Author

Topic: Currency-like Volatility? (Read 980 times)

sr. member
Activity: 280
Merit: 250
Relax!
January 29, 2015, 10:32:02 AM
#10
I guess we will have to go up to $50'000 to be quite stable. At that level we will have some decent saturation, man. The market can't be manipulated as easily at those levels, it'll reassure people willing to invest into Bitcoin, I guess.
donator
Activity: 1736
Merit: 1006
Let's talk governance, lipstick, and pigs.
January 29, 2015, 10:29:28 AM
#9
I see a lot of if statements in this thread. I guess that's why it's in a speculation forum and not in a "How I Made Millions" article in Fortune magazine.
hero member
Activity: 686
Merit: 500
A pumpkin mines 27 hours a night
January 29, 2015, 09:33:43 AM
#8
Stable national currenices maintain monthly volatility against the US dollar of less than 12%; most far lower.  Central banks can smooth this to some degree as is politically or economically useful.

With Bitcon's supply predetermined, what type of price discovery/market cap would be necessary to find comparable stability in the 3-5 year near term?  We currently observe month-to-month exchange rate swings of 40% or more.

right now it inflates by 8% this year. That means it will remain extremely volatile for now. Try again in 2020 after two more halvings. Maybe better then (in case it's still relevant then).

There's also a great influx of new FIAT money coming into Bitcoin every day. It's the mere inequality of those two factors that create the high volatility - plus the very speculative nature of Bitcoin itself. Finding a market cap so there's an equilibrium is difficult... Don't know... maybe $1'000b?
legendary
Activity: 1092
Merit: 1000
January 29, 2015, 09:06:21 AM
#7
Stable national currenices maintain monthly volatility against the US dollar of less than 12%; most far lower.  Central banks can smooth this to some degree as is politically or economically useful.

With Bitcon's supply predetermined, what type of price discovery/market cap would be necessary to find comparable stability in the 3-5 year near term?  We currently observe month-to-month exchange rate swings of 40% or more.

right now it inflates by 8% this year. That means it will remain extremely volatile for now. Try again in 2020 after two more halvings. Maybe better then (in case it's still relevant then).

The problem is that money coming into Bitcoin is not sufficient to meet this inflation. If this increases, the relatively high inflation Iin terms of money supply) wouldn't really matter.

220$ (price) times 3600 coins per day is 792k$ needed every day to hold said price. It's going doooown.
Inflation is unaffordable for anyone.

Meanwhile Unobtanium with low inflation looksvery appealing when we look at it from the point of view of charts.
legendary
Activity: 889
Merit: 1013
January 29, 2015, 04:27:46 AM
#6
792k$ needed every day to hold said price. It's going doooown.
You make it sound like $792k is a lot of money. The European Central Bank just announced it's going to print an extra €2 billion a day to pump into an abstract bond market to stop it imploding. It's just that no one cares about bitcoin, is all.
full member
Activity: 122
Merit: 100
January 29, 2015, 04:08:18 AM
#5
below $200 soon, if it continues,,,
hero member
Activity: 602
Merit: 500
January 28, 2015, 09:05:00 PM
#4
Stable national currenices maintain monthly volatility against the US dollar of less than 12%; most far lower.  Central banks can smooth this to some degree as is politically or economically useful.

With Bitcon's supply predetermined, what type of price discovery/market cap would be necessary to find comparable stability in the 3-5 year near term?  We currently observe month-to-month exchange rate swings of 40% or more.

right now it inflates by 8% this year. That means it will remain extremely volatile for now. Try again in 2020 after two more halvings. Maybe better then (in case it's still relevant then).

The problem is that money coming into Bitcoin is not sufficient to meet this inflation. If this increases, the relatively high inflation Iin terms of money supply) wouldn't really matter.

220$ (price) times 3600 coins per day is 792k$ needed every day to hold said price. It's going doooown.
Inflation is unaffordable for anyone.
full member
Activity: 218
Merit: 100
January 28, 2015, 08:45:37 PM
#3
Stable national currenices maintain monthly volatility against the US dollar of less than 12%; most far lower.  Central banks can smooth this to some degree as is politically or economically useful.

With Bitcon's supply predetermined, what type of price discovery/market cap would be necessary to find comparable stability in the 3-5 year near term?  We currently observe month-to-month exchange rate swings of 40% or more.

right now it inflates by 8% this year. That means it will remain extremely volatile for now. Try again in 2020 after two more halvings. Maybe better then (in case it's still relevant then).

The problem is that money coming into Bitcoin is not sufficient to meet this inflation. If this increases, the relatively high inflation Iin terms of money supply) wouldn't really matter.
full member
Activity: 574
Merit: 104
January 27, 2015, 05:18:27 PM
#2
Stable national currenices maintain monthly volatility against the US dollar of less than 12%; most far lower.  Central banks can smooth this to some degree as is politically or economically useful.

With Bitcon's supply predetermined, what type of price discovery/market cap would be necessary to find comparable stability in the 3-5 year near term?  We currently observe month-to-month exchange rate swings of 40% or more.

right now it inflates by 8% this year. That means it will remain extremely volatile for now. Try again in 2020 after two more halvings. Maybe better then (in case it's still relevant then).
member
Activity: 63
Merit: 10
January 27, 2015, 05:01:15 PM
#1
Stable national currenices maintain monthly volatility against the US dollar of less than 12%; most far lower.  Central banks can smooth this to some degree as is politically or economically useful.

With Bitcon's supply predetermined, what type of price discovery/market cap would be necessary to find comparable stability in the 3-5 year near term?  We currently observe month-to-month exchange rate swings of 40% or more.
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