I get strange feelings reading users been sure of themselves saying with full conviction that bottom price for bitcoin is 7000, 6000, 5000...
drawing waves and lines on selective parts of charts... Guys, come on!
Let me clear a little bit where we are right now as an ecosystem. Bitcoin is still just a speculative commodity with highly manipulative and artificial price making. As bitcoin market is "too free"- even black market operators see its as a risk of loosing money, so they prefer old but more reliable dirty cash. So there are ICOs(just another bubble) , gambling and speculators of all sizes. That is the foundation of bitcoin economy. No manufacturing, no big investment funds into something real and stable like textile. Just speculators.
I remind you, after everybody knew about bitcoin and there were already industrial mining price was stagnant around 100$ +-40% . Then came the market-makers and started their waves. Good old pump and dump came to bitcoin. What we saw last two years is just another wave of pump and dump. And if not strange buy and sell habits that changed price in steps should have tipped you off, then the amazing syncing of movement and absolute price on all major exchanges. There is no way for bitcoin price to be exactly same on all exchanges unless there is some coordination or price fixing.
I can see some substance for bitcoin price to be around 400 or 700, but 4-7000? No, thats a pump.
Now, what is really we should be worried about: will there be mass closure of exchanges with frozen funds and mass scam showed to all?(they are all ready been
investigated). Or, will there be another coin created by the same pumpers, and bitcoin killed as an example for crypto enthusiasts at the same time as the new coin will be pumped for two years.
If next 10 years international markets will get turbulent (and likely they will) some country more respected then Venezuela can blink and go for their own bitcoin in desperate try to save themselves. Where will Bitcoin be then?
Bitcoin right now is very speculative.
However, the thing that I think that you're wrong in terms of speculation is that it doesn't mean that in the future, it won't have any more utility other than being speculative. With bitcoin, I can comfortably say that it will, either by being the currency that is accepted widely as an global form of payment, or as a sort of a reserve asset that hedges against inflation.
But I do think that this is quite normal for bitcoin, as in what is happening right now, as prices are dropping due to the bear market. It might not have bottomed out yet, but I think that it's fairly probable the recovery will come some time next year. I simply do not think that given the current level of demand, $400-700 is a very likely spot for bitcoin to end up at all.
Also, what you mentioned with the exchanges is completely separate from bitcoin itself, imo. Non-compliant exchanges can obviously be shut down whenever the regulators want.