Topic: +ev bets expected roi 3-5%(Player Props) 1-2% (Game Lines and O/U) (Read 1765 times)

Freeman > Franco TB -120

Cespedes > Harper TB +105

Betts > Davis TB -110

I think -129 will give u a return do it for .25 a unit ( whatever your  standard unit is)

I have bets at -121 -125 -126 and -128

-129 on cloudbet

Play of the day cardinals -125 please dont bet what u cant afford to lose I project this bet to be between 3.5 and 4.2% roi

found -121 betonline but Im sure I just moved it

I have 3 correlated parlays most books wont let you do these but find out if yours does.

CLE ML + U 8.5  1unit to win 1.82 units

PIT ML + U 8  1 unit to wein 1.86

LAD ML + U 7.5 1 unit to win 2.02 units

I will go on a limb and say that in those cases both parties do not understand variance.

At the end of the day my results don't matter to me, because I have a proper bankroll. I have years of betting specifically props  and have had many sportsbet accounts banned or reduced to micro limits for beating books.


"There's no talent here, this is hard work. This is an obsession. Talent does not exist, we are all equal as human beings. You could be anyone if you put in the time. You will reach the top, and that [is] that. I am not talented, I am obsessed."

Conor Mcgregor

This you are telling because you have won, if not you would have turned out and told today not good games. I have seen lot of newcomers in prediction give for some days and after continuous loss they just run away.

online poker across multiple sites

with only one tip we could only pick the right one 

where is your poker table?

Only 4 games today Had 1 bet that I forgot to post here and sadly its about to win, might do player props later if my poker games are not great.

no one should blame you! and as I said before it does not make sense to pick 1-2 bets out of ~20 tips

BR management is a must and I agree with you but does it make sense to flat bet your tips?

thanks

Well I don't want to be a dick but #1 Dont gamble with what you cant afford to lose, #2 run a 1% edge in a variance calculator and tell me what  you find, #3  even if you had a shit ton of confidence you should expect to lose both bets a fair % of the time. Was not the best day yesterday for me especially because Dozier hit that home run at his last at bet which rly hurt me because that was my biggest bet of the day, but it happens. Variance is a bitch and after millions upon millions of hands of online poker I still find it hard to understand sometimes. FYI 3 of those big + moneylines lost bloew the lead at the end of the games reverse that swing and the day isnt that bad those +140 + bets are big swings happens, this is why as a bettor you need proper bankroll management.

Ya it is true and even i use to first check their 2 or 3 predictions after that i use to follow them but what happened i dont know I just followed it as and i thought this two bet are safe one. then also his 5 out of 7 bets are lost so it would have been same.

yeah i agree you can hardly be mad at the op if you only play one of the bets. You need to play them all evenly if your gonna follow
someone otherwise he could win them all but 1 and your on that loser which has happened to me in the past also

sorry that you lost 50% of your br

I lost on SEA cause this was the only one with good odds I could get with my bookies

imo it does not make sense to just pick 1-2 bets out of that many posted by op. I even would suggest to op to tell us if we should flat bet all his tips or how to use our br for those many bets he was posting.

thanks

Damn badluck i lost my 0.021btc on two matches, baltimore over 9.5 and Seattle, It is really hard to earn, i was having confidence on your bet and i had my 50% of my bankroll on your bet and now i lost it.

Street Cred
https://postimg.org/image/qgf0wm16d/

Bad start today, sucks that Tbr and CWS blew leads late when they both + numbers, sea game was just a disaster.



NYM -116   cancelled
PIT +152     lose
CWS +120   Lose
TBR +156    lose
SEA -114     lose
Balt over 9.5  lose
LAA -135     ( LAA is Angels fyi) win

CLE F.Lindor total bases -115* vs MIN B.Dozier total bases  (Fixed Price)  lose
BOS M.Betts total bases -120* vs TAM B.Miller total bases  lose
E.Encarnacion total bases +115* vs BAL M.Trumbo total bases  (Fixed Price) lose
TOR J.Donaldson total bases +110* vs BAL M.Machado total bases   win
HOU C.Correa total bases -120* vs OAK K.Davis total bases  Win
OAK/HOU score 1st inn yes -125* vs OAK/HOU no score 1st inn lose
COL DJ.LeMahieu a hit* -245 Win
Los Angeles Dodgers Under 5½ +115 Win  ( Was biggest play of the day for me as you can see in screne shot in the next post, Dodgers scored 0 runs ^^)
CUB A.Rizzo total bases -125* vs PIT A.McCutchen total bases cancelled
M.Carpenter total bases -115* vs MIL J.Villar total bases   lose
 C.Santana total bases -120* vs MIN J.Mauer total bases  win
K.Bryant total bases -125* vs PIT S.Marte total bases   win
 M.Saunders hits+runs+RBI -120* vs BAL J.Schoop hits+runs+RBI lose
M.Trout hits+runs+RBI over 2½ -115* vs LAA M.Trout hits+runs+RBI under 2½ (canceled Trout out of line up)
Freeman > Myers TB -125 chop
 Cincinnati Reds H+R+E/Los Angeles Angels H+R+E Under 27½ -105*  (Fixed Price)  win
 LOS C.Seager total bases GM2 -115* vs COL N.Arenado total bases GM2  (Fixed Price)  cancelled
    WAS J.Werth hits+runs+RBI over 2 -105* vs WAS J.Werth hits+runs+RBI under 2  (Fixed Price)  win
   PHI C.Hernandez a hit -245* vs PHI C.Hernandez no hits  (Fixed Price)  lose
 BAL C.Davis total bases -120* vs TOR T.Tulowitzki total bases  (Fixed Price)    cancelled
 SDG Y.Solarte hits+runs+RBI over 2 +105* vs SDG Y.Solarte hits+runs+RBI under 2  (Fixed Price)   lose
 ATL F.Freeman hits+runs+RBI over 2½ +115* vs ATL F.Freeman hits+runs+RBI under 2½  (Fixed Price) lose
 CLE F.Lindor hits+runs+RBI over 2½ +115* vs CLE F.Lindor hits+runs+RBI under 2½  (Fixed Price)  win

  Many bets on the previous page today this is the last set gl us.

M.Carpenter total bases -115* vs MIL J.Villar total bases

 C.Santana total bases -120* vs MIN J.Mauer total bases

K.Bryant total bases -125* vs PIT S.Marte total bases

 M.Saunders hits+runs+RBI -120* vs BAL J.Schoop hits+runs+RBI

M.Trout hits+runs+RBI over 2½ -115* vs LAA M.Trout hits+runs+RBI under 2½

CUB A.Rizzo total bases -125* vs PIT A.McCutchen total bases  (Fixed Price)

 Los Angeles Dodgers Under 5½ +115 ( Team total)

 COL DJ.LeMahieu a hit* -245

TOR J.Donaldson total bases +110* vs BAL M.Machado total bases

HOU C.Correa total bases -120* vs OAK K.Davis total bases  (Fixed Price

OAK/HOU score 1st inn yes -125* vs OAK/HOU no score 1st inn  (Fixed Price)

it looks that this one already started
BOS M.Betts total bases -120* vs TAM B.Miller total bases

can someone point me to this kind of bet on a btc bookie beside 5 dimes?

thanks

 CLE F.Lindor total bases -115* vs MIN B.Dozier total bases  (Fixed Price)


BOS M.Betts total bases -120* vs TAM B.Miller total bases



E.Encarnacion total bases +115* vs BAL M.Trumbo total bases  (Fixed Price)

didnt realize that there a bunch of early games thought it was tuesday

thanks darkstar

SEA is now at directbet -108.7 and at fairlay - 103

You can take SEA at Fairlay (https://www.fairlay.com/market/seattle-mariners-f-hernandez-texas-rangers-m-perez/) with -108 odds.

I've made some money just reading and taking advice for a long time in this forum thought I would just share some of my knowledge with you guys. I have already bet the bets before I list them so there is no downside.

American odds, I only listed the team I bet, and they are moneyline bets. Moneyline bets is just a bet for which team you think will win.

I am still not able to understand what you are suggesting to bet on Money line means which teams wins or you are suggesting to bet on points as you are giving the odds on American odds or what ever odds but it is not clear that you are telling the winner of the game or not

thanks for confirming. may I ask why are you doing this? giving your tips here in forum

yep and if your clearing a bonus I would bet it up to -118

I understood that SEA should be a bet with -114 or less please correct me if I am wrong

I like to listen to someone who knows what he is talking about cause I have no clue

thanks

Would pass just because you can find better on other books right now line shopping is very important, if u just want a sweat then go ahead and bet that price in my opinion at that price its somewhere between break even and .5% edge. If your clearing a bonus it makes sense to bet it tho.

I am now on directbet and see SEA - 116.3

could you please confirm what you see?

thanks

Bet Sea

here are the american odds from directbet.eu
NY MET @ -122.0
PHILADELPHIA @ +154
CWS +110 (ML)
TAMPA BAY @ +136
SEATTLE @ -109.9
BALTIMORE OVER 9.5 @ -112.5 (and i have my bet on this odd 0.011btc)
L A ANGELS @ -153.9

I just had my bet on baltimore over 9.5 odd.

Yeah some of them have moved in my favor already and that book is probably not the best, honestly 5dimes is the best book in the world

according your suggestions all cloudbet odds are very bad

thanks for educating

well i crushed that line I got +105 just pass at your price

on cloudbet Over  9.5 American odds  -117

I would bet the CWS and the sea Moneyline bets, change too american odds on the site your on and tell me what the price is on the baltimore game O/U

If i say to bet a - number and u see a lower price that means its better

if I say bet a + number and its higher than its a better price if its lower more than 4 points  just pass

I can see some matches in directbet.eu site. and will give the odds below

CWS +120   - Chicago While Sox ML - 2.08 = CWS +1.5 ODD @ 1.48 
SEA -114    - SEATTLE ML - 1.85 = SEA -1.5 ODD @ 2.32
Balt over 9.5  - BALT OVER 9.5 RUNS ODD @ 1.89

This three games i have found it, can you tell me what to bet , i mean ON ML - Money Line or + - odd

I'm not sure never used a btc book, but if they offer mlb player props you should be good try Nitrogen? Bovada might be ok but they ban winners I have had several accounts banned over the years. Not actual ban but they reduce the limits to such small amounts that betting becomes pointless.

thanks for all the infos. to be frank I dont like the registration form on 5 dimes. which other BTC bookie would you suggest?

Heres some games lines that I believe have a small roi 1-2% I bet them fwiw, player props I will always have a higher roi.


NYM -116  
PIT +152    
CWS +120  
TBR +156    
SEA -114    
Balt over 9.5  
LAA -135     ( LAA is Angels fyi)

Make sure you go to reduced on 5 dimes if you bet these.

https://www.5dimes.eu/

You guys might have better success having funds on 2 sportsbooks that offer player props, because sometimes when I max bet the line will move but if you are on other sites that im not on you have best chance to get my price.

Interesting, i dont have any knowledge about baseball game, but i will just read your bets and next time when you are posting i will try to bet, Can you pm me the link to open account in 5dimes as i also wanted to bet on your predictions.

I have had a 5 dimes account for years and can vouch for them. I haven't done
to much with bitcoin but they have been super solid with fiat and if you select no
bonus you can get "reduced Juice" and in the long run save heaps on juice.

Yes u can cash out via btc, ill probably post some props a hour before games start so around 3pm to 4:30pm.

Don't worry about refferal guys since im a winning player sportsbetting they wont allow me to get a bonus.

good to see you back

5dimes converts to fiat but will they convert back to bitcoin in case I want to withdraw btc?

I am not used to 5dimes and though it is easier to ask you

you are saying that time window will be small. can you specify a time? just about?

thanks

Been a few days will probably have a few props tomorrow but the window will be small for you guys to place the bets, so be ready. I'm betting these props on 5 dimes they usually offer the best price if you see something that I suggested I would bet it at 5 cents worse.

  You guys can deposit btc via 5dimes but it converts it to cash, 5dimes is one the most safe sportsbetting sites been around for many many years and they have cornered the sportsbetting market over the years. If anyone is going to deposit would appreciate it if you pmed me for my referral.

This isn't an investment the entire investor based game that thread is full of scams not betting. Betting belongs under gambling section. If he moved it to investment based games he would lose credit. This is not a game its sports betting.

good result
i think you can open investment, because above for me comment is write about investment

its right investment your must
you can see all people result your bet
with link your betting placed in directbet .eu
is only say and only write is all people we can

nice result but lets see how it will go on

good luck

edit
which bookie do you place those bets? (in BTC)

Those are player props I'm not advertising anything, just giving away +ev bets.

I dont really whats going on here @op. Are you giving tips concerning baseball or youre advertising a a site. Do well to explain better so i Can follow and a take decision appropriately...

if you want open investment program
your wrong section, you write is right placed section Investor-based games

7-0-2

7 wins

0 loses

2 chops ez money wont do this everyday but will when i find a bunch of bets

Props Baseball, Would pay 5cents worse than I did, gl.



CLE F.Lindor a hit -250* vs CLE F.Lindor no hits  (Fixed Price)
   1:05pm  Props Baseball  7311 LOS C.Utley hits+runs+RBI over 2 +115* vs LOS C.Utley hits+runs+RBI under 2  (Fixed Price)
   8/21/16 1:05pm  Props Baseball  7309 LOS C.Seager hits+runs+RBI over 2½ +120* vs LOS C.Seager hits+runs+RBI under 2½  (Fixed Price)
  Props Baseball  7305 LOS A.Gonzalez hits+runs+RBI -125* vs CIN B.Hamilton hits+runs+RBI  (Fixed Price)
 Props Baseball  8617 SDG W.Myers a hit -195* vs SDG W.Myers no hits  (Fixed Price)
 Props Baseball  8111 OAK C.Crisp a hit -175* vs OAK C.Crisp no hits  (Fixed Price)
Props Baseball  8011 HOU C.Correa hits+runs+RBI over 2 -115* vs HOU C.Correa hits+runs+RBI under 2  (Fixed Price)
 HOU G.Springer total bases -115* vs BAL C.Davis total bases  (Fixed Price)
 CLE J.Kipnis total bases -125* vs TOR T.Tulowitzki total bases  (Fixed Price)