Drop your predictions for NFL WEEK 6

Hydrogen

legendary

Activity: 2562

Merit: 1441

Quote from: Hydrogen on October 14, 2021, 04:09:45 AM

Week 6 Predictions

Win Buccaneers > Eagles
Loss Dolphins > Jaguars
Win Packers > Bears
Win Bengals > Lions
Win Texans < Colts
Win Rams > Giants
Win Chiefs > Washington
Loss Vikings < Panthers
Loss Chargers > Ravens
Win Cardinals > Browns
Win Raiders > Broncos
Win Cowboys > Patriots
Win Seahawks < Steelers
Loss Bills > Titans

....

Week 6 Results

10 calls correct. 4 incorrect. 10 predictions correct out of 14 games = 71.4% accuracy.

Accuracy over the NFL 2021 season, weeks 5 and 6 is: 73.2%.

....

Observing more NFL games than normal, gave me a few ideas for angles to work in future wagers.

At the moment, american football is a sad state of affairs with many serious injuries. Its becoming ridiculous to see boatloads of players be carted away in almost every game.

There have been a few recent games, where a quarterback or key player on teams were injured and it became very likely they wouldn't win the game or even score many points. Which made betting the under points total a good option.

Hydrogen

legendary

Activity: 2562

Merit: 1441

Week 6 Predictions

Buccaneers > Eagles
Dolphins > Jaguars
Packers > Bears
Bengals > Lions
Texans < Colts
Rams > Giants
Chiefs > Washington
Vikings < Panthers
Chargers > Ravens
Cardinals > Browns
Raiders > Broncos
Cowboys > Patriots
Seahawks < Steelers
Bills > Titans

....

Record through week 5: 12 - 4.

75% win rate.

Many teams appear to be pacing themselves and resting either in the first half or the second half.

Its a strange scenario where a team's defense / offense can only be strong for two quarters. Depending on the intensity with which they're playing.

At some point, I would like to try big data analysis on NFL stats to see if I can find patterns that translate to higher betting accuracy.

Hydrogen

legendary

Activity: 2562

Merit: 1441

Week 5 results.

Quote from: Hydrogen on October 05, 2021, 04:56:07 PM

Win Rams > Seahawks
Win Jets < Falcons
Win Packers > Bengals
Win Lions < Vikings
Loss Broncos > Steelers
Win Dolphins < Buccaneers
Win Saints > Washington
Loss Eagles < Panthers
Win Titans > Jaguars
Win Patriots > Texans
Loss Bears < Raiders
Win Browns < Chargers
Win Giants < Cowboys
Win 49ers < Cardinals
Loss Bills < Chiefs
Game is later today - Colts < Ravens

11 correct, 4 incorrect. 11/15. 73% win average.

With Colts vs Ravens still to be played later today.

I'll edit this post & drop my predictions for week 6 here.

I only want to take some time to think about some of the match ups and look up stats.

NFL isn't a sport I'm knowledgeable in. I can't say I know much about the history of the game or expostionary info a sharp gambler in this area should have. This is mostly for fun. And to perhaps show that even casual gamblers can do ok gambling in an area where they don't specialize in.

Cool

Topic: Drop your predictions for NFL WEEK 6 (Read 46 times)