@pooya87, Didn't Biden publicly say a few days ago that he would
intervene militarily in the event of a Chinese attack on Taiwan?
It's impossible to predict what would any of them to be honest, US was also promising support to Ukraine and we saw what happened in reality! But right now it seems like all sides are trying to deescalate with US state department stating
they don't recognize Taiwan's independence. Which is a good thing if it continues and I really hope it does otherwise things could get out of hand very quickly.
Some analysts believe that if China really invades Taiwan and US gets involved they will find themselves in a war all around the world. For example two things happened in the past 2 weeks that support this analysis.
One was Russia's fake withdrawal from Syria which was just an excuse to let the Resistance move in and surround US military bases and also to bait Turkey to attack northern Syria and get caught in a hellhole with no exit and continue losing troops (this also put and end to Turkey's attempt to take Iraq's gas and bring it to EU). Other US bases in West Asia were also surrounded and all fingers are on triggers. That's good chunk of US military force.
The other was the Chinese defense minister travel to Iran at the same time all this was happening which many believe was for coordination and planning of what I explained above; a large scale conflict.
If this is true, then it explains the deescalation because it is a good deterrence for US to not want to get involved in Taiwan situation.
My local press also claims that Biden is still traveling to the SA at the end of this month, and this is confirmed by other
sources from just 48 hours ago.
That seems to be true but the thing is ever since September 2019 when the Saudi Aramco facility was attacked and million dollar defenses they bought from US proved to be useless and then US didn't do anything to help Saudis, they've been biting the hand that has been feeding them. They also didn't want Biden to win but he did win and now he is mad because they were funding Trump to win. The situation is already too complicated there specially since ceasefire with Yemen is hanging by a thread and they could blow up Aramco again decreasing their production by 50% or maybe more this time.
I also read the news about OPEC but I won't believe it until I see the production increase first.
Fortunately, summer has already arrived in the northern hemisphere, people do not need heating, and bicycles and electric scooters are increasingly being used. This can somewhat ease demand
I don't know how much this decreases the overall demand since I read somewhere that most of the energy usage was already in factories and big industries not the households. Considering how some industries shut down over the past couple of months and generally all of them have been complaining the most about the soaring energy prices I think it is true.