I am not understand Italiano but please let me take this thread to present some very good signals for changes of the epidemic in your nation, come from the serious orders of the Italy governments.
As you see, if we draw a plot for total daily new infected cases versus total cummulative infected cases, it seems the plot discloses some very good effects from government's orders. With some lag-effects, we have good signals.
Code:
+-----------------------------------------+
| date new_infected cum_infected |
|-----------------------------------------|
1. | 24feb2020 221 221 |
2. | 25feb2020 93 311 |
3. | 26feb2020 78 385 |
4. | 27feb2020 250 588 |
5. | 28feb2020 238 821 |
|-----------------------------------------|
6. | 29feb2020 240 1049 |
7. | 01mar2020 566 1577 |
8. | 02mar2020 342 1835 |
9. | 03mar2020 466 2263 |
10. | 04mar2020 587 2706 |
|-----------------------------------------|
11. | 05mar2020 769 3296 |
12. | 06mar2020 778 3916 |
13. | 07mar2020 1247 5061 |
14. | 08mar2020 1492 6387 |
15. | 09mar2020 1797 7985 |
|-----------------------------------------|
16. | 10mar2020 977 8514 |
17. | 11mar2020 2313 10590 |
18. | 12mar2020 2651 12839 |
19. | 13mar2020 2547 14955 |
20. | 14mar2020 3497 17750 |
|-----------------------------------------|
21. | 15mar2020 3590 20603 |
22. | 16mar2020 3233 23073 |
23. | 17mar2020 3526 26062 |
24. | 18mar2020 4207 28710 |
25. | 19mar2020 5322 33190 |
|-----------------------------------------|
26. | 20mar2020 5986 37860 |
27. | 21mar2020 6557 42681 |
28. | 22mar2020 5560 46638 |
29. | 23mar2020 4789 50418 |
30. | 24mar2020 5249 54030 |
|-----------------------------------------|
31. | 25mar2020 5210 57521 |
32. | 26mar2020 6153 62013 |
33. | 27mar2020 5959 66414 |
34. | 28mar2020 5974 70065 |
35. | 29mar2020 5217 73880 |
|-----------------------------------------|
36. | 30mar2020 4050 75528 |
37. | 31mar2020 4053 77635 |
+-----------------------------------------+
| date new_infected cum_infected |
|-----------------------------------------|
1. | 24feb2020 221 221 |
2. | 25feb2020 93 311 |
3. | 26feb2020 78 385 |
4. | 27feb2020 250 588 |
5. | 28feb2020 238 821 |
|-----------------------------------------|
6. | 29feb2020 240 1049 |
7. | 01mar2020 566 1577 |
8. | 02mar2020 342 1835 |
9. | 03mar2020 466 2263 |
10. | 04mar2020 587 2706 |
|-----------------------------------------|
11. | 05mar2020 769 3296 |
12. | 06mar2020 778 3916 |
13. | 07mar2020 1247 5061 |
14. | 08mar2020 1492 6387 |
15. | 09mar2020 1797 7985 |
|-----------------------------------------|
16. | 10mar2020 977 8514 |
17. | 11mar2020 2313 10590 |
18. | 12mar2020 2651 12839 |
19. | 13mar2020 2547 14955 |
20. | 14mar2020 3497 17750 |
|-----------------------------------------|
21. | 15mar2020 3590 20603 |
22. | 16mar2020 3233 23073 |
23. | 17mar2020 3526 26062 |
24. | 18mar2020 4207 28710 |
25. | 19mar2020 5322 33190 |
|-----------------------------------------|
26. | 20mar2020 5986 37860 |
27. | 21mar2020 6557 42681 |
28. | 22mar2020 5560 46638 |
29. | 23mar2020 4789 50418 |
30. | 24mar2020 5249 54030 |
|-----------------------------------------|
31. | 25mar2020 5210 57521 |
32. | 26mar2020 6153 62013 |
33. | 27mar2020 5959 66414 |
34. | 28mar2020 5974 70065 |
35. | 29mar2020 5217 73880 |
|-----------------------------------------|
36. | 30mar2020 4050 75528 |
37. | 31mar2020 4053 77635 |
+-----------------------------------------+
Sources:
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2020_Italy_coronavirus_lockdown
- https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/italy/
- https://www.ft.com/coronavirus-latest
Best wishes for all of you and your nation,