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Topic: Draw betting strategy (Read 502 times)

hero member
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January 31, 2024, 01:58:26 AM
#58
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
Bro gambling is a game of luck no matter how you study the both team there is still a high chance of loosing because match prediction is not just a work by mouth or how far you have studied the game but how the game tend a to play in due time. The difference between yesterday and today is that yesterday has passed and today has come . The weak point of players you think might be their downfall for the next match according to your prediction might turn out to be a mere misconception because it will play against your wish.
Besides that, we also have to estimate the surprise factor that will appear in the middle of the match. This surprise factor can ultimately change the direction of the match and favour the other team, making our bet lose. Indeed, we can study the results of each team's matches to get or estimate how strong they are, but we also must remember the surprise factor that will emerge from each team. The team that is not seeded sometimes loses to the team that is seeded because they have something to fight the dominance of the top team. They will also play carefree against the underdog team because many underestimate their strength.
hero member
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January 30, 2024, 11:59:26 PM
#57
Draws are not easy to surface in matches as it's difficulty to happen is what makes the bookies to regularly provide a high and attractive odd size to draws option in  all matches. What I think about draws is that since they are very difficult to make out it will be nice and safer to  make single bets on it then multiple or accumulative bet which will quite make your chance more blurry. In all the tips to a draw outcome in a match as listed by op I can only agree with him about the aspect of history between a two team. In football a history has the tendency of repeating itself more often then not.
It true that draw is not easy to happen, but for match between strong team, draw will definitely have greater chance of happening, so there is very low odd for draw and relatively high odd for the two teams competing.
As gamblers, we have to be smart in analyzing match like this.
Personally, if there is match between two big team, the best way is to watch the match at least until the first half is over, after that I will analyze the progress of the match for the second half and take double chance bet.
This does not guarantee victory but can minimize losses and increase the chances of winning, as gamblers we risk our own money and in any case must always try to protect it by optimizing the chances of winning and minimizing the chances of losing.
Nobody wants to lose, therefore we ourselves have to be smart in making strategies and predicting how to bet.
sr. member
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January 30, 2024, 11:31:44 PM
#56
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
Bro gambling is a game of luck no matter how you study the both team there is still a high chance of loosing because match prediction is not just a work by mouth or how far you have studied the game but how the game tend a to play in due time. The difference between yesterday and today is that yesterday has passed and today has come . The weak point of players you think might be their downfall for the next match according to your prediction might turn out to be a mere misconception because it will play against your wish.
sr. member
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Catalog Websites
January 30, 2024, 11:16:49 PM
#55
Draws are not easy to surface in matches as it's difficulty to happen is what makes the bookies to regularly provide a high and attractive odd size to draws option in  all matches. What I think about draws is that since they are very difficult to make out it will be nice and safer to  make single bets on it then multiple or accumulative bet which will quite make your chance more blurry. In all the tips to a draw outcome in a match as listed by op I can only agree with him about the aspect of history between a two team. In football a history has the tendency of repeating itself more often then not.

I actually think its the most complex game to engage in although it has mouth-wattery odds that you can barely say no to but the risk is extremely very high as achieving the exact prediction of draws from games is not easy.

To even consider the fact thst most draws were never the anticipated outcome of such games, it makes it even more complicated.
legendary
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January 29, 2024, 09:14:23 PM
#54
Personally, I don’t particularly like games where there is a draw and also those betting options in which a draw is the third outcome of the game. Simply because in this case, the probability that your bet will win is only 33.33%, while the probability of the opposite scenarios - one team winning or the other winning - is a total of 66.66%. Perhaps the best solution would be to choose betting options in which we bet on a draw or victory for one team. Of course, the odds compensate for this inequality, but in the game you should maximize all the odds on your side. That's why I like species in which there is no draw. The classic option is tennis.
sr. member
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January 29, 2024, 04:42:02 PM
#53
Draws are not easy to surface in matches as it's difficulty to happen is what makes the bookies to regularly provide a high and attractive odd size to draws option in  all matches. What I think about draws is that since they are very difficult to make out it will be nice and safer to  make single bets on it then multiple or accumulative bet which will quite make your chance more blurry. In all the tips to a draw outcome in a match as listed by op I can only agree with him about the aspect of history between a two team. In football a history has the tendency of repeating itself more often then not.
full member
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January 29, 2024, 04:29:34 PM
#52

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.

Refund is one of the good things gambler keen on hearing because there's no significant odds to grab, rather sticking to the winning team and also doing everything within one's reach to ensure profits is the end result. Draw no bet is one of the safe options to triggered in betting, I've observed some crucial matches and this option is the best option to play, to secure good odds and also be on the safer side. Remember, this odds are entirely important for the gambler because they're open to receiving good profits as long they're apply to significant phases.

sr. member
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January 29, 2024, 09:37:29 AM
#51
I believe you are referring to Football, so I will talk about it too.... we know that it is not the intention of either team for a draw to occur, both teams will always do everything they can to win and gain more points and climb the table classification. However, the fact is that around 25% of games in the world end in a draw, if we converted the implied probability into odds, it would give a fair odds of 4.00.

However, this is a macro view of the draws market as smaller championships tend to have a higher percentage of draws in the match, such as, for example, Iran's Azadegan League in which 39.38% of 2023 games ended in a draw. The most competitive leagues, such as those in Europe or Brazil, tend to have a relatively smaller number of draws.

Therefore, my additional tip is that people should choose smaller, less disputed championships to bet on draws.
If an underdog plays a favorite, they may hope to draw the match, but this does not mean that it is easy to determine which match may be a draw. This is a complex strategy and somewhat reminded me of black or red in roulette, but this is an even more complex option, since in this case three outcomes are possible and not two (zero is a little different).

So I don't see why this strategy would work. Everything will depend on chance and your luck will decide here, which makes the chances of winning very low.
hero member
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January 29, 2024, 09:36:18 AM
#50
Yes… of course what you say can help someone increase their chances of winning. However, we need to remember that there is no single strategy that can provide a hundred percent guarantee that every time we place a bet we will win. So it would be wiser if we were able to accept the final result, regardless of winning or losing.

We must be able to accept the final result of a bet, regardless of winning or losing. Even though in the past we have tried as much as possible to increase the chances of winning, either by using strategies and careful analysis techniques or other methods that can increase the chances of achieving a win. Being able to accept the final result with grace can help us maintain emotional balance and avoid impulsive reactions that could lead to irrational betting decisions. By understanding that the outcome of betting cannot always be predicted, we can take a more calm and rational approach to our betting experience. Therefore, stick to a realistic goal and maintain a balanced attitude, both when winning and losing.
legendary
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January 29, 2024, 09:34:56 AM
#49
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading

Sorry, but point number 1 is complete nonsense. In any game, the draw odds very rarely go below 3. I just checked the next two rounds (average of 20 games totaling 60) in La Liga, EPL and Bundesliga and there are no draw odds lower than 3 anywhere.
If the probability even sometimes approached 85% percent, then you would see the odds of 1.2 quite often, but before the game I’m sure no one had ever seen such an odds. In live, such a coefficient can be seen approximately 10 minutes before the end of the game (if equal teams are playing).
Regarding everything else, I can say that bookmakers also take into account all these options, so the odds do not always compensate for the risk, you need to look for additional options to make your bet profitable.
sr. member
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January 29, 2024, 09:12:05 AM
#48
Draw doesn't happen on a daily basis. Odds are also high for the same reason and therefore bets doesn't need to be too high 'coz that's high risk high reward. I never tried betting on draw because of the low probability that it will happen. No team or player statistic will determine its occurrence other than the game itself. Teams won't prefer it as well since things are competitive in the first place. However, betting and winning on draws are rewarding. It will now be just the gambler's preference and decision whether he/she would bite that risk of losing with a higher chances, or not betting at all into it due to high risk.
I don't see any really helpful strategy for get draw bets or having a better statistics on this. Generally these results are really hard to be achieved. I will try to focus more in draw no bets (the opposite of a draw bet). In the past I was betting a lot with exchange and final score results. Of course draw are the highest Sad like 0-0 (odds around 10-12 in each match... a kind of holy grail of draw betting)

Draw no bets indeed is a better option however won't be that rewarding given that it is just some sort of insurance on your bet and the biggest reward is refund of your bet.

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.


There is no kind of option that bet companies will not avail users all in the avenue to offer services.

This kind of betting offer is obviously a genius one and gamblers are gonna love it, they'd hope to bet and still have the slightest chance of either wining or getting their invested sum back.
They believes that the more the options also the more gamblers come to them to gamble, just think, how can a gambler sees an option that he thinks will make his predictions so easy and will kotake an attempt to choose it?
That's not so possible, so the more options that they bring the more gamblers visits, IMO there are people who like some options that the draw, straight winning and over goals, so if the company didn't have such options at first and all of a sudden they brings it, those options lovers will bet on those options.
Well yes, more betting option means more gamblers. If it is just a straight win or lose options, why will they choose you over the other providers? A site needs to accommodate as may gambler's preferences as possible. It is the same with parlays and side bets on fiat based online gambling sites which gives alternative positions for the players if they are not sure of the winning team; they could still bet with player performances and the likes.
sr. member
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January 29, 2024, 08:16:04 AM
#47

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.


There is no kind of option that bet companies will not avail users all in the avenue to offer services.

This kind of betting offer is obviously a genius one and gamblers are gonna love it, they'd hope to bet and still have the slightest chance of either wining or getting their invested sum back.
They believes that the more the options also the more gamblers come to them to gamble, just think, how can a gambler sees an option that he thinks will make his predictions so easy and will kotake an attempt to choose it?
That's not so possible, so the more options that they bring the more gamblers visits, IMO there are people who like some options that the draw, straight winning and over goals, so if the company didn't have such options at first and all of a sudden they brings it, those options lovers will bet on those options.
legendary
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January 19, 2024, 07:34:37 PM
#46
~snip~

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading

I believe you are referring to Football, so I will talk about it too.... we know that it is not the intention of either team for a draw to occur, both teams will always do everything they can to win and gain more points and climb the table classification. However, the fact is that around 25% of games in the world end in a draw, if we converted the implied probability into odds, it would give a fair odds of 4.00.

However, this is a macro view of the draws market as smaller championships tend to have a higher percentage of draws in the match, such as, for example, Iran's Azadegan League in which 39.38% of 2023 games ended in a draw. The most competitive leagues, such as those in Europe or Brazil, tend to have a relatively smaller number of draws.

Therefore, my additional tip is that people should choose smaller, less disputed championships to bet on draws.
sr. member
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January 19, 2024, 06:15:28 PM
#45

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.


There is no kind of option that bet companies will not avail users all in the avenue to offer services.

This kind of betting offer is obviously a genius one and gamblers are gonna love it, they'd hope to bet and still have the slightest chance of either wining or getting their invested sum back.
legendary
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Nec Recisa Recedit
January 19, 2024, 05:51:18 PM
#44
I don't see any really helpful strategy for get draw bets or having a better statistics on this. Generally these results are really hard to be achieved. I will try to focus more in draw no bets (the opposite of a draw bet). In the past I was betting a lot with exchange and final score results. Of course draw are the highest Sad like 0-0 (odds around 10-12 in each match... a kind of holy grail of draw betting)
full member
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Epsiloan Protocol
January 19, 2024, 05:49:55 PM
#43
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.

Do you really know the meaning of draw no bet? It has nothing to do with game ending in draw. It is used to guide your game when you think your favorite should win a game but still think the game may end in draw. If the match later ends in draw, you get a refund.

3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen

Most time draw may be predicted if you see that the chances of scoring a goal by the two team is small. There are some team that find it difficult to goal. Imagine what happens when such team are playing when their top striker is on bench due to injury.
legendary
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January 19, 2024, 05:32:00 PM
#42
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

High occurrence of draws? I don't think that is something that can be predicted. I can't comment much about that but if you see past performance of most matches on these specific leagues always end up draw, you can try and risk some money for it.

Since you mentioned there are specific leagues where draws are likely always happen, then I'm sure the odds for a Draw is something that is not interesting to place a bet with since it always occurs. What's your view seeing the odds given on the Draw result regardless of what team is facing each other?
legendary
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January 19, 2024, 05:29:08 PM
#41
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading
85% seems like a number you made up. Or do you have any data to back that up? Because even "defensive team" is a subjective concept that depends on the viewer and the team setup of the day. And while you are on it, what sports is that meant for? All sports? Esports and table tennis too?

And i am not against on finding strategies on betting draws, but i am against of making up statistics. Sure, i too would say that if both teams are playing defense, it could be a more likely a draw, but you can't know that beforehand. Depending on the sport, team spirit and what their manager has planned. Their style is for anyone to guess before the match starts.
full member
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January 19, 2024, 05:18:49 PM
#40
I don't see any strategy in the gambling,it all depends on your luck.I can agree that if you analyse the games carefully,you can get the results correctly.This is not trading where you will say you need a particular strategy that will enable you win,there is no specific strategy in this one,your analysis,your observations,their history will make you get 50 percent of the possible outcome, but it cant guarantee you hundred percent accuracy in results.
The best thing to do in football gambling is to check their head to head record, analyse their current form,and give them a prediction.

legendary
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January 19, 2024, 04:01:49 PM
#39
It is easy to come up with various ways to see how you can win in gambling, but the question remains, will they work out. Gambling is more of luck than any strategy. This is why you see that slot players hit the jackpot without knowing how. Gamblers win big without much skills in them. Just gamble for fun so that if your strategy did not work out, you will not become sad. On your lucky day, if you gamble, you will win, irrespective of how much that you stake with. If you want to be gambling for profit that is when, it is bad and unethical.

okay, let us put it this way, there are several known betting strategies practiced and explored by gamblers for as long as we remember -
> martingale
> d'alembert
> paroli system
> fibonacci system
> cover-the-table system
and a lot more, and yet, these gamblers are still relying on luck no matter what strategy they employ to their games. they may work for a certain period of time. but if you happen not to get out while you are on the winning side, you will find out quick that such magic of that strategy is already lost.
legendary
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January 19, 2024, 03:59:01 PM
#38
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading
I don't understand the point of betting on a Draw No Bet or Asian Handicap bet equivalent if you think the match will end in a draw. You will just get a refund if your main choice win, and you will have to bet on a team that you don't think will win to be able to get some winnings. If you think the winning outcome will be a draw, you should bet on draw or take a Double Chance bet at least. You can lower your stake if you think it's more risky than betting on one team and if you think you will likely lose more bets before winning one, in order to protect your bankroll. But taking draw no bets for such strategy is useless.
full member
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January 19, 2024, 03:55:12 PM
#37
I can't remember when last I bet draw on my tickets, the draw options are very hard to predict.
People don't really like the draw options just as I don't like it too, but even if two strong teams are meet each other they might end the game at 0:0 score but on a second thought, there is also a possibility that one of the team might score (maybe 1:0) and this is why it is very hard for people to bet on draw matches became a lot of gamblers are there to make money and not to watch the game.
We have 50/50 chances of either succeeding or failing in the system. Money is the initiative needed to keep pushing in gambling. I'm always looking forward for good opportunities to explore and not hold back on becoming dormant in one position, because I need good results on transforming myself to milk the system. Draw betting strategy can be simple and complex depending on the gambler mindset and goal set already. We become victims of defeat when we're unable to control our motives and easily allow our desperation take over our decisions which is bad and makes us uncomfortable.
hero member
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January 19, 2024, 03:47:27 PM
#36
It is easy to come up with various ways to see how you can win in gambling, but the question remains, will they work out. Gambling is more of luck than any strategy. This is why you see that slot players hit the jackpot without knowing how. Gamblers win big without much skills in them. Just gamble for fun so that if your strategy did not work out, you will not become sad. On your lucky day, if you gamble, you will win, irrespective of how much that you stake with. If you want to be gambling for profit that is when, it is bad and unethical.
legendary
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January 19, 2024, 03:34:01 PM
#35
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?

Specifically for sports that are being played in an open field, weather conditions might affect the gameplay.

But in terms of increasing the chance of the match ending up in a draw, we can't put that as a factor as for sure, those teams are used to playing in any weather conditions, of course not on a considered worst as I doubt the match will commence if the weather is really bad.

You already pointed out those basic approaches in making an analysis and I think you don't need any further advice. My suggestion is just simply, if your current strategy is working well and effective in the long-run, then keep on using it while trying to improve everything.
sr. member
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January 19, 2024, 05:20:39 AM
#34
Draw games is difficult to predicts some team even scores at the dying minutes like when match is up to 90 minutes probably extra 5 to 6 minutes was given before you know it the other team will score making it 0.1, which is bad but what do we do, it gambling and we can't apportioned our blames to the game rather its our fault because we can't see the bright future of every game if it was so then it will be very hard for people lose their matches. Like you said, weather condition can actually make people lost their games against their predicted matches.

I agree with you. I would rather choose matches from unequal clubs (the strong and the weak), this gives more chances of winning even if the results are small (small odds).

In essence, in gambling, our policy is to use money in every bet. Use money that if you lose doesn't bother us (use a small balance in each bet)

The weather or seasons in each country or region are different, I think the differences in weather and seasons really influence it. This is related to the habits, endurance and adaptation of the player.
hero member
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January 19, 2024, 04:36:54 AM
#33
Weather conditions and games, especially in sports betting, have been talked about and argued by gamblers. When playing outdoor sports like soccer or football, bad weather like heavy rain, strong winds, or high temperatures may affect how the match is played. Due to these conditions, players might have a hard time using their strategies or generating scores.

Yes agree with this those games is vary in the weather conditions cause these games like soccer football and even baseball is held on the open court so like what you said above if there's an heavy rains then they will be not continued praying cause it will affect the players strategy and and techniques also as on heavy winds and hot condition. Anyways if the weather is in normal then it will be a good plays to watch.

But the problem is that weather conditions cannot be predicted easily, although in principle it can, but some weather conditions do not match the initial prediction, like that when it comes to nature, although yes when it rains heavily the match will be very difficult to create goals or points, so we have to have a draw in case of heavy rain like that, but what if the weather changes in the middle of the game, and we basically still have to gamble before the game to get big odds. This would be much more difficult in my opinion.

I think more people gamble and watch the game when it's normal rather than betting on weather that might be wrong. picking a draw in a game during extreme weather is difficult too.
legendary
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January 19, 2024, 04:07:07 AM
#32
This strategy may work sometimes, but it cannot work all the time, this is something that gamblers must understand, a prediction could tick all the boxes in your head, but when the teams go out to play, you find out how wrong you were. I don't go too deep into strategies like this and i usually pick the odds for a draw when two big teams who are fighting for something face each other, i.e. when they are both in the title race. I also go for a draw when two teams at the bottom of the table face each other, i.e. teams battling for survival from relegation.
You are not wrong that this type of game is not easy to predict as draw. I do not take this type of game at all. I go for better ones like win. What most people do not know is that the odds are not easy, and they can just likely to be losing more than winning. I lost so much in fall ball betting like this, which makes me start to prefer live matches. Live matches is also risky, but better than betting before a match started. Draw, win or draw, draw no bet, all I do not choose. I have chosen draw no bet and win or draw before several times, but they are not good as they seem at all. Taking draw has the highest odds among the three, but also not good at all.
sr. member
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January 18, 2024, 10:14:09 AM
#31
Weather conditions and games, especially in sports betting, have been talked about and argued by gamblers. When playing outdoor sports like soccer or football, bad weather like heavy rain, strong winds, or high temperatures may affect how the match is played. Due to these conditions, players might have a hard time using their strategies or generating scores.

Yes agree with this those games is vary in the weather conditions cause these games like soccer football and even baseball is held on the open court so like what you said above if there's an heavy rains then they will be not continued praying cause it will affect the players strategy and and techniques also as on heavy winds and hot condition. Anyways if the weather is in normal then it will be a good plays to watch.
legendary
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January 18, 2024, 10:07:38 AM
#30
In my opinion, the "draw no bet" market is not advantageous for me, because it has been a market with very low odds, something that does not pay off, and if the person makes a multibet bet and puts the draw no bet on that multibet bet, the The risk of losing every bet is very high, which is why I have chosen to place bets on markets other than draw bets, corners, cards and simple bets with low odds such as below 2.00, because betting on games with low odds is not profitable long-term. in my opinion when people want to help with the knowledge and experience they have acquired from gambling. It is always better that they post proof that they are doing well in gambling so that people will believe in that advice

I know the post is well intentioned, but as there are no photos of your bets it is difficult for anyone to believe that you are placing sports bets, see that you are not obliged to post proof and people are not obliged to believe you either. I'm just saying that if you had posted photos of some of your bets on this draw no bet market it would be something that would take the discussion to a high level, because we would all be seeing to what extent this draw no bet market was useful or useless for you. In my case, as I said before, I don't bet on this draw market because it has very low odds. but for those people who like this draw market in betting, I just advise that regardless of the market you choose to bet on, always choose games with good odds if they are simple bets
legendary
Activity: 2422
Merit: 1451
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 06:54:58 PM
#29
I think bookies overcompensate for the possibilities of a draw by giving it super low payouts, even if it's extremely unlikely to happen.
Let's say if a draw in a completely theoretical scenario had a 1/3 chance of occuring, if the bookie didn't care about his profit he would offer 3.0 odds. But we usually see odds like 1.9... which is a crazy high devistion from a realistically rewarding scenario.

It's only kn very rare occasions that strategically betting on a draw makes sense.

These occasions include if for instance you had already bet on a match for one team to win but for some reason the odds for a draw went up too much. On that case you can also place a small bet on the draw to secure profits in case of either draw or your team winning.

The other scenario is if punters are extremely divided on either team winning and therefore gave put the odds for a draw very high. But bookies rarely allow draw odds to go very high.

Overall I don't think there are many valid bet on draw strategies due to how bookies deal with odds. Unless the strategy involves changing stakes based on live results and renewed odds.
hero member
Activity: 1652
Merit: 518
OrangeFren.com
January 17, 2024, 05:38:57 PM
#28
The draw is the most difficult result to achieve and even in those leagues you are referring to here things have changed quite a bit.In Spain Segunda for example as I have not followed the other leagues draws are becoming rare as I see the top teams fighting for a spot in La Liga winning or losing games.I know that when we place draws we start advantaged as the games start 0-0 but most of the time that result ends and changes.

The draw is not the difficult one,it was the most desired one.Because sometimes it is hard to accept the loss in the gambling site,instead the draw will save your loss.The gambling people mostly get satisfied with the result of winning or draw,because the game loss is not the desired to any gamblers.If the gamblers play the game with the motive of entertainment,they never expect the income from the usage of the gambling sites.The gamblers should use the free money to play in the gambling site,because the loss should not affect the gamblers in the real life,So the gamblers should play the game with gambling responsibility.
hero member
Activity: 1008
Merit: 520
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 05:11:28 PM
#27
When it comes to this kind of betting, my most fovarite becomes American women league's, this league's happens to be one of the league's with the highest registered goals scores, this is because of the statistics that is available and how much amount of goals accumulations their already recorded on each matches.
Most times, I prefer to bet on them during the halftime and when both clubs/teams already made multiple goals scores, this way I can easily make the predictions and if the match happens to be around a draw goals that time, I may choose draw and most times I have recorded alot of winnings from following that pattern, but like I said this is only practiced with American women league's.
hero member
Activity: 798
Merit: 509
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 05:05:41 PM
#26
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading
Your tips are really helpful and will really help a good gambler stay responsible gambling and as it regards the weather conditions it does have effect on the out come nof games because the condition of the weather do have effect on the players and it will affect their performance in a away or the other just like nit did in the world cup at quatar.

The weather at Qatar was at some point really hot that they have to take breaks on the pitch to at some point rehydrate and get back on the pitch playing. It's also important to know that following all that you did stated so far still doesn't guarantee wins or that the game will turn out  in your favour but it only puts you at an advantage to winning and help you stay responsible gambling more like a guide to helping you stay responsible gambling outside all that you can still add discipline and good statistical analysis.
full member
Activity: 448
Merit: 163
January 17, 2024, 04:44:48 PM
#25
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams
You are right, mate, however not all the time some of your suggestions may work because gambling is something that you most think about and comprehend before predicting any matches. At times, we can state that betting on a draw is highly risky, but in some situations where two good teams are confronting each other, what will survive you is to play a draw.

Some people play a lot of games in the hopes of winning a lot of money when they put in a small amount of money, which is a very difficult strategy to implement. How is it possible to play almost 20 games with a stake of only 200 Naira and expect to win all of them? Wouldn't it be better to play only two games with a stake of 1000 Naira and wait for what to happen.
hero member
Activity: 994
Merit: 1089
January 17, 2024, 01:27:00 PM
#24
This strategy may work sometimes, but it cannot work all the time, this is something that gamblers must understand, a prediction could tick all the boxes in your head, but when the teams go out to play, you find out how wrong you were. I don't go too deep into strategies like this and i usually pick the odds for a draw when two big teams who are fighting for something face each other, i.e. when they are both in the title race. I also go for a draw when two teams at the bottom of the table face each other, i.e. teams battling for survival from relegation.
legendary
Activity: 2548
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Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 12:52:56 PM
#23
You can do it your way, and there is absolutely nothing against it. Honestly, I don't know whether what you post in this thread is the result of your experience and combining it with all the information and insights you get. including references from experts, whether it be knowledge of the art of betting and also in observing sports activities. however, some of the points you said could be useful for the community, especially those interested in sports betting. however, there are several points that are based on your personal assumptions, especially point 5. for me, the important thing is that we really know the league, avoid something we don't know at all. Ideally, betting on top leagues is easier for us to research and analyze. why, because we can get a lot of information quickly, including predictions presented by several sites. for me, it is very helpful and at least gives an idea of ​​​​the match in progress. even though in reality, everything boils down to predictions, that's why we do it to minimize losses. Well, let me add a tip that I always do. In essence, the essence is the same as point 3. However, don't be too greedy to bet by choosing lots of matches, because this will obviously only reduce our chances of winning. 1 or 2 single bets, that's enough. even if more, maybe 3 to complement it. try to choose a decent ospi, whether it's 1×2, Under/Over or something else and so on. If you are interested in multinet or parlay options, try with a small bankroll. because the probability of winning is very slim. As for the weather factor, let's look at the league first. some are influential, some are not. But in reality, professional athletes have been tested in various fields, they only need to adapt. Finally, bet with our abilities.
sr. member
Activity: 476
Merit: 337
January 17, 2024, 12:25:08 PM
#22
I can't remember when last I bet draw on my tickets, the draw options are very hard to predict.
People don't really like the draw options just as I don't like it too, but even if two strong teams are meet each other they might end the game at 0:0 score but on a second thought, there is also a possibility that one of the team might score (maybe 1:0) and this is why it is very hard for people to bet on draw matches became a lot of gamblers are there to make money and not to watch the game.
full member
Activity: 658
Merit: 172
January 17, 2024, 11:58:23 AM
#21
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
When two defensive teams play against each other, the chances of goals still scored in the game is more than 25% to me because teams that have very good defensive record are always very aware when they play against strong and big teams, but against small and teams like them, they loose their guard and may become more likley to errors and defensive mistakes.

4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
When you're making your analysis of a game you look at the nationality of the players that make up the team if it's a club football and then you judge from the continent, if these players are from continent where people are easily able to adapt and adjust to terrible or harsh weather conditions. A team with players who have an origin from continent where they are strong and easily can adapt to harsh weather conditions has a higher chance of winning games than a team with players from continent where the people there are soft and easily affected by weather conditions.
hero member
Activity: 1456
Merit: 608
Vave.com - Crypto Casino
January 17, 2024, 11:26:09 AM
#20
The draw is the most difficult result to achieve and even in those leagues you are referring to here things have changed quite a bit.In Spain Segunda for example as I have not followed the other leagues draws are becoming rare as I see the top teams fighting for a spot in La Liga winning or losing games.I know that when we place draws we start advantaged as the games start 0-0 but most of the time that result ends and changes.
When two equally strong teams are played against each other, the match is likely to be a draw, but a draw is rare these days. I have predicted a few matches that will be drawn but those matches were not drawn and won by one of the teams with unbelievable scores. Every team starts playing with the hope of winning the match with their best efforts and these days it is more and more noticeable that the draws are disappearing in the matches.
hero member
Activity: 3038
Merit: 634
January 17, 2024, 11:18:56 AM
#19
I rarely bet with draw because in esports, there's no draw at most times unless the series is just best of 2 and that's the only time that draw is possible.

Although on that phase of the tournament, draw is very possible. It is what I am avoiding because it's hard to get onto those phase when most teams aren't serious and are on experimental mode.

I guess it's the same reason for the other sports where draw is possible and bettors might bet on it but on a very rare case.
hero member
Activity: 882
Merit: 800
January 17, 2024, 11:03:30 AM
#18
Draw games is difficult to predicts some team even scores at the dying minutes like when match is up to 90 minutes probably extra 5 to 6 minutes was given before you know it the other team will score making it 0.1, which is bad but what do we do, it gambling and we can't apportioned our blames to the game rather its our fault because we can't see the bright future of every game if it was so then it will be very hard for people lose their matches. Like you said, weather condition can actually make people lost their games against their predicted matches.
legendary
Activity: 3346
Merit: 1914
Shuffle.com
January 17, 2024, 10:14:35 AM
#17
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
In terms of playing it safe, it's sometimes worth even going as far as taking the double chance with the underdog if you can bear betting on odds around the 1.50 - 1.60 range. That's what you'd get if you pick matches with close odds, which is your third tip.

Having a probability comparison is very good but sometimes we forget about luck when betting accidentally.
That's true, even if we've done all the research possible and found the best match to bet on a draw, it can still turn south if one of the players has a bad day(weak defense, turnovers, etc.).
legendary
Activity: 2660
Merit: 1261
January 17, 2024, 09:35:11 AM
#16
How about

Stop writing essays for (betting-strategy) and start your own experience. I mean, a thousand words will be worthless if you do not use these on real-live. I mean would be nice if you also input this strategy with the result from your betting section.

Example like me, I talk to much about (all-in betting) on stake thread. In other side, I also provided a screenshot winning hundred / thousand by all-in betting. So, not really bullshit at all.
legendary
Activity: 2128
Merit: 1775
January 17, 2024, 09:06:01 AM
#15
Draw betting strategy
Of course, all the descriptions and gambling strategies that you mentioned here, certainly don't deny that they are strategies that are often used and often analyzed by gamblers, but I'm sure that some percentages can be used as guidelines, but not 100% to be used as a basis for winning.

I am more confident in luck when we do sports betting, where I have done it based on the weather. statistics and team strength and so on, but what happens on the field is 100% based on my analysis, so whatever we do in the world of gambling, of course it is all based on luck.
sr. member
Activity: 504
Merit: 254
January 17, 2024, 08:43:35 AM
#14
No matter how strategic you could be in gambling, there would never be a reliable source of predictions.
To my highest risk in experiences, drawing predicts seems the most difficult and logical to be predicted instead, predicting winning to any of the teams is best preferable to be considered that the draws.
hero member
Activity: 2660
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Vave.com - Crypto Casino
January 17, 2024, 07:45:24 AM
#13

4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?


No I don't think weather is a contributing factor to why games end in draw. If a game will end in draw it will depend on the scoring status of the team, that is a team that isn't a lover of goals but defends alot then it will affect the chances of multiple goals. Instead of weather, I think I will prefer injury in the team especially where strikers are not fit or if the team in general is not doing well and not performing to the level they should in their previous matches so you can predict draw but not to use weather as a criteria for playing a draw match.
jr. member
Activity: 112
Merit: 1
January 17, 2024, 07:28:39 AM
#12
Weather conditions and games, especially in sports betting, have been talked about and argued by gamblers. When playing outdoor sports like soccer or football, bad weather like heavy rain, strong winds, or high temperatures may affect how the match is played. Due to these conditions, players might have a hard time using their strategies or generating scores.
hero member
Activity: 2464
Merit: 594
January 17, 2024, 06:02:04 AM
#11
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
Weather condition is a complex issue, they can indeed impact gameplay in various sports, including football. For instance, heavy rain can make the pitch slippery, potentially leading to more mistakes and fewer goals, which could increase the likelihood of a draw but this is just one of many factors that can influence the outcome of a match, and its impact can vary greatly depending on the specific circumstances.
hero member
Activity: 1428
Merit: 538
January 17, 2024, 05:55:35 AM
#10
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading

The problem is that the odds will adjust for any winning potential you may have identified in that game. But statistically, you are on the losing end if you play for draws and the odds are around 3.5. You need to get 1 draw correct per every 3 games to be profitable. But you can check the statistics for the Premier League and it is indeed true that the draw is the least likely outcome. It is closer to 1/4 games ending as a draw, which then means you would have to go for odds around 4.0 to be profitable, which makes it riskier again. The math just doesn't work out.
sr. member
Activity: 1204
Merit: 486
January 17, 2024, 05:52:24 AM
#9
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
Having a probability comparison is very good but sometimes we forget about luck when betting accidentally. when it comes to considering the weather  conditions so far I don't pay attention to the details. because it is simple it makes our bets much freer namely when we are able to determine according to the criteria of a particular team sometimes even looking at the condition of the club in several matches is enough. It's true that anything can happen as long as the whistle hasn't been blown so realistically we just need to be ready for the 3 options of losing, winning or drawing. meanwhile other probabilities that need to be considered take quite a long time. bet responsibly and be able to accept defeat gracefully.
legendary
Activity: 1064
Merit: 1298
Lightning network is good with small amount of BTC
January 17, 2024, 05:45:31 AM
#8
Draw no bet is just an alternative I mentioned just Incase you are not playing a single game and you are staking high
It reduces the risk a little bit
I will prefer to go for straight win or first half win. I do not like to select anything like draw or draw no bet. It is not the type of selection that I go for. But it is easy for me to analyze a match and look for a better team to go for straight win. If the odd is small, I go for first half win if it is worth it.

Other odds that I go for are over 1.5 and over 2.5. Sometimes I go for under 2.5 if I know the teams are not that scoring in their matches and if their defense are both strong but with no good front players that score often.
sr. member
Activity: 798
Merit: 364
January 17, 2024, 05:35:40 AM
#7
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.

You share some helpful tips but I personally don't like betting on draws because of it high risk. I tested it before and it was profitable if you manage to secure a win because it carries high odds. Although most of these tips are factors that should be considered when making a draw bet but not a guarantee and the win probability is 30-35% averagely and that shows how risky they are. This particular tips I qoute is not well explained. Someone who intend to play draw bet has no business with draw no bet (DNB) because they are opposite of each other. Draw no bet will refund your money if the game eventually ends draw because what you mean is to void your bet if they play draw. Additionally, head to head record also play some role. If two teams have played each other multiple times in the past and a large percentage of those games have ended in a draw, then there's a strong indication that a draw is likely.
jr. member
Activity: 88
Merit: 8
January 17, 2024, 04:49:04 AM
#6
Your title is not accurate because you are talking about 'draw no bet' and not draw.

Taking draw only have higher odds but riskier.

A match having like 3 odds for draw. It looks high but not good at all because as the person will pick draw, there is high chance that the match will not end as draw.

Draw no bet has its own disadvantage which makes me not to go for it. If the team you selected to win do not win, you will be given back you money but no winning. That means you risk your money but you have nothing in return because the team do not win. It also have small odd.

I prefer win or draw. But it has the smallest odd but if the team taken win it draw, the gambler would win the bet.

2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
No refund when the team you selected to win lose. Refund is when the team draw, but the winning amount is not given among. Only when you make profit is when the team wins. It has a smaller odd also.

Draw no bet is just an alternative I mentioned just Incase you are not playing a single game and you are staking high
It reduces the risk a little bit
hero member
Activity: 770
Merit: 538
Leading Crypto Sports Betting & Casino Platform
January 17, 2024, 04:44:48 AM
#5
A gambler can actually use all of those tactics but still not win their bet as predicted. This is something I do quite often, but it doesn't work all the time; sometimes the draw might come when you least expect it. Draw bets are risky, and a gambler should be wise enough to only stake any amount that will cause them no trouble.

There's a casino in my place that can allow you to stake on different options in just one game. For example, if there's a match between teams A and B and perhaps your prediction is draw, you can stake on your first prediction. If you are not satisfied with the first prediction and you still want to stake on team A to win, you can also stake again on the same game. I don't think all casinos allow that option. In some casinos, it's only an option to stake in a game.

So, what I actually mean is that if the bettors are using such a casino, instead of staking on just draw, they can still stake on two different options, such as draw or home to win.
hero member
Activity: 546
Merit: 516
January 17, 2024, 04:43:56 AM
#4
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
This is seems right because defensive teams have the tendency of playing draw. I hardly play draw though but I used this to analyse matches I will play 3Ways.

2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you a refund.
Seems you are mistaken the DNB option of sports betting. It actually requires that the team you played DNB have to win but if they lose, that particular selection should be voided and your money returned to you. You will lose your money if the team loses the match.

4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?

This is one thing I'm interested in learning about because I feel that weather conditions affect the performance of the player to a large extent. The challenge here is knowing what the weather condition will be per match venue and how to integrate this into the decision making of match selection outcome prediction. Maybe others will make input that will help.

legendary
Activity: 3318
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Bitcoin Casino Est. 2013
January 17, 2024, 04:43:01 AM
#3
The draw is the most difficult result to achieve and even in those leagues you are referring to here things have changed quite a bit.In Spain Segunda for example as I have not followed the other leagues draws are becoming rare as I see the top teams fighting for a spot in La Liga winning or losing games.I know that when we place draws we start advantaged as the games start 0-0 but most of the time that result ends and changes.
legendary
Activity: 1624
Merit: 1200
Gamble responsibly
January 17, 2024, 04:39:57 AM
#2
Your title is not accurate because you are talking about 'draw no bet' and not draw.

Taking draw only have higher odds but riskier.

A match having like 3 odds for draw. It looks high but not good at all because as the person will pick draw, there is high chance that the match will not end as draw.

Draw no bet has its own disadvantage which makes me not to go for it. If the team you selected to win do not win, you will be given back you money but no winning. That means you risk your money but you have nothing in return because the team do not win. It also have small odd. If draw has 3 odd, expect draw no bet to be around 1.4 odd, but it depends on the teams also.

I prefer win or draw. But it has the smallest odd but if the team taken win or draw, the gambler would win the bet. But the odd is small. If draw no bet is around 1.4 odd, win or draw would be around 1.2 odd

2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
There is no refund when the team you selected to win lose. Refund is when the team draw, but the winning amount is not given among. Only when you make profit is when the team that you selected wins. It has a smaller odd also.
jr. member
Activity: 88
Merit: 8
January 17, 2024, 04:26:06 AM
#1
1.analyze team statistics: This is something we all know but shouldn't be overlooked,..ensure you check the teams recent
Performance, and their defensive records. When two defensive teams play against each other the probability of a draw is always 85 percent
2.play it safe:. Betting on a draw can be a bit riskier, so it's best to stake a small amount or pick the draw no bet option which gives you
a refund.
3look for evenly matched teams: matches between teams with similar skill level or playing styles can increase
The chances of a draw, pay attention to teams that have a history of drawing against each other
N/B: anything can still happen
4.weather conditions : I need your opinions on this point cause I'm not 100 percent sure of it but this is from some of my observation
Do you think weather conditions affect gameplay and increase the likelihood of a draw?
5.Bet on specific leagues: some leagues are known for having a higher occurrence of draws . leagues like Montenegro, Romania, Morocco botola pro, Spain segunda, Iran pro league and few others.

I hope this will help someone
Remember to gamble responsible
Thanks for reading
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