I am considering making a university project where I will use physics models to estimate adoption curves of blockchain use cases. Therefore, I am interested in, if you have read any articles or seen any frameworks for this before? I might be able to use it as inspiration for my project if it gets accepted. Thanks!
It's a common belief among Bitcoin enthusiasts that Bitcoin and blockchain technologies share the same trajectory as other widely adopted technologies like automobiles, televisions and cell phones. They call it the "S curve." I've always been skeptical of comparing Bitcoin to ubiquitous technology like smartphones, but after this year's developments (like Square/CME/NASDAQ adoption), it seems possible.
Here's a recent chart I saw that attempts to map the adoption curve vs. other major technological advances:
Pretty wild to think about! If Bitcoin hits the top of the curve (99% adoption), prices would have to be astronomical compared to today.
