The only good thing in this analysis is the warning and predictions about the silk road auction off. those are good and true, everything else is just hogwash when it comes to crypto-currency trading.
Yea yea get it out now, call me names, tell me I dont knwo what i am talking about, BUT I call your bluff. It will not be me getting slapped with insults and criticism when Ops like this one make an analysis and some holder of bitcoins blows his assumptions out of the water and in the wrong direction. there are enough wallets out there to take any technical or fundamental analysis and flush it down the toilette.
The sooner you "Forex Experts" and "Chart Lovers" realize this, the better off you will be. Stop wasting your time on long term charts, you need just about 2 days of charts, there are no moving averages in Bitcoins or any crypto currency, the charts are not where you need to be. you need to be concentrating on getting on board with as many pump and dump groups as you can find, then you could sell your analysis and make some real cash off your advice
Im just saying
Wisdom. It's all about the pumpin and dumpin. There are no "fundamentals" or "momentum". Just bubbles, crashes and low-volume stagflation. Sadly we are currently in the last of these three - the most boring.