Finally, I saw a realistic prediction from a businessman/investor perspective unlike to other people who are just telling random numbers without any basis or explanation which is clearly only telling those numbers just to pump their bags.
Usually those personalities say overly big numbers for 2 clear reasons:
* shocking numbers get attention/press, normal numbers not really
* they want to show that they do believe in the rise of this market
On the other hand Novogratz is already such a name, whatever he will say, it will most probably end up in the news. And then why don't just be real/thoughtful?
I also somehow agree with Mike Novogratz, that we can experience crypto winter during this month, which for me is also good, natural, and could help the market become healthy.
On one hand many tell that this cycle will be different than the rest. I don't know if this means smaller crash or no crash at all, some even hope for no crypto winter.
Some do say that the current value, compared to 69k ATH is a crash and we're already in sort of crypto winter.
Some were already cheering 2 weeks ago that we're heading to next ATH
Imho the fact that we are just experiencing some sort of altcoin season, may mean that the actual crash and crypto winter may be the next step - if there will be such a step in this cycle.
But with those huge amounts of money pouring in, expecting crypto winter is not a safe bet. And institutional investors may not be happy to see a real crash (they may not see it as a healthy move).
All in all, the overall view is unclear and imho all the options/direction are on the table.