As I said on another thread here:
I was doing some calculations and found something a little worrying, I was going to pre-order an ASIC until I established this...
Apologies if my notes are a bit scruffy but here goes;
Currently:
My 7970 GPU: £285
my current hash rate: 0.6 GH/s
the total world hash rate: 30,000 GH/s
This means I have a 0.002% share of hash rate. Earning ~£1.50 a day.
If we look at the publicly known BFL ASIC pre-orders:
(
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/wait-list-bfl-sc-pre-order-information-monarch-orders-too-89685)
If I ordered the Mini Single SC for: £450
My hash rate would then be: 30 GH/s
the total world hash rate at that point would be: 60,000,000 GH/s
So then I would have a 0.00005% share of the hash rate. Earning just ~£0.03 per day.
And as this only accounts for the BFL sales (the ones we know about). If you throw in the Avalon and unknown BFL orders, your talking about earning less than £0.01 per day!
Which means... Once those people that have pre-ordered finally get their ASICs. No one will ever get back their investment (except the first few who get theirs early).
I assume I must have made a mistake here somewhere otherwise, everyone is walking into a money pit
--------
Just spotted my mistake;
If we look at the publicly known BFL ASIC pre-orders:
(
https://bitcointalksearch.org/topic/wait-list-bfl-sc-pre-order-information-monarch-orders-too-89685)
If I ordered the Mini Single SC for: £450
My hash rate would then be: 30 GH/s
the total world hash rate at that point would be: 90,000 GH/s
So then I would have a 0.03% share of the hash rate. Earning just ~£15.00 per day.
Hmmm, sounds a bit better now