As with many things in Bitcoin, we will have to wait and see. If DragonMint, Samsung, GMO etc can deliver a good package and a competitive edge against Bitmain, then we may be up for a new golden era of mining, but if they fail and the cheap production and electricity costs of Bitmain surpasses any attempts of competition we may have problems and the idea of a PoW change may start gaining traction.
i agree.....time will tell. one thing working in our favor is that cheap subsidized electricity for bitcoin mining in china is being phased out, and the regulatory atmosphere has jihan wu setting up farms around the world. bitmain is competing at the same rates as everyone else. it's more a matter of undercutting their edge in chip fabrication. samsung is working with an undisclosed chinese manufacturer. i'm excited to see what comes out of their launch.
I think by around 2020 we should have a clear scenario of how things are going to be in the mining field, since all these competitors should have their machines ready and fighting against Bitmain's monopoly.
indeed. aside from difficulties with consensus, that's why it seems like a POW hard fork is really premature.