hold onto their USD due to the fluctuation in value between the two currencies, and their currencies appreciate when they invest in stable currencies, particularly in Africa. While monetary value is becoming increasingly significant, yet as things stand, people only want to gain money from their investments.

Yes, we are almost close to bitcoin halving. I am very excited because after the halving we will see a bull market. It is very difficult to predict the price of Bitcoin, but after the previous halving, the price of Bitcoin has seen a lot of growth. So it is expected that after this halving, the price of Bitcoin in Bullran will increase a lot. I won't make predictions, but expect Bitcoin to be $120-150k after the halving.

I am actually super excited for the coming halving for once again, we are about to witness history repeat itself as it did 4 years ago, and the previous 4 years ago as well, over the year, the year bitcoin halving occurs have always been the year investors get paid their reward for their three years of accumulating and enduring the bear market, it's a time when the true diamond hands who bought through every dip and kept holding get rewarded for their never giving up spirit and endless support for the bitcoin and crypto currency ecosystem.

Who ever has been in crypto and Investing since the last 4 years should be happy for the times that we are in right now, it is the season of rewards.
And speaking on the price prediction of bitcoin in the coming  bull run, it's hard to predict right, but none the less, I am expecting bitcoin to reach the price of $120,000 and above.
Finger crossed 🤞.

Yes, I agree with you, the Bitcoin halving is not an event which helps only Bitcoin to gain value and attention from new investors but it's an event where other crypto-currencies also get attention of the investors and due to that the whole crypto-market starts gaining capital.

It either starts the bull run or makes it more intense, and if we check the history then we can get an idea that how useful the halving event has been for the growth of Bitcoin and overall crypto-market. I'm quite sure that we will see some good values of altcoins as well just because of Bitcoin halving event.

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we are expecting the halving to come. I believe this time halving will not be like The first halving we experienced, it will accelerate than the last halving,  I think this is the best time for you to buy Bitcoin.

Scarcity is not the only determining factor that helps bitcoin increase in price, I think that even without the halving event bitcoin will still increase in price because of the benefits it brings to us. Supply and demand need to go hand in hand for an asset to sustainably increase in price.

Everyone is excited about the halving but I personally would be more cautious because I believe in the financial markets' mantra of “sell the news” instead of expecting a breakthrough from bitcoin.

Bitcoin will definitely reach 100k USD and even higher but I don't think it will reach that goal right after the halving. I predict it will happen later this year because I believe that the movement of bitcoin also depends on the world macroeconomic situation.

You've analysed properly, scarcity leads to increase in price..I think BTC will smash $100k price post halving imo.. there might be lots of buzz and rewarding events on dex or cex due to halving, will also be looking at them before the D-DAY.

If I look at the fundamental analysis, we are still bullish. We know that if the price goes up, it will go up, and if the price goes down, the market will immediately go down. Of course,
that's not the case.

Although we have our own opinions, all I am saying is in accordance with the understanding that I read in the market on the chart now, so I can say this.
We are not like others who only focus on the same timeframe daily and will just say that they are entitled to $100,000 because the bitcoin halving is near;
of course, it is not like that.

Expect nothing? BTC will eventually go above $100k everybody can see that but is it going to be enough for you? Everybody is living their own reality. Depending on how many coins you hodl and what your entry price is, your expectations may vary a lot. So if you don't expect anything, you won't get disappointed if nothing happens. However, if something slightly good happens, then you will be very happy because your expectations were very low. (basically nothing) That's the secret recipe of being a long term hodler. Just pretend dead because dead people are the best investors according to Fidelity.<sup>[1]

[1]</sup> The Conservative Income Investor informs that when conducting an internal performance review of customer performance from 2003 to 2013, Fidelity learned that those with the best returns were "either dead or inactive."

My excitement is to see how Bitcoin would react after the halving. We have seen unexpected things happening this time around, Bitcoin has created a new all-time high even before the halving. Now after that, our expectations are higher than before and we expect Bitcoin to at least reach $100,000 without any problems within the next two years.
I don't have unrealistic expectations from it though, I know it can surprise us again after the halving as it did earlier, but that would depend on the increment in the demand and the number of investors willing to buy more Bitcoin after or around the halving event.

DCA is golden strategy for investors and it is good for new and experienced investors too. It works for people who have time to watch the market as well as people who are busy with their non-cryptocurrency works and don't have time to observe the market too often.

This strategy works in both bear and bull market but when you say you are DCAing, let's prepare to do it for a quite long time.

There is a customized version of DCA, Smart DCA.

DCA vs Smart DCA, what do you choose?

Because you say about stable coin, please know about risk of stable coins.

PSA: Most Stablecoins Can Be Frozen, Even in Your Own Wallets

Its obvious that you already knew what's going to happen, every dump is an opportunity, why worried because of the dump when you know that a giga pump is coming right after?

I have prepared myself for any possible outcome, if dump happens I will be able to buy more Bitcoin and if it doesn't i still have my stored Bitcoin to take the ride with, this isn't the time to be out of Bitcoin, it's the time to be in Bitcoin.

This time is different is what everyone is screaming about, but I  don't want to believe what the hordes are saying, likely, it will never happen but instead of trying hard to choose it is better to be ready for any possibility, have stable coin and wait for any possible dump to DCA again.

If the cycle repeats, which currently looks like the beginning, then it should continue for XXX days after the halving. I have also posted a chart here that goes even further and does not see the top until August-November 2025, which would be over 1.5 years from now. There maybe a very strong drop in between, as in 2021. I suspect that we will see a price of +$100,000 in this cycle. One cycle with +1,400 days and we are there.

its not about the talking because Halving is truly happening in April , and this will not happen for a while because this will happen every 4 years and we have seen that for 4th year now.

but this time All Time High price of Bitcoin have already  broken even before the halving happens so the trend may change , lets see what happens next.

Historically, that should also be the case. But does this raise a bit of a question why this happened before the Halving? Whether that cycle will change I don't know. But in the current calculation, the halving target for this period in my opinion is above $100k. So I still hope there is an increase after there is a dumping that happens. The market also continues to change after the ETF is approved, the best way is to always be vigilant so that we do not lose the moment.

This "cycle" a lot of things are different from previous ones. The biggest difference is that up until early 2020's the global economy was mostly stable but after the pandemic which was immediately followed by conflicts the economy has been "unstable" and we are experiencing recession globally. That has a significant effect on bitcoin market and its price.

We should take that into account when speculating. However, I still believe we are going to see the same behavior as before meaning a series of rises before halving that are only based on hype followed by a drop (or better say correction) right before the halving date. Then the big rally starts after halving when the supply creation rate is actually cut by half.
The only difference I can expect from this time is the overall size of the "cycle". For example in previous one in 2017 we went from $150 to $20000 but I don't expect the same rise now to go from $3200 to $420000 but 6 digits is still possible.

All we can do is hope for the best and pray against the worst scenario yet.
Everyone has some expectations of sort. As some want to observe before coming onboard, others would want to time the accuracy of the halving and duration it is supposed to last.
Although miners fees will have to be reduced in half, as well as every BTC out there, I expect the bull season fully not like the prelude since the start of this year and since the approval of the ETF projects, that did more to increase its demand. I also expect the price of BTC to be around $100k and more as some are speculating so as to know the signals that I can rely on more, that is incase I do venture into trading fully or DCA  or be if help to a friend who trades or HoDLs and needs the information to succeed.

I do agree with what Maus0728 has to say.  Do not have too high expectations, it will likely not make you Rich unless you time the moves perfectly and already have a hefty amount of Dollars invested.

Expect Bitcoin to do less gains than previous cycles.  I could be wrong considering the ETF approval and how much money flow there will be this time.  But why not have a modest expectation?  You can never go wrong with a modest one.

With all things that's happening in my life, I don't think that I'd ever want to be thinking too much about what's next for bitcoin in it's 4th halving, just do DCA I guess and hope for the best, take profit in the case that the price goes up after halving or buying more bitcoin/increasing the amount that I buy when I DCA when the price goes down, just be adaptable, bitcoin would always be unpredictable and just like what @CODE200 just said "expectations lead to disappointment", I like to also add to that part that it will lead to disappointment if you know in the first place that it's already unpredictable and that your expectations are already out of bounds.

Yes, even for those who have experienced a block halving still pretty much excited for us. But I guess we will have to settle down a bit after the halving, and we shouldn't expect a sudden growth in prices, it might take months before we will see the effect of halving, supply is dwindling but the demand is going to sour = price going up into 6 digits. So with that we should be optimistic as you have said, and patience will be the key as well. For our stash, we should keep it safe and if we have time and money, still continue to accumulate even if we are fast approaching the halving.

Very excited. You can say that I am even buzzing with excitement. However along excitement comes nervousness. Yes, we are expecting that bitcoin will reach new highs so it is essential to correctly position yourself in the market. The amount of bitcoin accumulated is also a factor to consider. It’s hard to be confident and certain about your coin because there are always ‘what ifs’ and things like that but we just have to keep being optimistic and analyze the market well.

Almost everyone expects nothing but the bullish cycle trend of it. History remains the general basis of our predictions; we've seen that halving events tend to coincide with significant price movements in Bitcoin, so there's certainly an air of optimism surrounding the potential for another bull market cycle. It's always exciting as the halving approaches because many are anticipating it. Long-term fundamentals and adoption trends are what ultimately drive the value of Bitcoin. There will be another new milestone with the upcoming halving, reaching a new ATH.

In my opinion, what we should expect in this halving is the same thing that we've done before the other halvings, definitely expect the unexpected because expecting something that's fixed when halving will only lead you to a life full of disappointment. Say if you expect the price to pump after halving and it doesn't, what you've been preparing before halving expecting it to pump is going to go for nothing, same with expecting that a dump would happen after halving. Now when you expect the unexpected, you're prepared both ways and you're not going to be caught off guard and you'd easily adapt to what the situation calls for, people seem to forget that bitcoin is an ever volatile cryptocurrency so I don't get how we still want to do some kind of expectations that will most likely lead to a disappointment and frustration.

If you want to see possible next things on the market, check the market history.


In previous cycles, Bitcoin makes a parabolic curve after breaking its previous ATH but in this cycle, we are witnessing a totally different thing. Bitcoin breaks its previous ATH, a first ever time before its halving.

In previous cycles, there are big corrections, wash-outs before a parabolic curve kick-off.

Just some notes from market history, market can repeats itself or be different.

Some information about market drawdowns.

• Bitcoin price history, ATHs and bottoms.
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Look at this simple chart showing previous block halvings and the price of Bitcoin on every block halving.
If we will just follow this, it clearly shows that for every Bitcoin block halving, we always create new all-time highs.

I'm just worried that before we break, are we expecting a huge dump before we will go Giga pump

Well allot has changed since the last halving. There is very little BTC left to mine and the only TRUE effect is to the miners.

The rest is all emotional responses.

If it flashes up a few months after I will take peoples money.

Thank-you

Excited as how everyone is excited at this moment when we're all seeing the price moves up quickly while we're waiting for it as it's just around the corner.

Safe prediction will be $100k and close to it. But if not, we're certainly going to be past $70k at this rate.

ETFs are still there and once the ETF buyers understands that they can buy their own Bitcoin through exchanges, p2p or any other method.

They're going to choose to have it and hold it with their own wallets rather than go with the ETFs and brokers.

I wouldn’t say bitcoin halving is significant alone for bitcoin even though that’s what it’s supposed to be but it is significant to the entire cryptocurrency in such that whenever bitcoin halving happens market plummet and also more new coins are even lunched. So to me now it is a universal period to all cryptocurrency.

As for OP, There are many bitcoin predictions for the upcoming bull run, the predictions in the past were shaped by past trends but this time around bitcoin seems to be moving in different directions as we have even hit a new ATH before the halving occurs which is not usual and many people are thinking of it moving massively This period. My prediction still remains a ATH of $170k.

Well just based on what has happened around previous halvings the Bitcoin price will climb
for approximately 12 months after the halving. How high will that go? this a very intriguing
question...there are very different forces in play this time around - as in ETF's.

There will be corrections on the journey after the halving too but generally overall there
should be a rise.

I just cant help thinking that the reduced Bitcoin block reward couple with the ETF buy
pressure will play out in the Supply v's Demand.

Price ? pure guess at over $150k ^{conservative guess}

I believe that halving event is one of the most important aspects of Bitcoin and it has contributed a lot to the growth of Bitcoin. Like most others, I also believe that the halving event will allow Bitcoin to grow in value because when the number of mined bitcoins are reduced to half then that somehow creates scarcity and because of scarcity the value of Bitcoin grows overtime.

Bitcoin's price won't be affected to huge degrees during the halving events if we see the history of it, but this time due to the ETFs, I believe the value of Bitcoin will grow during the halving event. I think that Bitcoin may reach $75k value during the halving event this time. However, I also think that it may reach or cross $80k value if a new rally takes place.

I don't think it is ok or advisable to invest in it yet if you don't want to loose money or your capital because since Bitcoin has no underlying value but only have a cost to produce
its value by entirely subjecting to demands and dynamics
and only tends to have a positive impact only if further restrictions are made to the supply. So it is advisable to stay put until an assurance is being giving base on it.

On halving, we should expect the miners' reward to be reduced by a half. That's what this event is about. We can also expect more media attention on Bitcoin than usual, maybe a few articles about halving. There's no direct correlation between halvings and bull markets because counting whatever happens over the next 1 year or so and attributing that to halving is stretching it. During 2016 halving, the price stayed roughly the same as pre-halving, and the bull market properly hit only at the end of 2017. The 2020 halving was also largely uneventful, with the price really starting to grow in October of the same year. So this time, it will probably also be pretty uneventful.

We've been hearing about the Bitcoin halving for a while, and some may be confused about its significance. In this post, I'll simplify it 😁. Let's hope I'm able to do that.

Bitcoin undergoes a halving event approximately every four years, with the fourth halving estimated to occur around April 23, 2024, at block height 840,000. This event reduces the block reward for miners from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. Halvings limit the issuance of new bitcoins, impacting supply dynamics and historically correlating with crypto bull markets.

Some may ask about the impact of the Bitcoin halving. In my opinion, the halving significantly affects economics, sustainability, and ecosystem development. Economically, it slows the circulation of new bitcoins, affecting supply and demand equilibrium and potentially increasing market value. It highlights Bitcoin's deflationary nature, appealing to long-term investors as a store of value. Sustainability-wise, it ensures continuous Bitcoin production, supporting mining and network operation. In terms of ecosystem development, it boosts Bitcoin's price, attracting attention, funds, and talent to the blockchain sector, shaping its future trajectory and sparking discussions on Bitcoin's value and role in digital finance.

Some may wonder how this affects the price of Bitcoin going forward. From historical data, Bitcoin has always risen after the previous three halvings. Let's see if this trend continues.

What's your take on this? How excited are you for this halving, and what's your prediction for BTC price movements?
https://www.bitget.com/bigtime/bitcoin-halving